Home-field Advantage Analysis

Home advantage screenshot

Have you ever wanted to know which teams have the biggest home-field advantage? Or the leagues where home-field advantage matters the most?

Our sister site Australia Sports Tipping now provides home-field advantage measurements for the AFL, A-League, English Premier League, IPL, NBL, NFL, NRL, Super Rugby and the T20 Big Bash League.

The tables measure the difference between each team’s home winning percentage (home wins / home games) and their away winning percentage (away wins / away games). The data can be filtered by date.

Below are some sample results.

League averages

The table below shows the difference between the average win percentage at home versus away for each league over the past five seasons. Note that the AFL and NRL data feature incomplete 2015 seasons.

League Home Win % Minus Away Win %
AFL 11.3%
A-League 18.1%
EPL 16.8%
IPL 8.0%
NBL 21.0%
NFL 15.0%
NRL 15.6%
Super Rugby  23.6%
T20 Big Bash -6.0%
All Sports 13.7%

 

Given the distances involved in travelling across the Indian Ocean, it’s not surprising to see that home-field advantage is most important in Super Rugby, where the average home winning percentage is 60.9% compared to just 37.3% on the road.

Despite the unique dimensions of each team’s home stadium, Twenty20 cricket has the small home advantage, with the away team winning more fixtures than the home team in each of the last three seasons in the T20 Big Bash. This is likely due to the short duration of the league and the fact that teams feature international players who fly in and out for the tournament.

Biggest and smallest home-field advantages

The table below shows the teams with the largest and smallest home-field advantages for each league over the past five seasons. Note that the AFL and NRL data feature incomplete 2015 seasons.

League Largest Smallest
AFL Geelong 27.3% Richmond -5.8%
A-League Central Coast Mariners 24.8% Western Sydney 4.2%
EPL Manchester City 30.3% Crystal Palace 5.3%
IPL Rajasthan Royals 24.3% Mumbai Indians 1.5%
NBL Townsville Crocodiles 40.0% Sydney Kings 9.7%
NFL Arizona Cardinals 38.2% Philadelphia Eagles -12.3%
NRL Manly Sea Eagles 30.7% Gold Coast Titans -8.5%
Super Rugby  Bulls 39.0% Force 5.0%
T20 Big Bash Melbourne Stars 15.0% Adelaide Strikers -26.7%

 

Not surprisingly, the Super Rugby Bulls have one of the largest disparities between home and away form. They boast a 85.45% winning record at home compared to 58.18% on the road. The result makes sense given their advantage of playing at high altitude at home and the energy-sapping four-week tours they do of Australia and New Zealand. If you include data from 2009 onwards the difference becomes a whopping 42.52%, with a 82.14% home win percentage compared to 39.62% on the road.

At the opposite end of the spectrum, in the Big Bash League the Adelaide Strikers have won just 33.33% of their home fixtures compared to 60% of their away games.

View the home-field advantage tables for each league

Use the links below to view the home-field advantage tables for each league.

 

 

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