EPL Round 24 Preview by ValueSportsBetting

The following are betting comments for Round 24 of the 2016-17 English Premier League season. These have been sourced and published with permission from Valuesportsbetting’s weekly form guide.

About Valuesportsbetting

Valuesportsbetting produce form guides that identify value bets for the English Premier League, across a number of betting markets, by looking at the historical stats of each team. Their Season Guide is a free, 68 page ebook detailing the betting trends for every team in the league. There are plenty of mug punters that don’t pay enough attention to the odds that are available. Don’t be one of them, check out their website and form guides at www.valuesportsbetting.com.

Match Comments

Chelsea vs Arsenal

This is the big game of the weekend and it looks like the draw shows value on both sets of indicators. When big teams play each other and in derby’s there is a tendency for teams to draw.

West Brom vs Stoke

The betting markets look to have this game about right, so no real value. The head to heads are also close.

Everton vs Bournemouth

Anything can happen in this game and we think Everton are a little short here. This is supported by the overall record of these teams, where the home team have only won 50% of their games making Everton a 2.00 prospect rather than 1.76.

Watford vs Burnley

A great win for Watford last week. We warned of the dangers of backing low priced home teams Watford proved us right. They look good value here given Burnley’s abysmal away record. Looking at the stats they should probably be priced around the 1.80 level so 2.20 is good value.

Hull vs Liverpool

Liverpool are not trustworthy in these situations and we couldn’t possibly back them at 1.52, the risks are too high. Hull do offer some value. In the 24 similar games the home team have won 24% of the time, giving odds of around 4.00, so their market price of 7.75 looks decent.

Crystal Palace vs Sunderland

Who in their right mind would back Palace at odds on at the moment? This game has not been priced correctly if you look at the stats. Neither team is going well at the moment and this is a relegation 6 pointer so anything can happen. Sunderland on the Asian Handicap with a goal or 0.75 goal headstart is the way forward here.

Southampton vs West Ham

Another game featuring inconsistent teams (just look at their form). The betting markets have this priced about right, with no value on either selection and one to miss.

Tottenham vs Middlesbrough

It’s hard to look past Spurs here but there is no value at 1.31. Interestingly the draw at 6.50 looks really good value on the overall record. Middlesbrough have drawn 6 of their 11 away games this season and we would look to back this outcome given Middlesbrough’s tight tendencies.

Man City vs Swansea

We like the look of Swansea on the Asian Handicap here with a 2 goal headstart, they seem to be on a roll at the moment and their price is simply too high. This handicap would have been covered in 17 of 28 games.

Leicester vs Man United

Man United are too short here. Leicester are decent at home and 6.00 is a value price on all metrics. 18 from 27 games have seen the home team win this game with a 1 goal lead and this would be value selection according to our stats.

 

About Valuesportsbetting

Valuesportsbetting produce form guides that identify value bets for the English Premier League, across a number of betting markets, by looking at the historical stats of each team. Their Season Guide is a free, 68 page ebook detailing the betting trends for every team in the league. There are plenty of mug punters that don’t pay enough attention to the odds that are available. Don’t be one of them, check out their website and form guides at www.valuesportsbetting.com.

 

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