The following are betting comments for Round 36 of the 2016-17 English Premier League season. These have been sourced and published with permission from Valuesportsbetting’s weekly form guide.
About Valuesportsbetting
Valuesportsbetting produce form guides that identify value bets for the English Premier League, across a number of betting markets, by looking at the historical stats of each team. Their Season Guide is a free, 68 page ebook detailing the betting trends for every team in the league. There are plenty of mug punters that don’t pay enough attention to the odds that are available. Don’t be one of them, check out their website and form guides at www.valuesportsbetting.com.
Match Comments
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West Ham vs Tottenham |
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The betting markets seem convinced that Spurs can keep winning away. We are not so sure. Their last match was a close call and they won by the narrowest of margins. It could be the same again here so it’s well worth backing West Ham in some way given they are an astounding 8.25 at home.
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Man City vs Crystal Palace |
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The betting markets have given Palace an 8% chance of winning this game. That doesn’t seem right to us and this is backed up by the stats. Similar games have produced an away win 22% of the time. Add this to Palace’s form against high quality teams and this looks like a great value bet.
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Bournemouth vs Stoke |
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There is not much to play for here with both teams almost certainly safe. There is some small value on the draw and this could suit both teams.
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Burnley vs West Brom |
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Burnley could do with one more win to guarantee safety. There are no real value indicators in the stats and these games are too hard to call at the back of the season where really anything can happen.
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Hull vs Sunderland |
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Sunderland are down, Hull are fighting for survival and who would back against them given their excellent home record. There is no value in their price however.
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Leicester vs Watford |
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Another match featuring teams that are both almost guaranteed EPL football next season. Again there is no real value according to the stats. I’m not sure you could trust Leicester to get all 3 points at 1.68 so there is small value on Watford here.
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Swansea vs Everton |
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This is a really interesting line up. Everton safe but with a poor away form against a fighting Swansea. The betting markets have these priced up as equal teams. The stats suggest there is value backing Swansea which is backed up by the aforementioned circumstances.
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Liverpool vs Southampton |
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Again the betting markets look to have the pricing right here. At this stage of the season it all comes down to motivation. Southampton are safe. Liverpool playing for a top 4 finish. Liverpool start as heavy favourites which seems fair to us.
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Arsenal vs Man United |
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According to the analysis there is no value backing Arsenal. There is value backing the draw or Man Utd. Both teams are motivated for a top 4 finish and Arsenal still have a chance given their games in hand. The stats suggest backing against Arsenal in some way.
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Chelsea vs Middlesbrough |
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Middlesbrough must be the highest priced team all season for this match. Both teams need to win for opposite reasons. The draw looks an interesting proposition here given Middlesbrough have drawn 7 of their 17 away games. There is absolutely no value backing Chelsea and there are always risks in these type of games given the stakes are so high.
About Valuesportsbetting
Valuesportsbetting produce form guides that identify value bets for the English Premier League, across a number of betting markets, by looking at the historical stats of each team. Their Season Guide is a free, 68 page ebook detailing the betting trends for every team in the league. There are plenty of mug punters that don’t pay enough attention to the odds that are available. Don’t be one of them, check out their website and form guides at www.valuesportsbetting.com.