The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 29 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.
Burnley vs. Everton
Back the draw at 3.13 (Pinnacle)
Burnley have gone 11 EPL games without a win while Everton have won just 1 away fixture over the last 12 months. Six of Burnley’s last 11 games resulted in a draw while Everton have drawn 7 of their last 18 away from home. This would have resulted in a $8.75 profit had you wagered $1 on the draw for each of those fixtures.
Back under 2.5 goals at 1.552 (Pinnacle)
Only 4 of Burnley’s 19 home fixtures over the last 12 months have gone over 2.5 goals and Burnley’s last six straight fixtures have gone under the total. Burnley have only scored more than one goal in 1 of their last 12 fixtures while Everton’s last six away games have seen them score 1, 0, 1, 0, 1 and 0 goals.
Tottenham vs. Huddersfield
While Huddersfield come into this fixture on the back of two wins, they were against clubs in the second half of the table and Tottenham have been in strong form themselves, going 7-3-0 in their last 10, which included fixtures against Man Utd, Liverpool and Arsenal. All 9 of Huddersfield’s away defeats this season have been to nil. Every one of those defeats was by 2 goals or more. Huddersfield hosted Tottenham earlier in the season and were beaten 4-0.
Watford vs. West Brom
Back Watford in the head to head at 2.139 (Pinnacle)
This is more of a bet against West Brom than it is a bet on Watford. West Brom manager Alan Pardew’s tenure is under serious threat after a 4-game losing streak that has seen them concede 11 goals. West Brom have only won 1 away game over the last 12 months, which is a large reason why they sit at the foot of the table, 6 points adrift of the nearest team. West Brom have picked up just 1 win from 14 Premier League matches since Pardew took over from Tony Pulis in November. Watford, meanwhile, sit comfortable in 10th position, having won their last two home games.
Leicester City vs. Bournemouth
Back the draw at 3.87 (Pinnacle)
Leicester City’s last two home games resulted in 1-1 draws against Swansea and Stoke City, while Bournemouth have drawn 4 of their last 9 fixtures. Four of the 5 previous meetings between the two resulted in a draw.
Man City vs. Chelsea
(this article has been published prior to the Thursday night fixture between Arsenal and Manchester City)
Back Man City in the head to head at 1.65 (Betfair)
At home Man City have been imperious against the top clubs this season, seeing off Liverpool 5-0, Arsenal 3-1 and Tottenham 4-1. Chelsea have faltered in recent weeks, losing 3 of their last 4 fixtures. Two of those defeats came against Bournemouth and Watford.
Back Man City -1.5 in the Asian Handicap at 2.60 (Mad Bookie)
Of Man City’s 17 home wins over the last 12 months, 14 were by more than one goal. Two of Chelsea’s 3 defeats in recent weeks were by more than 1 goal.
Back over 2.5 goals at 1.719 (Pinnacle)
Over the last 12 months 17 out of Man City’s 21 home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals, while their previous 3 fixtures against top-7 sides all went over 3.5 goals. Man City’s last 14 home fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals while Liverpool’s last 4 away fixtures went over the total.
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United
Back Man Utd in the head-to-head at 1.571 (Pinnacle)
Until they get talisman Wilfried Zaha back from injury, I’m content to continue betting against Crystal Palace, who are 0-2-3 in their last 5 fixtures. Zaha is one of 8 player sidelined with injuries, which is a leading contributor to their slide down the table. Manchester United boast an 8-1-0 record against Crystal Palace since the South London club was promoted. They have a 9-2-2 record as the away favourite over the last 12 months.