The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 38 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.
Manchester United vs. Watford
Back Manchester United in the head-to-head at 1.27 (Betfair)
Back Manchester United -1.5 in the Asian handicap at 1.70 (bet365)
Back Manchester United to win to nil at 2.12 (Unibet)
Back the 2-0 correct score at 8.50 (bet365)
Man Utd have gone 15-2-2 at home over the last 12 months. Prior to West Brom’s shock win at Old Trafford, the five previous visiting teams who were in the bottom half of the table all failed to score a goal while four of them were beaten to nil. Watford have a poor 4-2-13 away record and the worst record in the league away from home against the top six, with the Hornets losing each of those fixtures by at least two goals. Man Utd have won each of their last 3 fixtures against Watford by 2 goals. Of Man Utd’s 15 home wins over the last 12 months, 11 were to nil. Since being promoted into the Premier League, Watford have failed to score a goal at Old Trafford.
Southampton vs. Manchester City
Southampton are virtually safe from relegation courtesy of a 9 goal superior goal difference over Swansea, who sit 3 points behind. This game is no longer one they must get anything out of, which plays into the hands of Manchester City, who are aiming to secure an elusive 100 points for the season. Southampton have gone 0-2-3 as the home underdog over the last 12 months while Man City have gone 16-2-1 away from home, with 10 of those 16 wins coming by 2+ goal margins.
Newcastle vs. Chelsea
Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.65 (Betfair)
Since guaranteeing their top flight status for another year, Newcastle have flat-lined, losing their last 4 games while scoring just 1 goal during that stretch. They have a good home record against Chelsea, but the visitors have more to play for, with the final Champions League spot still up in the air. Chelsea have gone 9-2-3 as the away favourite over the last 12 months and have won their last 3 straight away fixtures. Chelsea currently top the EPL form guide and they sit 2nd for away form versus weak opponents.
West Ham vs. Everton
Back Everton +0.5 (half ball) in the Asian handicap at 1.64 (Betfair)
West Ham have been hot and cold over the last few months while Everton have become a tough side to beat. The visitors have only lost 1 of their last 9 and that was to Man City. Everton are a bogey side for West Ham. They’ve only lost once to the Hammers in their last 13 meetings and have gone 0-3-3 in their last away fixtures against West Ham.
Huddersfield vs. Arsenal
Back Huddersfield +1.5 in the Asian handicap at 1.47 (bet365)
Huddersfield have been good value to back at home this season. They’ve gone 4-2-5 as the home underdog, which would have yielded a $7.37 profit had you wagered $1 on them for each fixture. I had grave concerns about their relegation prospects but they’ve dug deep and picked up away draws against Man City and Chelsea leading into this fixture. Arsenal, on the other hand, have been dreadful on the road. They’ve lost their last 7 straight games away from Emirates Stadium, with their 6th placed finish due to their incredibly strong home record. Arsenal have a poor 3-3-7 record as the away favourite over the last 12 months.
Back the 2-1 correct score at 17.00 (bet365)
For a bit of end of season fun, 3 of Arsenal’s last 4 away fixtures resulted in 2-1 defeats.