FIFA World Cup – Group C – Matchday 2 of 3 – France v Peru – Preview & Betting Tips

The following is a match centre with betting tips for the 2018 FIFA World Cup Group C fixture between France and Peru. The game kicks off on the 22nd of June at 1:00 AM AEST. It will be broadcast live by SBS, who now have the rights to all remaining group stage matches.

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France

France

  • FIFA World Rank: 7
  • Elo Rating: 4
  • Qualifying: Won Group A with a 7-2-1 record in the UEFA Confederation qualification.

Squad:

  • Coach: Didier Deschamps
  • Goalkeepers: Alphone Areola (Paris St Germain), Hugo Lloris (Tottenham Hotspur), Steve Mandanda (Olympique de Marseille)
  • Defenders: Lucas Hernandez (Atletico Madrid), Presnel Kimpembe (Paris St Germain), Benjamin Pavard (VfB Stuttgart), Benjamin Mendy (Manchester City), Djibril Sidibe (Monaco), Adil Rami (Olympique de Marseille), Samuel Umtiti (Barcelona), Raphael Varane (Real Madrid)
  • Midfielders: Blaise Matuidi (Juventus), N'Golo Kante (Chelsea), Steven N'Zonzi (Sevilla), Paul Pogba (Manchester United), Corentin Tolisso (Bayern Munich)
  • Forwards: Olivier Giroud (Chelsea), Antoine Griezmann (Atletico Madrid), Kylian Mbappe (Paris St Germain), Thomas Lemar (Monaco), Nabil Fekir (Olympique Lyonnais), Florian Thauvin (Olympique de Marseille), Ousmane Dembele (Barcelona)

Recent results:

  • France 2 – 1 Australia
    16/06/2018
    FIFA World Cup, played in Russia
  • France 1 – 1 USA
    09/06/2018
    Friendly, played in France
  • France 3 – 1 Italy
    01/06/2018
    Friendly, played in France
  • France 2 – 0 Ireland
    28/05/2018
    Friendly, played in France
  • Russia 1 – 3 France
    27/03/2018
    Friendly, played in Russia
  • France 2 – 3 Colombia
    23/03/2018
    Friendly, played in France
  • Germany 2 – 2 France
    14/11/2017
    Friendly, played in Germany
  • France 2 – 0 Wales
    10/11/2017
    Friendly, played in France
  • France 2 – 1 Belarus
    10/10/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in France
  • Bulgaria 0 – 1 France
    07/10/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in Bulgaria
  • France 0 – 0 Luxembourg
    03/09/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in France
  • France 4 – 0 Netherlands
    31/08/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in France

Statistics: (last four years):

  • H2H Record: 35-9-9
  • O/U record
    • O/U 0.5 record: 48-5
    • O/U 1.5 record: 40-13
    • O/U 2.5 record: 28-25
    • O/U 3.5 record: 17-36
    • O/U 4.5 record: 9-44
    • O/U 5.5 record: 3-50
  • Wins
    • Total wins: 35
    • Won by 1 goal: 16
    • Won by 2 goals: 12
    • Won by 3 goals: 4
    • Won by 4 goals: 2
    • Won by 5 goals: 1
    • Won by 5+ goals: 0
    • Won to nil 17
  • Losses
    • Total losses: 9
    • Lost by 1 goal: 6
    • Lost by 2 goals: 3
    • Lost by 3 goals: 0
    • Lost by 4 goals: 0
    • Lost by 5 goals: 0
    • Lost by 5+ goals: 0
    • Lost to nil 5
  • Clean Sheets and BTTS
    • Total Games: 53
    • Clean Sheets: 22
    • Held Scoreless: 10
    • Both Teams Scored: 26
Peru

Peru

  • FIFA World Rank: 11
  • Elo Rating: 10
  • Qualifying: Fifth place in the CONMEBOL qualifiers with a 7-5-6 record. Defeated New Zealand 2-0 on aggregate in the inter-confederation play-offs.

Squad:

  • Coach: Ricardo Gareca (Argentina)
  • Goalkeepers: Gallese (Veracruz-MEX), Carlos Caceda (Veracruz-MEX) and Jose Carvallo (UTC)
  • Defenders: Aldo Corzo (Universitario), Luis Advincula (Lobos BUAP-Mexico), Miguel Araujo (Alianza Lima), Alberto Rodriguez (Junior-Colombia), Christian Ramos (Veracruz-Mexico), Anderson Santamaria (Puebla-Mexico), Luis Abram (Velez Sarsfield-Argentina) and Miguel Tr
  • Midfielders: Renato Tapia (Feyenoord), Pedro Aquino (Lobos BUAP), Yoshimar Yotun (Orlando City), Sergio Pena (Granadan), Edison Flores (Aalborgk), Paolo Hurtado (Vitoria de Guimaraes), Wilder Cartagena (Veracruz), Nilson Loyola (Melgar), Christian Cueva (Sao Paulo), A
  • Forwards: Jefferson Farfan (Lokomotiv), Andy Polo (Portland Timbers), Raul Ruidiaz (Morelia)

Recent results:

  • Peru 0 – 1 Denmark
    16/06/2018
    FIFA World Cup, played in Russia
  • Sweden 0 – 0 Peru
    09/06/2018
    Friendly, played in Sweden
  • Saudi Arabia 0 – 3 Peru
    03/06/2018
    Friendly, played in Switzerland
  • Peru 2 – 0 Scotland
    29/05/2018
    Friendly, played in Peru
  • Peru 3 – 1 Iceland
    27/03/2018
    Friendly, played in USA
  • Peru 2 – 0 Croatia
    23/03/2018
    Friendly, played in USA
  • Peru 2 – 0 New Zealand
    15/11/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in Peru
  • New Zealand 0 – 0 Peru
    11/11/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in New Zealand
  • Peru 1 – 1 Colombia
    10/10/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in Peru
  • Argentina 0 – 0 Peru
    05/10/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in Argentina
  • Ecuador 0 – 2 Peru
    05/09/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in Ecuador
  • Peru 2 – 1 Bolivia
    31/08/2017
    WC qualifiers, played in Peru

Statistics: (last four years):

  • H2H Record: 22-10-11
  • O/U record
    • O/U 0.5 record: 38-5
    • O/U 1.5 record: 30-13
    • O/U 2.5 record: 20-23
    • O/U 3.5 record: 9-34
    • O/U 4.5 record: 2-41
    • O/U 5.5 record: 1-42
  • Wins
    • Total wins: 22
    • Won by 1 goal: 9
    • Won by 2 goals: 10
    • Won by 3 goals: 3
    • Won by 4 goals: 0
    • Won by 5 goals: 0
    • Won by 5+ goals: 0
    • Won to nil 14
  • Losses
    • Total losses: 11
    • Lost by 1 goal: 8
    • Lost by 2 goals: 2
    • Lost by 3 goals: 1
    • Lost by 4 goals: 0
    • Lost by 5 goals: 0
    • Lost by 5+ goals: 0
    • Lost to nil 6
  • Clean Sheets and BTTS
    • Total Games: 43
    • Clean Sheets: 19
    • Held Scoreless: 11
    • Both Teams Scored: 18


Commentary

France opened their account by stuttering to a 2-1 win over Australia. It was an underwhelming performance for one of the pre-tournament favourites. After a promising start France went back into their shells and only managed two shots on target following the 8th minute. There was an element of good fortune in both of their goals, so needless to say, improvement is required if they are to go deep into this tournament. Nevertheless, a win is a win, and France will be pleased to have picked up 3 point despite not playing well. A key concern going forward is their lack of clean sheets. France have only kept their opposition scoreless in one of their last seven games. Player for player they boast one of the most talented squads in the World Cup, it’s just a question of whether they can play as equal to the sum of the squad’s parts. History is on their side in this fixture. Since losing to Argentina in 1978, France are unbeaten in their last seven World Cup fixtures against South American opposition (3-4-0). In team news, there’s speculation that Olivier Giroud will start after being involved in France’s second goal against Australia after coming on as a substitute.

In their opening fixture Peru fell 0-1 to Denmark in heartbreaking fashion. They squandered numerous opportunities, including a missed penalty by the inconsolable Christian Cueva. On the balance of it Peru deserved at least a point in that fixture, which broke their 15-game unbeaten streak, but the coach has acknowledged that that’s the nature of football. They now have to get something out of this game and hope that Denmark failed to beat Australia a few hours earlier. Peru have kept 9 clean sheets in their last 11 games, which will bode well against a French team that failed to break down Australia, a side with a much less impressive defensive record. In team news, striker Paolo Guerrero might start after impressing from the bench in Peru’s opening match.

Betting

bet365 odds (subject to change):

Compare the latest bookmaker odds for France vs. Peru

France will be wary of Peru who, despite not appearing in the World Cup since 1982, are currently ranked 10th in the world. Peru drew Argentina twice and beat Uruguay during qualifying, so their world ranking is no anomaly, as highlighted by their Elo rating rank of 11. France will also be up against a large number of Peruvian fans who will make their voices heard in the stadium.

Much of how this game plays out will come down to whether Peru try to stay tight and accept a point or go for all 3 points. Prior to kick off the fixture between Denmark and Australia will have concluded so Peru will know whether or not 3 points is vital. If Denmark fail to win then a stalemate in this fixture wouldn’t be the end of the world. If Denmark win, however, then Peru will have to push for all 3 points, which would up opportunities for France.

I expect Peru will find themselves pushing for all 3 points, which will contribute to an open game. France’s last nine fixtures have gone over 1.5 goals while five of Peru’s last seven fixtures have gone over 1.5. Peru registered 17 shots in their fixture against Denmark and missed a penalty, so it was an anomaly that their previous fixture stayed under this total.

Betting tip: back over 1.5 goals at 1.37 (Betfair)

Notes

 

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