Saturday Horse Racing Tips – August 11, 2018

The following is a selection of Australian racing tips for Saturday, August 11. The focus is on the Group 3 Aurie’s Star (Race 7) at Flemington as well as The Rosebud (Race 6), Premier’s Cup Prelude (Race 7) and Spring Preview (Race 8) at Rosehill. Alice Springs, Gold Coast, Moe and Morphettville are also covered. More tips and previews will be added as they become available.

Promotions

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Best bets of the day

Flemington Race 4, No. 4 Harmattan
Flemington Race 5, No. 11 Gold Mag
Flemington Race 7, No. 1 Home of the Brave

Alice Springs

William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 3, No. 2 Lock The Doors – BEST BET – 4.5 stars

Flemington

William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 2, No. 6 Prezado – 3.5 stars
Race 4, No. 4 Harmattan – 4 stars
Race 5, No. 11 Gold Mag – 4.5 stars
Race 8, No. 10 Night’s Watch – 4 stars

Quaddie: 4, 5, 8 / 2, 3, 10 / 1, 2, 6, 10 / 5, 6, 10

Palmerbet – Horse Racing Tips & Preview:

Race 1: SIXTIES GROOVE
Race 2: SUNDAY ESCAPE
Race 3: RUBAN BLEU
Race 4: HARMATTAN
Race 5: GOLD MAG
Race 6: HARIPOUR
Race 7: HOME OF THE BRAVE
Race 8: ODEON
Race 9: EXAMPLAR

Betfair – Betfair Insider:

Race 4: BACK (WIN) Harmattan for 1 unit
Race 5: BACK (WIN) Gold Mag for 3 units

Unibet – Shaun Beirne:

Race 5:
Back Gold Mag (1.95) to win.

Race 7 – Aurie’s Star (Group 3)
My Tips:
1. Home Of The Brave
2. Poetic Dream
3. Chamois Road
4. Voodoo Lad
Suggested Bets:
Back Home Of The Brave (3.60) and Chamois Road (19.00) to win.
If investing 10 units have 9 units on Home Of The Brave (3.60) and 1 unit on Chamois Road (19.00).

Unibet – From the Trader’s Desk:

Race 7, #1, HOME OF THE BRAVE (3.60)

Neds – Suggested Runners:

Runners are listed in number order, not order of preference.

Race 7: 2 Voodoo Lad, 5 I Am A Star, 8 Camdus, 10 Brave Song

Unibet – Race Comments and Selections:

Race 7:
HOME OF THE BRAVE (1) Races well fresh winning 4 from 6 starts and has plenty of early speed. Could improve with the run but you can expect a good each way chance. VOODOO LAD (2) Good win two runs back at Caulfield. Racing in good form. Expect to go close. POETIC DREAM (7) First up from a break of 23 weeks. Was competitive in France and went well first run in Australia last preparation. Has the ability to figure. I AM A STAR (5) Profiles nicely for this although needs the right run. Looks a value runner.
Selections: 1 Home of the Brave, 2 Voodoo Lad, 7 Poetic Dream, 5 I Am A Star

Sportsbet – Race Comments and Selections:

Race 7:
HOME OF THE BRAVE resumes. He’s been trialling brilliantly in Sydney and flies fresh. In his latest trial they couldn’t hold him slow enough and he powered through the line. POETIC DREAM is another resuming and he too has trialled up super in the blinkers. He did a similar thing fresh last prep then ran OK fresh. VOODOO LAD is flying and chased a proper Group 1 horse latest but he is less effective up the straight. RICH CHARM on the other hand loves the straight! I AM A STAR ran well in this race last year and she too trialled nicely. BRAVE SONG is unbeaten second up and has a case.
Selections 1 Home of the Brave, 2 Voodoo Lad, 7 Poetic Dream

Ladbrokes – Race Comments:

Race 7:
Can’t imagine one of the top two not winning. VOODOO LAD placed last start at Caulfield and won once this prep at Caulfield two runs back, a close top pick. BRAVE SONG last start winner at Flemington when first up and won all previous races as a favourite, consider. CAMDUS in strong form with two wins from four attempts this campaign and coming off a win at Flemington, could threaten. I AM A STAR first-up after 40 week spell and has the benefit of a Flemington trial, looks threatening.

Gold Coast

William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 5, No. 4 Nashville Skyline – 4 stars
Race 8, No. 3 Upper Avenue – 3.5 stars

Moe

William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 7, No. 5 Unlimited Ability – 4.5 stars

Morphettville

William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 1, No. 4 Just Rolling – 3.5 stars

Rosehill

William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 5, No. 9 Trekking – BEST BET – 4.5 stars
Race 6, No. 7 Golden Tycoon – each-way – 3 stars
Race 7, No. 6 Emperor’s Way – each-way – 4.5 stars

Quaddie: 4, 5, 7, 8 / 1, 6, 10 / 7, 9, 10, 13 / 5, 7

Palmerbet – Horse Racing Tips & Preview:

Race 1: TABLE MOUNTAIN
Race 2: NICCI’S GOLD
Race 3: ISLAND MISSILE
Race 4: SWEET SCANDAL
Race 5: TREKKING
Race 6: PLAGUE STONE
Race 7: MISTER SEA WOLF
Race 8: PRIZED ICON
Race 9: STAR OF MONSOON

Unibet – Shaun Beirne:

Race 4: Back Sweet Scandal (4.80) to win.
Race 5: Back Trekking (2.75) to win.

Unibet – From the Trader’s Desk:

Race 5, #2, TACTICAL ADVANTAGE (2.40) – BEST BET
Race 9, #8, PRIORITISE (10.00) – VALUE BET
Rosehill, Race 9, #7, PARET – LAY BET – bet against this horse with Betfair

Neds – Suggested Runners:

Runners are listed in number order, not order of preference.

Race 6: 3 Sandbar, 4 Plague Stone, 5 Oxford Tycoon, 7 Golden Tycoon
Race 7: 3 Sons of John, 8 Harper’s Choice, 10 Carzoff, 12 Green Sweet
Race 8: 1 Prized Icon, 8 Show A Star, 10 Flow, 13 I Am Serious

Unibet – Race Comments and Selections:

Race 6:
PLAGUE STONE (4) Fitter today second up. Won narrowly last time at Randwick and should go very well today. OXFORD TYCOON (5) Ran away with a win last run at Wyong and strips fitter today. Displays good tactical speed. Each way. SANDBAR (3) First up from a break of 20 weeks. Nice run when finishing 2nd two runs back at Rosehill but has drawn a wide gate. Don’t underestimate . LEGEND OF CONDOR (1) First run back after a break of 18 weeks. Snuck in a place when 2nd last run at Randwick and has a nice advantage with a soft barrier. Could give a sight.
Selections: 4 Plague Stone, 5 Oxford Tycoon, 3 Sandbar, 1 Legend of Condor

Race 7:
MISTER SEA WOLF (1) Brave effort to win last run at Rosehill but bit of extra work to do with more weight today. Has a great burst of speed late. Appears as a winning threat. HARPER’S CHOICE (8) Game effort to win last start at Rosehill and has minimal work to do from the gate. Shows good early pace. Each way. CARZOFF (10) At peak fitness. Good form finishing 2nd two runs back at Randwick but rising in grade. Key hope. DARK EYES (5) Had excuses for the run last start when 8th beaten 4.3L at Randwick. Will go much better this time around.
Selections: 1 Mister Sea Wolf, 8 Harper’s Choice, 10 Carzoff, 5 Dark Eyes

Race 8:
I AM SERIOUS (13) Racing fresh today after a break of 9 weeks. Solid effort when winning last start at Randwick. Likely to go well here today. FLOW (10) Ran on strongly when 2nd last run at Rosehill. Drawn wide but has the ability to feature here. INVINZABEEL (3) Nice run when 2nd two runs back at Rosehill. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned here. Can make a claim. PRIZED ICON (1) First up for 18 weeks. Made considerable ground when 3rd two runs back at Rosehill. Has each way claims.
Selections: 13 I Am Serious, 10 Flow, 3 Invinzabeel, 1 Prized Icon

Sportsbet – Race Comments and Selections:

Race 6:
1, 3, 5 and 7 to set the tone. PLAGUE STONE was the only maiden against winners first-up, and the only 1st-upper against race-fit horses. Sure to benefit from that outing and has shown some class when up against Written By last prep. SANDBAR’s trial was solid but he might end up in the same boat as his stablemate Witherspoon and find PLAGUE STONE just a touch too good. LEGEND OF CONDOR can use that inside draw to either lead or follow the leader. Fitter for two trials.
Selections 4 Plague Stone, 3 Sandbar, 1 Legend of Condor, 5 Oxford Tycoon

Race 7:
Pace not overly strong. 14 and 5 to lead? MISTER SEA WOLF matches up again with seven horses out of the race he won last start and all of those seven were well beaten by him. That 2 kilo Weatherley claim comes right into play here as he ends up being well weighted. (The WOLF has carried 64 kilos to victory in Ireland.) It took a while to notch a win out here but this looks a great race for him to go back-to-back. HARPER’S CHOICE freshened and back in distance. I’ll be interested to see where the market has him. CARZOFF an each-way hope.
Selections 1 Mister Sea Wolf, 8 Harper’s Choice, 10 Carzoff, 2 Testashadow

Race 8:
Good race this, albeit with a few likely Metrop runners resuming. Pace from 8 and 10. 3 and 14 set up in handy positions. FLOW was unwanted and ran like it two back but returned to his expected level last start and should do here. Can’t see him getting anything but a positive run if here (he’s also in at Flemington). PRIZED ICON the go-to if FLOW heads south. Never a winner fresh but did run 2nd to Lanciato resuming last prep over this same track and trip and gave him 7 kilos on that occasion. INVINZABEEL would be deserving of a win after honest work throughout this prep. And I AM SERIOUS doesn’t run poorly often (but di so 1st-up last prep).
Selections 10 Flow, 1 Prized Icon, 3 Invizabeel, 13 I Am Serious

Ladbrokes – Race Comments:

Race 6:
OXFORD TYCOON last start winner to break maiden at Wyong when fresh and Blake Shinn has had success aboard previously, tough to beat. PLAGUE STONE won last start to break maiden at Randwick when first up and rates highly with Hugh Bowman aboard, the real danger in the race. SANDBAR back after 20 week break and prepped well winning last trial at the same track, place chance. GOLDEN TYCOON strong in winning at only start at Canterbury and drops in weight, chance to place.

Race 7:
HARPER’S CHOICE back from let-up and led throughout for a dominant win last start at Rosehill, a winning chance. CARZOFF placed when fresh and running 4.5kg lighter than last start, cannot be ruled out. SONS OF JOHN has the speed to overcome an unfavourable draw and four of seven wins have come from dry ground, not without each-way claims. GREEN SWEET short back-up of seven days and down in weight, sneaky chance.

Race 8:
I AM SERIOUS let-up for nine weeks and will come to hand quickly, hard to go past. FLOW winner at Rosehill and placed twice this campaign, still in this. PRIZED ICON resumes from an 18 week spell and ran second at Rosehill when last first-up, dangerous. SHOW A STAR should look to roll forward and seven of eight wins have come from dry ground, strong place chance.

 

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