The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 11 of the 2025/26 English Premier League season. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com.
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Tottenham vs. Man Utd |
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Man Utd to win by a 1-goal margin at 4.33 (bet365)
This is simply a bet against Tottenham. Spurs will be backing up after playing at home in the UEFA Champions League in midweek, while Man Utd don’t have a midweek fixture. Tottenham’s abysmal home run was extended with a 0-1 defeat to Chelsea last week. The scoreline flattered Spurs, who recorded an expected goals figure of just 0.05 – their lowest on record in the Premier League. Chelsea’s xG, meanwhile, was nearly 3. Tottenham have just three wins in their past 19 games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and they have gone 0-1-7 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Man Utd are in good form but they have a poor away record, so rather than take them in the head-to-head, I will opt for a higher-odds market and take the visitors in the winning margin. Nine of Tottenham’s 12 home defeats over the last twelve months were by a 1-goal margin, while three of Man Utd’s four away wins were by a 1-goal margin.
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Sunderland vs. Arsenal |
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Arsenal to win to nil at 2.00 (bet365)
Sunderland have been really good this season, particularly at home, but Arsenal are in sublime form. The Gunners (pending their midweek Champions League fixture) are on a nine-game winning streak in all competitions and they have kept clean sheets in their last seven games. In their last five EPL clashes their xG against was 0.49, 0.49, 0.44, 0.47 and 0.42.
SGM: Arsenal to win to nil & Under 3 goals 3.10 (bet365)
Arsenal’s last four EPL games ended in 1-0 or 2-0 wins.
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Chelsea vs. Wolves |
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Chelsea -1.5 at 2.00 (bet365)
There’s not much value in Chelsea in the head-to-head, so I will opt for the Asian Handicap. Spanning this season and the last, Wolves are in 0-3-11 form. They have only scored one goal in five EPL away games this season. Since promotion, Wolves have suffered five away defeats to Chelsea and all five were by 2+ goal margins.
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Crystal Palace vs. Brighton |
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Brighton +0.5 at 1.71 (Betfair)
Draw at 3.50 (bet365)
Crystal Palace don’t have a huge amount of squad depth, so they can’t rotate the squad heavily between tournaments. For this reason they appear to tire at the end of a long sequence of fixtures (their trip to Everton in October was a great example). Due to their UEFA Conference League commitments and their ongoing EFL Cup run, Palace will have a Thursday night fixture for the third consecutive week, while Brighton have no midweek commitments this week. Palace have a draw-heavy 2-5-1 record at home against Brighton since the Seagulls were promoted. Brighton tend to lift against strong opposition. They have already beaten Man City, Chelsea (away) and Newcastle this season. I’ve opted for them in the Asian Handicap rather than the head-to-head out of respect for the fact that Palace haven’t lost at home in the Premier League since mid February.
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Brentford vs. Newcastle |
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Brentford +0.5 at 1.62 (Betfair)
Spanning this season and the last, Newcastle have failed to win their last eight EPL away games. They recorded an xG of just 0.54 away against West Ham last week – an opponent that has been far weaker than Brentford this season. The Bees boast an impressive 5-3-3 record as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Newcastle will be backing up following their UEFA Champions League clash against Athletic Bilbao, while Brentford have no midweek fixture.
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Man City vs. Liverpool |
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Man City in the head-to-head at 1.95 (Betfair)
I will side with Man City, despite the fact that their UEFA Champions League clash is one day later than Liverpool’s. City have won four EPL home games in a row and Erling Haaland is currently in a rich vein of form. Liverpool have lost three EPL away games in a row and they have a 0-0-2 record as the away underdog in the EPL over the last twelve months.