The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 28 of the 2025/26 English Premier League season. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com.
Compare EPL bookmaker odds
View the EPL form guide
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Wolves vs. Aston Villa |
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Aston Villa 0 (draw no bet) at 1.45 (Betfair)
Aston Villa +0.5 (double chance) at 1.30 (Betfair)
Wolves have just one win from 28 EPL games this season. They have gone 0-4-10 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Wolverhampton’s 1-3-10 home record this season is the worst in the league and they bring 0-2-4 form into this game. Aston Villa have yet to lose to a side currently ranked below 13 this season. Spanning back to Round 4, Villa haven’t lost to a side outside the top ten.
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Bournemouth vs. Sunderland |
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Bournemouth 0 (draw no bet) at 1.38 (Betfair)
Bournemouth +0.5 (double chance) at 1.26 (Betfair)
Sunderland have Granit Xhaka back from injury, but I’m willing to take them on given their 2-4-7 away record this campaign. Bournemouth bring a seven-game unbeaten streak into this clash (4-3-0) and they have only suffered two home defeats (6-5-2 record) all season.
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Liverpool vs. West Ham |
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West Ham +2.0 at 1.48 (Betfair)
West Ham +2.5 at 1.35 (Betfair)
Liverpool continue to get results, but they haven’t been playing well, and last week’s 1-0 win over Nottingham Forest was a classic example. West Ham bring season-best 3-2-1 form into this game. Looking at the interactive EPL form guide for home fixtures against weak opponents, Liverpool have only won one of their last six by more than a two-goal margin. Looking at the head-to-head data, out of Liverpool’s last six league home wins over West Ham, five were by 1-goal margins and one was by a 2-goal margin.
Liverpool to win by 1 goal at 4.00 (bet365)
In all competitions, Liverpool have won ten in a row at home against West Ham. Five of their last six home league wins over the Hammers were by 1-goal margins.
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Leeds vs. Man City |
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Leeds +1.5 at 1.51 (Betfair)
Leeds +2.0 at 1.25 (Betfair)
Leeds have only lost two of their last fourteen league games and they have only lost once by a 2+ goal margin in their last sixteen EPL fixtures. Leeds only lost by a one-goal margin at the City of Manchester Stadium in November. Leeds have picked up more points at home (22) than Manchester City have away (20) this season.
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Man Utd vs. Crystal Palace |
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Man Utd in the head-to-head at 1.58 (BetEstate)
Man Utd bring 5-1-0 form into this game and they have won three consecutive home fixtures. Crystal Palace have won two of their last three, but their performances have been really poor and they were against out-of-form or relegation-candidate opponents. Palace have also benefited from opposition red cards in recent weeks. The Eagles bring a loss-heavy 2-3-7 form line into this game.
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Arsenal vs. Chelsea |
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Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.67 (Betfair)
After tripping up against Brentford and Wolves, Arsenal bounced back with a 4-1 win over Tottenham to rebuild a 5-point lead at the top of the table. Chelsea enter this game on the back of home draws against Leeds and Burnley. The Blues have lost three in a row at Emirates Stadium and they have gone 0-1-2 as the away underdog over the last twelve months. Arsenal boast a 10-2-1 home record this season.