The Barclays ATP World Tour Finals in London continue tonight, when Tsonga plays Fish and Nadal plays Federer. In their first match Tsonga and Fish lost to Federer and Nadal, respectively, so the tournament could effectively be over for the loser of that match. The winner of Nadal and Federer will virtually assure progression to the semi-finals, while the loser’s future will be determined by their third group-stage match. You can follow all of the action from the official website here.
Below are the current group standings with each player’s win-loss record in brackets.
1. Ferrer (1-0)
2. Djokovic (1-0)
3. Berdych (0-1)
4. Murray (0-1)
Murray is now a longshot to win the tournament, and the 13.00 odds to win the tournament are certainly not worth the risk. The Scottish player is considering withdrawing from the tournament due to a groin injury he picked up in training. Learn more.
1. Federer (1-0)
2. Nadal (1-0)
3. Fish (0-1)
4. Tsonga (0-1)
Given questions over Nadal and Fish’s match fitness, Federer is certainly in the box seat to win Group B. It is not surprising to see him as the 2.30 odds on favourite to win the competition.
November 22nd (local time) Head to Heads
Tsonga vs Fish
Surprisingly, the two have only played each other once before, when Tsonga beat Fish 6-4 6-7(5) 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the 2011 US Open. Tsonga lost his first match in the ATP Finals 6-2 2-6 6-4 to Federer, while Fish lost his first match 6-2 3-6 7-6(3) to Nadal. Tsonga comes into the fixture with better form and match fitness, so he deserves the 1.50 favourite tag. Fish has only won of his last six competitive matches, and I predict Tsonga to come out on top here.
Nadal vs Federer
Federer enters this fixture on the back of a 6-2 2-6 6-4 win over Tsonga, while Nadal saw off Mardy Fish 6-2 3-6 7-6(3) in his first match. Nadal boasts an 18-8 record against Federer, including the last two hard court meetings between the two, and the last four matches in a row. With that being said however, their last meeting was at the French Open, and Federer’s form has picked up considerably since then. He is enjoying a lengthy winning streak, having won the last two tournaments he played in. Nadal, meanwhile, is not in his best form, sneaking past Fish in his first game, and losing 7-6(5) 6-3 to Florian Mayer in Shanghai earlier this year. Interestingly, of the 26 competitive matches between the two, the favourite has won on all but four occasions. Federer is the 1.45 favourite for tonight, and based on the unconvincing form Nadal showed against Fish, I would back Federer to come out on top.