2015 Rugby World Cup – Ireland vs. Argentina – Preview & Betting Tips

The following is a preview with betting tips for the 2015 Rugby World Cup quarter-final clash between Ireland and Argentina. More details, including team sheets, will be added as they become available.

Note that the majority of this content is sourced from our 2015 Rugby World Cup Form Guides, Previews & Tips page.

Ireland vs. Argentina

Stage: Quarter-finals

Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
October 18, 2015
Kick-off at 11:00 PM
Referee: Jérôme Garcès (France)

Ireland squad: 1. Cian Healy, 2. Rory Best, 3. Mike Ross, 4. Devin Toner, 5. Iain Henderson, 6. Jordi Murphy, 7. Chris Henry, 8. Jamie Heaslip (captain), 9. Conor Murray, 10. Jonathan Sexton, 11. Dave Kearney, 12. Robbie henshaw, 13. Keith Earls, 14. Tommy Bowe, 15. Rob Kerney. Replacements: 16. Richardt Strauss, 17. Jack McGrath, 18. Nathan White, 19. Donnacha Ryan, 20. Rhys Ruddock, 21. Eoin Reddan, 22. Ian Madigan, 23. Luke Fitzgerald

Argentina squad: 1. Marcos Ayerza, 2. Agustin Creevy (captain), 3. Ramiro Herrera, 4. Guido Petti, 5. Tomas Lavanini, 6. Pablo Matera, 7. Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe, 8. Leonardo Senatore, 9. Martin Landajo, 10. Nicolas Sanchez, 11. Juan Imhoff, 12. Juan Martin Hernandez, 13. Matias Moroni, 14. Santiago Cordero, 15. Joaquin Tuculet. Replacements: 16. Julian Montoya, 17. Lucas Noguera, 18. Juan Pablo Orlandi, 19. Matias Alemanno, 20. Facundo Isa , 21. Tomas Cubelli , 22. Jeronimo De La Fuente, 23. Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino

Preview: Ireland beat France 24-9 in their final Pool match to avoid a quarter-final encounter with New Zealand, but the win came at a cost, with captain Paul O'Connell, Johnny Sexton, and Peter O'Mahony suffering injuries. O'Connell and O'Mahony have been ruled out of the World Cup while Sexton has been unable to train this week. Ireland are also without Jared Payne (foot) and Sean O'Brien (suspension).

Ireland have a strong record against Argentina, winning all five matches since 2008, however Los Pumas have looked strong in the Pool stage, losing by just 10 points to New Zealand before thrashing their other three opponents, two of whom by bigger margins than the All Blacks did. Prior to the World Cup Argentina fielded under-strength teams for much of the Rugby Championship, but did manage their first ever win over South Africa and they did so on South African soil. Of the four quarter-final fixtures this certainly has the biggest chance of an upset.

Betting: Argentina are a bit of a dark horse in my opinion. I would back Argentina at the line. Another option is to back both Ireland 1-12 at 2.69 (Pinnacle Sports) and Argentina 1-12 at 3.50 (Sportsbet).

Betting tip: back Argentina +3.5 in the Line market at 1.95 (Ladbrokes)

Selection
Ireland
Argentina
1.58
2.56
1.57
2.62
1.55
2.50
1.55
2.60
Ireland
Argentina
(-3.5)  1.97
(+3.5)  1.93
(-4.0)  2.00
(+4.0)  2.00
(-4.0)  1.91
(+4.0)  1.91
(-4.0)  1.90
(+4.0)  1.90

 

Form Guide: Ireland

Date (y-m-d) Fixture Result Score
2015-10-12 France vs. Ireland Win 9-24
2015-10-05 Ireland vs. Italy Win 16-9
2015-09-28 Ireland vs. Romania Win 44-10
2015-09-19 Ireland vs. Canada Win 50-7
2015-09-05 England vs. Ireland Loss 21-13
2015-08-29 Ireland vs. Wales Loss 10-16
2015-08-15 Ireland vs. Scotland Win 28-22
2015-08-08 Wales vs. Ireland Win 21-35

Form Guide: Argentina

Date (y-m-d) Fixture Result Score
2015-10-11 Argentina vs. Namibia Win 64-19
2015-10-04 Argentina vs. Tonga Win 45-16
2015-09-26 Argentina vs. Georgia Win 54-9
2015-09-21 New Zealand vs. Argentina Loss 26-16
2015-08-15 Argentina vs. South Africa Loss 12-26
2015-08-08 South Africa vs. Argentina Win 25-37
2015-07-25 Argentina vs. Australia Loss 9-34
2015-07-17 New Zealand vs. Argentina Loss 39-18


H2H Guide: Ireland vs. Argentina

Date (y-m-d) Fixture Score
2014-06-14 Argentina vs. Ireland 17-23
2014-06-07 Argentina vs. Ireland 17-29
2012-11-24 Ireland vs. Argentina 46-24
2010-11-28 Ireland vs. Argentina 29-9
2008-11-22 Ireland vs. Argentina 17-3

Note: only league games are included. The above does not include preseason and cup fixtures.

Value Guides:

Team Market Last 6 Last 12 Last 18
Ireland H2H $-1.25 $-1.13 $2.71
Argentina H2H $6.70 $10.62 $4.62

The above figures represent the net profit from wagering $1.00 on the associated selection each game.


 

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