The following are previews with betting tips for the Euro 2016 Quarter-finals: Poland vs. Portugal, Wales vs. Belgium, Germany vs. Italy and France vs. Iceland.
The winner of Poland vs. Portugal will play the winner of Wales vs. Belgium in the semi-finals, while the winner of Germany vs. Italy will play the winner of France vs. Iceland.
Tournament Winner Odds
Below are the tournament winner odds at the time of writing. bet365 odds are shown because they will refund your bet if your side loses on penalties. There is no bet limit that we’re aware of for this promotion. In 2012 one out of the four quarter-finals was settled by penalties while in both 2004 and 2008 two out of the four fixtures went to penalties.
Euro 2016 Quarter-finals Predictions
The following Euro 2016 quarter-finals previews are in order of the tournament schedule. Odds will likely change leading up to kickoff. View the latest Euro 2016 odds.
Poland v Portugal
Fri Jul 1 – 5.00am Marseille
Poland finished 2nd in Group C on goal difference behind Germany. They then defeated Switzerland on penalties after playing out a 1-1 draw. Impressively, Poland have only conceded one goal this tournament.
Portugal qualified for the Round of 16 after drawing all three Group stage games. In the Round of 16, after a 0-0 draw at full-time, they then knocked out Croatia in extra time thanks to a 117-minute Quaresma goal.
Neither side was convincing in the Round of 16 so on paper this could be the least entertaining of the quarter-final matches. I’m expecting a scoreline somewhere along the lines of 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1. Poland have conceded just one goal in four games this tournament but have yet to score more than one goal in any game. Portugal, meanwhile, have gone under 2.5 goals in three of their four fixtures this tournament.
Back under 2.5 goals at 1.45 (Unibet)
Wales v Belgium
Sat Jul 2 – 5.00am Lille
Wales topped Group B ahead of England before narrowly defeating Northern Ireland 1-0 in the Round of 16. Gareth Bale continues to be a trump card for them and Wales will be buoyed by their Euro 2016 qualifying results against Belgium. In their head-to-heads, the sides drew 0-0 in Brussels before Wales won 1-0 in Cardiff thanks to a Gareth Bale goal.
Belgium finished 2nd in Group E behind Italy. They were dreadful in their first clash against the Italians but put their campaign back on track with wins over Ireland and Sweden. In a commanding performance Belgium then thrashed Hungary 4-0 in the Group of 16 with four different players finding the back of the net.
Belgium’s form looks ominous at the moment. Since losing 2-0 to Italy they have won three straight, scoring 8 goals in the process without conceding. Wales have done really well thus far but the high frequency of fixtures tends to make it hard for the underdog coming into the sharp end of the tournament.
Back Belgium in the head-to-head at 1.769 (Matchbook)
Germany v Italy
Sun Jul 3 – 5.00am Bordeaux
Germany topped Group C ahead of Poland due to a superior goal difference, with both sides going 2-1-0. Germany then saw off Slovakia comfortably with a 3-0 win despite missing a penalty. Germany remain the only side in the tournament who have yet to concede a goal.
Italy topped Group E ahead of Belgium before defeating Spain 2-0 in the Round of 16. They have only conceded one goal this tournament, and that was in their clash against Ireland when Italy had nothing to play for.
On paper this is the best match-up of the quarter-finals, even if goals may be at a premium. Astonishingly, Germany have never beaten Italy at a major tournament, drawing four and losing four, with all four defeats coming in the knockout stages. Given Italy’s strong defence and the fact that they’ve already defeated Belgium and Spain this tournament, I’m going to take the value and back a full-time draw. A 0-0 halftime score (2.32 with Sportsbet) wouldn’t surprise me if you like halftime correct score betting.
Back the draw at 3.10 (Pinnacle)
France v Iceland
Mon Jul 4 – 5.00am St-Denis
It took a few late goals to do so, but France topped Group A as was heavily expected. They then came back from conceding a 2nd-minute penalty goal against Ireland to win their Round of 16 clash 2-1. So far this tournament the only two goals France have conceded have been from the penalty spot. All six of the goals France have scored have come in the second half.
With a population of just over 330,000, Iceland continue to be one of the surprises of the tournament. After finishing 2nd in Group F behind Hungary and ahead of Portugal they came back from a goal down against England to win their Round of 16 clash 2-1. Like fellow underdogs Wales, they continue to play with plenty of pride and passion, but you have to wonder when the high frequency of fixtures will start to catch up with them. One interesting stat about both Iceland and Wales is they are the only two sides in the tournament who have scored in every fixture. Iceland’s six goals have come from six different players.
If I had to pick a scoreline it would be 2-1 or 1-1. France have a 14-2-0 record in the last 16 games in major tournaments that they have hosted, but they haven’t looked quite as convincing in 2016. Iceland meanwhile have scored at least one goal in their last 13 straight games.