Saturday Racing Tips – Caulfield Cup Day – October 15 2016

The following is a selection of racing tips for Saturday, October 15, 2016. The focus is on Caulfield Cup day but selected races at other venues are also covered.

More tips and previews will be added as they become available.

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Best bets of the weekend

Caulfield Race 7, No.2 Tycoon Tara
Caulfield Race 8, No.11 Jameka
Caulfield Race 9, No.5 Hellbent with No.4 Wild Rain to place
Randwick Race 2, No.2 Torgerson


William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 4, No.1 Moqueen – 3.5 star bet
Race 8 – The Wolf’s Top 5:
1. Jameka
2. Sir John Hawkwood
3. Scottish
4. Sacred Master
5. Exospheric
Race 9, No.5 Hellbent – 4 star bet
Caulfield Quaddie: 1,2,3,6,12 / 4,8,11,15 / 5 / 1,4,8,12

The Betfair Insider:

R4 Ethereal Stakes 2000m Group 3 SWP 3YO Fillies
LAY (WIN) Sebring Dream for 3 units at $4 or less

R5 Caulfield Classic 2000m Group 3 SW 3YO
BACK (WIN) Wine Bush – 2 units at $10 or more
BACK (WIN) Rocketeer – 1.5 units at $12 or more
BACK (WIN) Kent – 1.5 units at $15 or more

R6 Coongy Stakes G3 2000m
BACK (WIN) It’s Somewhat – 10 units at $2.8 or more

R7 Tristarc Stakes 4yo + Mares G2 1400m
BACK (WIN) Danish Twist – 10 units at $4 or more

R8 Caulfield Cup G1 Handicap 2400m
BACK (WIN) Jameka – 7 units at $4 or more
BACK (WIN) Sir Isaac Newton – 3 units at $10 or more
BACK (WIN) Sacred Master – 1 unit at $20 or more

R9 Caulfield Sprint 1000m Group 2 HCP
BACK (WIN) Hellbent – 8 units at $2 or more

R10 Moonga Stakes 4yo+ G3 1400m
BACK (WIN) Hopfgarten – 5 units at $7 or more
BACK (PLACE) Hopfgarten – 5 units at $2.25 or more
LAY (WIN) Fast ‘n’ Rocking for 2 units
LAY (PLACE) Fast ‘n Rocking for 5 units

Unibet – Stewart Croker:

Race 8 – Caulfield Cup picks:
1. Articus
2. Exospheric
3. Jameka
4. Real Love
Race 9 – No.4 Wild Rain – best bet of the week

Madbookie – Dan Mielecki:

Race 1 12:15pm 1400m (3yo fillies’): 3. SKYLIGHT GLOW from 5, 11, 6
Race 2 12:50pm 1400m (Gothic Stakes Listed): 7. ACATOUR from 4, 5, 12
Race 3 1:25pm 1100m (Alinghi Stakes Listed): 2. I LOVE IT from 3, 6, 7
Race 4 2:00pm 2000m (Ethereal Stakes Group 3): 2. SEBRING DREAM from 5, 1, 3
Race 5 2:35pm 2000m (Norman Robinson Group 3): 1. SEABURGE from 2, 7, 9
Race 6 3:10pm 2000m (Coongy Cup Group 3): 4. VANBRUGH from 1, 2, 3
Race 7 3:45pm 1400m (Tristarc Stakes Group 2): 2. TYCOON TARA from 6, 10, 1
Race 8 4:30pm 2400m (Caulfield Cup Group 1): 8. SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD from 12, 11, 4
Race 9 5:10pm 1000m (Caulfield Sprint Group 2): 4. WILD RAIN from 5, 8, 2
Race 10 5:45pm 1400m (Moonga Stakes Group 3): 8. AMOVATIO from 12, 15, 4

BEST VALUE: Race 2 #12 VIOLATE / Race 10 #8 AMOVATIO

Sportsbet – Gary Legg:

Race 7:
Best Bet: 1. Tycoon Tara, 2. French Emotion, 3. Danish Twist
Value Tip: Denmagic

Race 9:
Best Bet: 1. Wild Rain, 2. Hellbent, 3. Our Boy Malachi
Value: Faatinah

Sportsbet – Bruce Clark:

Race 8: Caulfield Cup tips: 1. REAL LOVE, 2. JAMEKA, 3. TALLY, 4. SET SQUARE

Palmerbet Blog:

Race 8: Caulfield Cup tips: 1: REAL LOVE, 2: Jameka, 3: Scottish

Ladbrokes Race Comments:

Race 4:
Sebring Dream was the best of the closers in a bit of an on pace dominated Thousand Guineas last week. This is much easier so she gets her chance. Savvan looks an improving staying type. She’ll go forward and run it out strong. Eleonora was luckless last start. She’ll take a huge step here and Moqueen should have no trouble with the longer trip. Respect any betting moves on some fillies getting out over a trip for the first time.

Race 5:
Hard to find a negative with Seaburge. He wins the Guineas in a few more strides last week and the stable have always had the Derby in mind. With a perfect run he’s tough to beat. Good Standing was brave in the Guineas. With a much softer run he’ll be there a long way. Wine Bush and Rocketeer cleared out in an easier race last start but do looks to have each-way claims. Odeon is an improver as he’ll race much closer here.

Race 6:
It’s Somewhat is in career best form and still has some upside this prep. Has the big weight but straight into the box seat he’s clearly the one to beat. Maurus looks ready to bring his best after improving last start. He’ll go back and charge home. Vanbrugh is ready for the longer trip off a nice run in the Epsom. De Little Engine is the other big closer from the back.

Race 7:
No reason why Tycoon Tara can’t continue on her winning way. She races well here and lands straight into the box seat. She’ll be hard to get past. First Seal badly needed her fresh run. She’s a big improver and gets in well here. Pearls brings similar form lines, she’s got each-way claims from the good gate and watch for Shillelagh storming home.

Race 8:
Extremely hard to go against Jameka with the perfect preparation she’s had for the race. She thrashed everything else behind Hartnell last start and she’s got the tactical speed to overcome the tricky gate. She’s clearly the best of the locals. Never easy with the imports when they haven’t had a run on our shore but they do look the main dangers. Exospheric and Sir Isaac Newton weren’t far away from the best in Europe in the Juddmonte. They’ll both run this out strong back to this level. Scottish and Articus are better over slightly shorter trips in Europe but they possess speed and they will run the trip out strong enough around Caulfield. Sir John Hawkwood has some claims with the perfect run just off the pace.

Race 9:
Have to believe what you saw with Hellbent last start where he flew past a mare in peak form. Drawn to get to the outside, he’ll be tough to hold out. Wild Rain is racing in peak form. She’ll be just off pace and she’ll run it strong. Lankan Rupee deserves the weight. Anywhere near his best is still good enough and Our Boy Malachi always goes in everything.

Other Venues

William Hill – The Wolf:

Randwick Race 2, No.2 Torgerson – 3.5 star bet
Randwick Race 3, No.1 Bezel – 4 star bet
Randwick Quaddie: 2,3,5 / 3,5,7,11 / 3,8,10 / 6,8,9,16

Betfair – Ratings2Win:

Randwick R8 The Nivison Stakes 1200m GP3 4YO+ MARES SWP $151,000
BACK (WIN) Artistry at $6.50+ (0.9 units)
BACK – SAVE (WIN) Nancy at $11+ (0.1 units)

Madbookie – Dan Mielecki:

Race 1 12:35pm 1000m (Victory Vein Plate): 1. Goodfella from 10,3
Race 2 1:10pm 1600m (BM93): 2. TORGERSEN from 4, 3, 5
Race 3 1:45pm 1600m (BM71): 6. POWER LAW from 1, 4, 7
Race 4 2:20pm 1200m (Highway Handicap Class 2): 11. PUMPKIN PIE from 10, 5, 8
Race 5 2:55pm 1400m (BM83): 2. BULLRUSH from 4, 7, 5
Race 6 3:30pm 2400m: 2. SENSE OF OCCASION from 1, 5, 3
Race 7 4:10pm 1200m (Brian Crowley Stakes): 7. HAIR TRIGGER from 2, 4, 12
Race 8 4:50pm 1200m (Nivison Stakes): 10. EGYPTIAN SYMBOL from 1, 2, 7
Race 9 5:30pm 1100m: 16. SPIETH from 8, 6, 4



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