English Premier League Round 3 Betting Tips

The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 3 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.

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Bournemouth vs. Manchester City


Back Manchester City in the head-to-head at 1.34 (Marathon Bet)

Manchester City have won all four of their previous fixtures against Bournemouth comfortably, scoring 15 goals to 1 on aggregate. City haven’t conceded a goal in their last three fixtures against Bournemouth, two of which were at Dean Court. Despite making promising moves in the transfer market, Bournemouth have started the season slowly, with defeats to West Brom and Watford. They have yet to find the back of the net this season and they now take on one of the best defensive line-ups in the league.


Watford vs. Brighton


Back Watford in the head-to-head at 1.98 (Marathon Bet)

Watford have made a promising start to their campaign under new manager Marco Silva, drawing Liverpool 3-3 before beating Bournemouth 2-0 away from home. Brighton have lost their opening fixtures against tough opponents without troubling the scoreboard. Watford will be a good chance of finding the back of the net this weekend while Brighton’s struggles going forward look set to continue. Despite their disappointing 2016/17 campaign, Watford only lost one home game when installed as the favourite last season.


Crystal Palace vs. Swansea


Back under 2.5 goals at 1.75 (Unibet)

Both sides have made awful starts to the season. Crystal Palace are pointless having lost 3-0 at home to Huddersfield and 1-0 away at Liverpool. They did beat Championship side Ipswich 2-1 in the League Cup mid-week, but it took late goals to do so and Ipswich had made 11 changes to their squad for that clash. Swansea have also looked weak, particularly offensively, with Gylfi Sigurdsson gone and Fernando Llorente short of match fitness. Swansea drew Southampton 0-0 in their opening EPL fixture before being swept aside 4-0 by Manchester United. While the last two clashes between Palace and Swansea went over 2.5 goals, the previous six clashes saw 2 goals or fewer.


Bournemouth vs. Manchester City


Back Manchester United in the head-to-head at 1.34 (Marathon Bet)

I don’t often back 1.34 favourites in the EPL, but Manchester United have looked incredibly strong over the opening two weeks, beating West Ham 4-0 and Swansea 4-0. Leicester tend to be strong at home but defensively frail on the road. Despite United’s well documented struggles with draws at home last season, they beat Leicester 4-1 at home before seeing them off 3-0 at King Power Stadium, so they match up well against the Leicester squad. United only lost one home game as the favourite last season, while Leicester only won one fixture as the away underdog. Leicester slipped 4 goals against Arsenal in their opening away fixture of the season and I suspect they will be defensively found wanting again this weekend.


West Brom vs. Stoke City


Back West Brom in the head-to-head at 2.45 (William Hill)
Back West Brom in the Draw No Bet market at 1.72 (Unibet)

West Brom boast an imposing 8-1-1 record as the home favourite over the last 12 months. They have made a good start to the campaign, beating Bournemouth 1-0 and Burnley 1-0. With their strong defence, West Brom are a classic Tony Pulis side in that they can take a 1-0 lead and then sit on it. Stoke City have gone 2-4-11 as the away underdog over the last 12 months. Much of their away troubles has been due to the fact that they only scored 17 away goals in 2016/17.

Back under 2.5 goals at 1.59 (Marathon Bet)

Six of the last eight fixtures and ten of the last fourteen fixtures between West Brom and Stoke City have gone under 2.5 goals. West Brom’s last 5 straight EPL home games have resulted either 1-0 or 0-1 scorelines. Stoke City’s last three EPL fixtures all resulted in 0-1 or 1-0 scorelines.


Liverpool vs. Arsenal


Back Liverpool in the head-to-head at 2.20 (TopBetta)
Back Liverpool in the Draw No Bet market at 1.61 (Marathon Bet)

Liverpool have a track record of dropping points against weaker opponents but putting in strong performances against the top sides. Last season Liverpool went unbeaten against top 7 sides. Arsenal, meanwhile, often struggle against top 7 teams. Over the past 12 months they have gone 0-1-4 as the away underdog. Liverpool have gone 13-5-2 at home over the last 12 months and with Arsenal failing to win at Anfield since 2012, the Draw No Bet market holds strong appeal.


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