English Premier League Round 30 Betting Tips

The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 30 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.

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Manchester United vs. Liverpool


Back Man Utd +0.5 (half-ball) in the Asian Handicap at 1.502 (Pinnacle)

Man Utd have gone 5-1-1 in their last 7 at home against Liverpool. They boast a 12-5-0 record over the last 12 months as the home favourite, while Liverpool have gone 0-1-2 as the away underdog. Liverpool have failed to beat any of the top six teams away from home this season while Man City are the only team to have beaten Man Utd at Old Trafford.

Newcastle vs. Southampton


Back the draw at 3.21 (Pinnacle)

Both sides have been heavily involved in draws recently. Newcastle have drawn 5 of their last 9 while Southampton have drawn 7 of their last 11 and 5 of their last 7. Two of the last 3 meetings between the two resulted in a draw. Had you wagered $1 on the draw in all of Southampton’s away games over the last 12 months, you would be up $8.01 in profit from $18.00 wagered.

Everton vs. Brighton


Back Everton in the head-to-head at 2.23 (Pinnacle)

Everton have been a Jekyll and Hyde team in recent weeks. They’re consistently strong at home and consistently poor away from Goodison Park. Fresh in everyone’s minds are Everton’s away defeats to Burnley and Watford, which is why they are available at such high odds here. However, prior to that they won their previous two home games against Crystal Palace and Leicester. Over the last 12 months Everton boast a 13-2-5 home record and a 13-1-1 record as the home favourite. Brighton, meanwhile, have been much weaker on the road than at home, going 2-4-8 away from the Amex since promotion. Two of Brighton’s 8 away defeats were by more than a goal and 7 of those 8 wins were to nil.

Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace


Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.31 (Unibet)

This is more a bet against Crystal Palace than it is on Chelsea. Despite Chelsea’s poor run of form, Palace’s form has been worse and only 1 of Chelsea’s last 4 defeats was at Stamford Bridge. Palace talisman Wilfried Zaha’s injury rehab is ahead of schedule, but I doubt Roy Hodgson will risk him for this clash given Crystal Palace’s crucial run-in sees them face five relegation rivals in their final six games. Palace have won their last two visits to Stamford Bridge, which is something Chelsea will dearly love to rectify given how close the two sides are geographically.

Arsenal vs. Watford


Back Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.52 (Unibet)

Arsenal’s well-documented slump has created value for them in this fixture. They’ve lost three in a row but two of those were away from home and the other was against Man City. The two home fixtures prior to that saw Arsenal beat Crystal Palace 4-1 and Everton 5-1. If you look at the interactive EPL form guide for home fixtures against weak opponents, Arsenal have a perfect record in their last six fixtures. It’s away from home that Arsenal has struggled against the weaker sides. Over the last 12 months Arsenal boast an astonishing 15-0-1 EPL record as the home favourite.

Bournemouth vs. Tottenham


Back Tottenham in the head-to-head at 1.58 (Betfair)

Bournemouth have gone 1-1-4 as the home underdog over the last 12 months while Tottenham have gone 12-2-2 as the away favourite. Bournemouth have failed to score a goal in their last four clashes against Tottenham. Their five meetings to date have seen Tottenham outscore Bournemouth by a combined 13 goals to 1.


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