Saturday Horse Racing Tips – March 31, 2018

The following is a selection of Australian racing tips for Saturday, March 31. The focus is on the Tancred Stakes and Vinery Stud Stakes at Rosehill. Ascot, Caulfield and Doomben are also covered. More tips and previews will be added as they become available.


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Best bets of the day

Rosehill Race 4, No. 1 Daysee Doom
Rosehill Race 6, No. 1 Gailo Chop
Rosehill Race 8, No. 2 Ecuador – EACH-WAY


William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 5, No. 8 Arctic Stream – BEST BET – 4.5 stars
Race 8, No. 3 My Greek Boy – 3.5 stars


William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 2, No. 4 Our Gladiator – 3.5 stars
Race 6, No. 11 Pow Wow – 4 stars

Quaddie: 3, 6, 8, 11, 12 / 1, 3, 4, 7 / 6, 8, 10, 17 / 1, 6, 12

Unibet – Shaun Beirne:

Race 7:
If Midterm runs, back Midterm (8.00) and Homesman (3.40) to win level staking the pair. If Midterm doesn’t run, back Homesman to win.

Race 9:
Back Handsome Thief (3.30) to win

Betfair – Feature Race Reports:

Race 8:
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #13 Glenall; #6 Theanswermyfriend

Betfair – Racing Preview:

Race 8:
LAY (WIN) – Theanswermyfriend for five units
BACK (WIN) – Ken’s Dream for one unit


William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 2, No. 3 Improvise – 4 stars
Race 6, No. 7 Tycoon Ace – 3 stars
Race 7, No. 8 Let’s Party Marty – 4 stars


William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 1, No. 1 Spin – 4.5 stars
Race 4, No. 1 Daysee Doom – BEST BET – 4.5 stars
Race 5, No. 1 Astoria – 4 stars
Race 8, No. 2 Ecuador – each-way – 3.5 stars
Race 9, No. 10 Tribal Wisdom – each-way – 3.5 stars

Race 6:
Best: Single Gaze to WIN ($7.50)
Value: Auvray EACH WAY ($9.50/$2.35)
Exotic: Box Trifecta 1, 2, 6, 9 ($20 for 88.33%)

Race 7:
Best: Hiyaam to WIN ($14.00)
Value: Semari EACH WAY ($16/$4.50)
Exotic: Trifecta 3, 7, 9, 12 ($20 for 83.33%)

Race 8:
Best: Ecuador to WIN ($8.50)
Value: Mister Sea Wolf EACH WAY ($8.50/$2.80)
Exotic: Trifecta 2, 4, 8, 9 ($20 for 83.33%)

Quaddie: 1, 2, 6, 9 / 3, 7, 9, 12 / 2, 4, 8, 9 / 5, 10, 13

Unibet – Shaun Beirne:

Race 6 – Tancred Stakes
My Tips
1. Gailo Chop
2. Almandin
3. Single Gaze
4. Ambitious
Suggested bet: Back Gailo Chop (2.30) to win

Race 7 – Vinery Stud Stakes
Suggested bet: Back Alizee (6.00) to win

Unibet – From the Trader’s Desk:

Race 7, No.1, ALOISIA

Palmerbet – G1 Preview:

Race 6:
1. GAILO CHOP, 2. Almandin, 3. Single Gaze, 4. Auvray

Race 7:
1. DANZDANZDANCE, 2. Unforgotten, 3. Torvill, 4. Hiyaam

Neds – Suggested Runners:

Runners are listed in number order, not order of preference.

Race 1: 1 Spin, 6 Osorno, 12 Aristocratic Miss, 13 Nasaayim
Race 2: 2 Mackintosh, 6 Arbeitsam, 8 Almost Court, 11 Harlow Gold
Race 3: 1 Dothraki, 2 Fell Swoop, 4 Burning Passion, 6 Nieta
Race 4: 1 Daysee Doom, 2 Foxplay, 3 Dixie Blossoms, 4 Prompt Response
Race 5: 1 Astoria, 2 Levendi, 3 Belfast, 7 Primitivo
Race 6: 1 Gailo Chop, 2 Almandin, 9 Single Gaze
Race 7: 1 Aloisia, 2 Alizee, 8 Danzdanzdance, 12 Semari
Race 8: 2 Ecuador, 4 Interlocuter, 6 Shiraz, 12 Snippets Land
Race 9: 5 Osborne Bulls, 8 Stonebrook, 10 Tribal Wisdom, 13 Beau Geste

Sportsbet – Race Comments and Selections:

Race 1:
Another big day at Rosehill and this week we will be on dry conditions, with the rail out to 4 metres. The Wednesday rating was Soft 5 and we will improve on that. 2YOs out to 1400m for the first event, and while there’s plenty of them speed is hardly plentiful. I have 13 and 12 crossing up but I could be way wrong there. Maidens like ARISTOCRACTIC MISS, SPIN, OSORNO and AKKADIAN could find their breakthrough in a G3. I fancy OSORNO could be better today with a 1400m run under his belt. FUTOOH has nothing to offer early (even from this inside draw?) but her finishing sectionals will attract many as she rises to seven furlongs.
Selections 6 Osorno, 12 Aristocratic Miss, 5 Akkadian, 9 Futooh

Race 2:
6 and 8 the clearcut leaders here. ARBEITSAM is new to the trip and if you’re fazed by a galloper having his first 2000m run when rising up from 1500 then look away. He will be at the forefront here again and his biggest win was at 1800m (over Classic Uniform). I’ll happily back him to run this right out. HARLOW GOLD jumps straight to 2000m, albeit with last week’s riderless run-around under her belt. That has her behind the 8 ball in terms of fitness maybe but she still could have a fair say here given the fact she gets weight from everything else and sets up nicely in the run (or should at least).
Selections 6 Arbeitsam, 4 Mccreery 2 Mackintosh, 11 Harlow Gold

Race 3:
Expert Tips provided by Best Bets
Speed primarily from 5 and 8. BURNING PASSION was terrific on return and has been back to have a quiet trial since. Sets up well here. It was good to see DOTHRAKI back in the winner’s circle last start, albeit via the steward’s room. And in that busy finish, with NEW UNIVERSE and NIETA rushing at the line, some may have missed ISORICH doing his thing, taking the field up to the leader and never ever shirking his duty. From modest beginnings he may well be but he is, with 76 starts under his belt, a genuine Listed/G3 competitor at this point in his career.
Selections 4 Burning Passion, 8 Isorich, 11 New Universe, 6 Nieta

Race 4:
ZANBAGH has beaten just one runner home in her last five runs but I am with her here as I know the following – 1/ she won this race the last two years turning tables on horses that beat her home in the Coolmore; 2/ she has had issues in both starts this prep and not been ridden out to the line in either; 3/ she is a 3rd-up machine, winning her latest three; 4/ she will have the chance to settle closer; 5/ she will have to start $21 at the very least. The six here that beat her home in the Coolmore all have claims obviously, DAYSEE being the one that’s winning.
Selections 5 Zanbagh, 1 Daysee Doom, 8 Oregon’s Day

Race 5:
Hard to locate a leader here. 4 and 1 might have to do the job. LEVENDI was rock-solid in defeat at Moonee Valley and should be nicely trailing somewhere in the front half here. The run of CLIFF’S EDGE (on an 8 day turnaround) was sound enough to think it’s the right formline. BELFAST goes in too therefore. How a modest tempo does anything for PRIMITIVO I’m not exactly sure but his Canberra Guineas finish was out of this world. 1400 to 2000m is a challenge despite him clearly looking for longer. ASTORIA has had a steady prep (1400/1800/2040) and will set up to have every chance again.
Selections 2 Levendi, 3 Belfast, 7 Primitivo, 1 Astoria

Race 6:
GAILO CHOP was so effective last week, first time racing in Sydney, that there’s just no reason to expect he won’t be the one to beat again. He made his name in Australia back in 2015 by winning the Mackinnon backing up 7 days after contesting the Cox Plate. ALMANDIN was within a length of him in the Australian Cup and may well have beaten him had he been all clear all the way. Perhaps the query with him is whether he has to give too great a start from the outside barrier. SINGLE GAZE (blinkers off) was as honest as ever and her latest 2400m run was that gallant 2nd in the Caulfield Cup. Again she will rightfully have many supporters.
Selections 1 Gailo Chop, 2 Almandin, 9 Single Gaze

Race 7:
This is a great lead-up to the Oaks – genuine depth but again not a lot in the way of natural speed. 9 and 6 to lead out? Maybe we should expect a couple of tactics changes?? ALIZEE also an acceptor earlier in the Emancipation (staying at 1500m). Clearly wide draws have not done her many favours of late but she has drawn outside half here as well as earlier. First time to 2000m but absolutely a winning chance and so too BRING ME ROSES as they come through a big time G1. UNFORGOTTEN was back to her dynamic best on the same day. TORVILL is having a tremendous prep despite going down at each run. LUVALUVA beat her and meets her 2 kilos better off at a trip she’ll prefer.
Selections 2 Alizee, 7 Unforgotten, 3 Bring Me Roses

Race 8:
ECUADOR didn’t win last prep but he was about half a length off Winx first-up over 1400m and obviously a repeat of that would be winning this. (And yes, that was the day she bombed the start x 4L.) He has two 1200m trials (both good) under his belt and can have the front here if he wants it. Like him with Hyeronimus riding. CELLARMAN and RADIPOLE were together in a race of high quality last start. CELLARMAN has nice options from his draw here. Could be a bit closer? MISTER SEA WOLF and SPECTROSCOPE both excellent at Newcastle and I’m interested to see what the market thinks of INTERLOCUTER today.
Selections 2 Ecuador, 10 Cellarman, 8 Mister Sea Wolf, 7 Spectroscope

Race 9:
8 and 4 lead the last. 3 and 11 to be handiest. BEAU GESTE bypassed a 1200m Listed event last week to go 2nd-up at 1400m. If he sees clear at the right time, and brings the same finishing dash as he produced first-up, he will be hard to hold out. Earlier action will tell us whether drawing the fence is a positive or not. STONEBROOK and OSBORNE BULLS both sound at Kembla with the winner now having given us a late form reference earlier in the day. TRIBAL WISDOM and UP ‘N’ ROLLING match up again, the latter with blinkers back on but drawn way out. Plenty of chances then. Good luck!
Selections 13 Beau Geste, 8 Stonebrook, 5 Osborne Bulls, 10 Tribal Wisdom

Ladbrokes – Race Comments:

Race 1:
SPIN Is still a maiden but has been placed in the Skyline and Pago Pago in his two runs this preparation. Has been crying out for 1400m and gets his chance to break through. OSORNO Has been close-up in each of his four starts to date including a close second at Newcastle last start over 1400m. This looks his chance to win a race. NASAAYIM Hass won two of her four starts to date for the Hayes and Dabernig team and wasn’t far from the winner in the Sires Produce at Flemington last start. Rates as one of the key chances getting all the favours in running from an ideal gate. ARISTOCRATIC MISS Was only a length and a half from the winner in the Sires Produce at Flemington last start and just needs even luck in running form the wide gate to be right in the finish here.

Race 2:
ARBEITSAM Battled on strongly when less than a length from the winner in the Ajax Stakes last start after leading. First go at 2000m but makes his own luck on speed and will be in this for a long way. MACKINTOSH Appreciated being ridden a touch quieter when placed in the Sky High Stakes at his second run back from a break last start. Should be at his peak third-up and is ready to win. HARLOW GOLD Finished on the placegetters heels in the Frances Tressady resuming at Flemington last start and is a must for the wider exotics fitter second-up. ALMOST COURT Controlled the race in front to win the Canberra Cup last start. Likely to have some company on speed here but still one of the key chances down in the weights.

Race 3:
FELL SWOOP Was just over a length from the winner at Flemington resuming last start. Will be all the better for the run and just needs even luck in running from the wide gate to be right in the finish. DOTHRAKI Got the verdict deservedly in the Stewards room after severe interference over the last 100m of the Maurice McCarten Stakes at Rosehill last start. Has the same weight and rates as one of the key chances again. BURNING PASSION Worked home solidly when a close third in the Liverpool City Cup at Randwick resuming. Tends to hit her peak second-up and is right in the mix getting all the favours in the run from the inside gate. NIETA Settled at the rear and made up plenty of ground in the straight when just over a length from the winner in the Maurice McCarten resuming last start. Rates as one of the chances on good ground but would come right into play if there is any rain about.

Race 4:
DIXIE BLOSSOMS Won the Guy Walter at Randwick resuming before having a chequered path in the straight and arguably unlucky in the Coolmore last start. Just needs even luck in running to be right in the finish again. PROMPT RESPONSE Won the Breeders Classic at Warwick Farm resuming and has been less than a length from the winner in the Millie Fox and Coolmore at last two starts. She’s right in the mix again from an ideal gate. FOXPLAY Was narrowly beaten when third behind Daysee Doom resuming in the Millie Fox two runs back and meets the winner significantly better at the weights before being well beaten in the Canterbury Stakes last start. The sting out of the ground helps her cause and she can bounce back. DAYSEE DOOM Fought on tenaciously to win the Coolmore last start to remain unbeaten this preparation after winning the Millie Fox first-up. Isn’t badly treated under the set weight and penalty conditions and is a winning chance again launching from the inside gate.

Race 5:
LEVENDI Was pole-axed in the Australian Guineas two runs back before chasing home Cliff’s Edge in the Alistar Clark Stakes at Moonee Valley last start. There is nothing to suggest he won’t be in the finish again. ASTORIA Hasn’t been far from the winner in each of his three runs this time including an Autumn Classic second at Caulfield two runs back. Is drawn to get a nice run in transit and rates as one of the key chances with Hugh Bowman in the saddle. BELFAST Won his first two career starts on Victorian Provincial tracks and has been close up in three subsequent runs including a third in the Alister Clark at Moonee Valley last start. Has to rate as one of the key chances again. PRIMITIVO Is still a maiden but has been placed in each of his four runs to date including the Canberra Guineas last start and is a must for the wider exotics.

Race 6:
GAILO CHOP Raced on the speed before careering away in the straight to win the Ranvet over 2000m at Rosehill last Saturday. Missed a place at only 2400m run, that’s the only query. SINGLE GAZE Battled on well when runner-up in the Ranvet last Saturday. The Caulfield Cup runner-up this trip in the Spring and is expected to be right in the finish getting all the favours in the run from the inside gate. ALMANDIN The 2016 Melbourne Cup winner and hasn’t been far from the winner in his two runs this time including a photo-finish second in the Mornington Cup Prelude two runs back over the mile and a half before finishing on the placegetters heels when fourth in the Australian Cup back to 2000m. Right in this at the 2400m. LIBRAN Showed a stack of improvement second-up when runner-up in the Sky High. Still some upside third-up from a break and rates a genuine winning chance.

Race 7:
ALIZEE Had a chequered path in the straight when just over two-lengths from the winner in the Coolmore last start. Goes to 2000m for the first time but she has always raced like the trip will suit and rates as one of the key chances. DANZDANZDANCE Was placed in the NZ Derby last start and that form held up well through the Rosehill Guineas last week. That 2400m run under belt may well be a decisive factor here. ALOISIA Was put out of business at the 400m of the Australian Guineas but got going again to finish just over two-lengths from the winner. Defeated Cliff’s Edge to win the Moonee Valley Vase in the Spring this distance range. 28-days between runs but has trialled in the interim and she is right in the mix back to her own sex. SEMARI Is chasing a hat trick after successive wins at Ballina and Pakenham. It’s hard to knock winning form but all things being equal she would have to lift considerably to be a genuine winning chance.

Race 8:
INTERLOCUTER Finished his race off nicely last start resuming from a 77-day let-up in the Liverpool City Cup. Won three on the trot before Christmas and finished third in the Villiers. He’s right in this fitter second-up. ECUADOR Resumes for Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott and should be fit enough after three trials winning the latest at Randwick. Invariably races well fresh and was only a half length from Winx when third in the Warwick Stakes resuming in the Spring which is a solid form reference for this. SHIRAZ Did a good job when third in the Newcastle Newmarket resuming last start. Is a winner this track and distance and twice a winner second-up. He’s right in the mix launching from an ideal gate. SNIPPETS LAND Has been placed last two in the Magic Millions Cup at the Gold Coast and the National Sprint at Canberra last start. Is worth including in the wider exotics with a soft run from the inside gate.

Race 9:
OSBORNE BULLS Won five of his first six starts including an impressive win at Randwick resuming two runs back before having no luck when a beaten $1.55 favourite in the Bert Lillye at Kembla last start. Just needs even luck in running to make amends. BEAU GESTE Would have won in one more stride at Warwick Farm resuming last start over 1200m. Was a Rosehill winner second-up last preparation and looks on track for a repeat here. TRIBAL WISDOM Won the Grey’s race at Flemington during Melbourne Cup week and has been less than a length from the winner in his two runs this time in and is reedy to win peaking third-up. STONEBROOK Was just a run short when run down late in the Bert Lillye at Kembla resuming last start. Won three on the trot last preparation and gets the chance to go one better with the first-up run under his belt.


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