The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 37 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.
Brighton vs. Manchester United
Brighton have probably done enough to stay up, which is just as well given their tough run in to finish the season. I’m happy to side with Manchester United here because of their 8-2-2 record as the away favourite and the strong 7-0-1 form they bring into this fixture. I wouldn’t blame you if you prefer Man Utd +0.5, though, given Brighton have been involved in 8 draws at home this season and have drawn 3 of their last 4 fixtures.
Stoke City vs. Crystal Palace
Back Crystal Palace +0.5 at 1.54 (Betfair)
Stoke City can’t buy a win at the moment, which is why they’re in the predicament they’re in. They’ve gone 12 games without picking up 3 points and take on Crystal Palace, who are unbeaten in their last four games since Wilfried Zaha’s return. They beat Leicester City 5-0 last week, which was their biggest top flight victory since 1972. Palace are virtually safe from relegation but will be keen to finish the season mid-table, not just for the prize money, but to improve their prospects in the summer transfer market. Crystal Palace are a bogey team for Stoke City. They’ve won 5 of their last 6 against the Potters, including a win in November back when Palace’s form wasn’t as strong as it is now.
Bournemouth vs. Swansea
Back Bournemouth +0.5 at 1.35 (Betfair)
Both teams bring poor form into this fixture, with neither having won any of their last 5 games. I’ll side with Bournemouth in the Asian handicap here, because of their strong record of avoiding defeat (6-5-2) as the home favourite over the last 12 months. Swansea have found wins hard to come by as the away underdog, with a 2-6-10 record in this scenario over the last 12 months. Yes, Swansea will be the more desperate team, but you could say that for them versus many of their recent opponents.
Everton vs. Southampton
Everton have gone 11-3-5 at home over the last 12 months and 11-1-1 as the home favourite – something they arguably would have been if they had more to play for. They’ve got 8th place virtually wound up, but will still be out to put in a strong performance in their final home game of the season. Everton have gone 4-1-0 in their last 5 home fixtures against Southampton. Southampton have won only 3 away fixtures over the last 12 months, which is a leading contributor to their predicament in the relegation battle.
Manchester City vs. Huddersfield
Man City can focus on finishing their title-winning season in style now that they’re out of the Champions League. They’ve gone 17-1-1 at home over the last 12 months and 7 of their last 8 wins have been by 2 goals or more. Huddersfield aren’t out of the woods yet when it comes to the relegation scrap, and their final fixtures list (Man City, Chelsea, Arsenal) is concerning. Away from home against the top six Huddersfield have failed to score a goal this season, and they lost every one of those games by at least 2 goals. In all 11 of their away defeats this season Huddersfield failed to score.
Chelsea vs. Liverpool
Back Chelsea +0.5 at 1.40 (Betfair)
With Liverpool heavily involved in the Champions League over the last 10 days, I’m not sure how fresh and focused they will be for this fixture. They do have a good record at Stamford Bridge but Liverpool have only won 1 of their last 4 in the EPL and they have a 0-0-2 record as the away underdog over the last 12 months.
Arsenal vs. Burnley
Arsenal boast a 17-0-1 record as the home favourite over the last 12 months. This will be their last home game of the season and the final home game for Arsène Wenger, so they will be the more motivated of the two sides. Burnley have had a fantastic season, but have dropped in form in recent weeks, picking up two draws and a defeat. They have a 0-0-5 record against Arsenal since 2014/15. Burnley only scored 1 goal in those 5 fixtures.