The following is a match centre with betting tips for the 2018 FIFA World Cup Group C fixture between Australia and Peru. The game kicks off on the 27th of June at 12:00 AM AEST. It will be broadcast live on SBS.
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Australia
- FIFA World Rank: 36
- Elo Rating: 32
- Qualifying: Third place in Group B with a 5-4-1 record in the AFC third round. Defeated Syria 3-2 on aggregated in the play-off for 5th place in the AFC, then defeated Honduras 3-1 on aggregate in the inter-confederation play-offs.
Squad:
- Coach: Bert van Marwijk (Netherlands)
- Goalkeepers: Mat Ryan (Brighton), Danny Vukovic (Genk), Brad Jones (Feyenoord)
- Defenders: Aziz Behich (Bursaspor), Milos Degenek (Yokohama F. Marinos), Matthew Jurman (Suwon Bluewings), James Meredith (Millwall), Josh Risdon (Western Sydney), Trent Sainsbury (Grasshoppers Zurich)
- Midfielders: Mile Jedinak (Aston Villa), Jackson Irvine (Hull), Robbie Kruse (Bochum), Massimo Luongo (Queens Park Rangers), Mark Milligan (Al Ahli), Aaron Mooy (Huddersfield), Tom Rogic (Celtic)
- Forwards: Tim Cahill (Millwall), Tomi Juric (FC Luzern), Matthew Leckie (Hertha Berlin), Andrew Nabbout (Urawa Red Diamonds), Dimitri Petratos (Newcastle Jets), Daniel Arzani (Melbourne City), Jamie Maclaren (Hibernian)
Recent results:
- Denmark 1 – 1 Australia
21/06/2018
FIFA World Cup, played in Russia - France 2 – 1 Australia
16/06/2018
FIFA World Cup, played in Russia - Hungary 1 – 2 Australia
09/06/2018
Friendly, played in Hungary - Czech Republic 0 – 4 Australia
01/06/2018
Friendly, played in Austria - Australia 0 – 0 Colombia
27/03/2018
Friendly, played in England - Norway 4 – 1 Australia
23/03/2018
Friendly, played in Norway - Australia 3 – 1 Honduras
15/11/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Australia - Honduras 0 – 0 Australia
10/11/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Honduras - Australia 2 – 1 Syria
10/10/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Australia - Syria 1 – 1 Australia
05/10/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Malaysia - Australia 2 – 1 Thailand
05/09/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Australia - Japan 2 – 0 Australia
31/08/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Japan
Statistics: (last four years):
- H2H Record: 23-13-12
- O/U record
- O/U 0.5 record: 44-4
- O/U 1.5 record: 40-8
- O/U 2.5 record: 27-21
- O/U 3.5 record: 16-32
- O/U 4.5 record: 8-40
- O/U 5.5 record: 2-46
- Wins
- Total wins: 23
- Won by 1 goal: 9
- Won by 2 goals: 5
- Won by 3 goals: 3
- Won by 4 goals: 4
- Won by 5 goals: 1
- Won by 5+ goals: 1
- Won to nil 13
- Losses
- Total losses: 12
- Lost by 1 goal: 7
- Lost by 2 goals: 3
- Lost by 3 goals: 1
- Lost by 4 goals: 1
- Lost by 5 goals: 0
- Lost by 5+ goals: 0
- Lost to nil 6
- Clean Sheets and BTTS
- Total Games: 48
- Clean Sheets: 17
- Held Scoreless: 10
- Both Teams Scored: 25
Peru
- FIFA World Rank: 11
- Elo Rating: 10
- Qualifying: Fifth place in the CONMEBOL qualifiers with a 7-5-6 record. Defeated New Zealand 2-0 on aggregate in the inter-confederation play-offs.
Squad:
- Coach: Ricardo Gareca (Argentina)
- Goalkeepers: Gallese (Veracruz-MEX), Carlos Caceda (Veracruz-MEX) and Jose Carvallo (UTC)
- Defenders: Aldo Corzo (Universitario), Luis Advincula (Lobos BUAP-Mexico), Miguel Araujo (Alianza Lima), Alberto Rodriguez (Junior-Colombia), Christian Ramos (Veracruz-Mexico), Anderson Santamaria (Puebla-Mexico), Luis Abram (Velez Sarsfield-Argentina) and Miguel Tr
- Midfielders: Renato Tapia (Feyenoord), Pedro Aquino (Lobos BUAP), Yoshimar Yotun (Orlando City), Sergio Pena (Granadan), Edison Flores (Aalborgk), Paolo Hurtado (Vitoria de Guimaraes), Wilder Cartagena (Veracruz), Nilson Loyola (Melgar), Christian Cueva (Sao Paulo), A
- Forwards: Jefferson Farfan (Lokomotiv), Andy Polo (Portland Timbers), Raul Ruidiaz (Morelia)
Recent results:
- France 1 – 0 Peru
21/06/2018
FIFA World Cup, played in Russia - Peru 0 – 1 Denmark
16/06/2018
FIFA World Cup, played in Russia - Sweden 0 – 0 Peru
09/06/2018
Friendly, played in Sweden - Saudi Arabia 0 – 3 Peru
03/06/2018
Friendly, played in Switzerland - Peru 2 – 0 Scotland
29/05/2018
Friendly, played in Peru - Peru 3 – 1 Iceland
27/03/2018
Friendly, played in USA - Peru 2 – 0 Croatia
23/03/2018
Friendly, played in USA - Peru 2 – 0 New Zealand
15/11/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Peru - New Zealand 0 – 0 Peru
11/11/2017
WC qualifiers, played in New Zealand - Peru 1 – 1 Colombia
10/10/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Peru - Argentina 0 – 0 Peru
05/10/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Argentina - Ecuador 0 – 2 Peru
05/09/2017
WC qualifiers, played in Ecuador
Statistics: (last four years):
- H2H Record: 22-10-12
- O/U record
- O/U 0.5 record: 39-5
- O/U 1.5 record: 30-14
- O/U 2.5 record: 20-24
- O/U 3.5 record: 9-35
- O/U 4.5 record: 2-42
- O/U 5.5 record: 1-43
- Wins
- Total wins: 22
- Won by 1 goal: 9
- Won by 2 goals: 10
- Won by 3 goals: 3
- Won by 4 goals: 0
- Won by 5 goals: 0
- Won by 5+ goals: 0
- Won to nil 14
- Losses
- Total losses: 12
- Lost by 1 goal: 9
- Lost by 2 goals: 2
- Lost by 3 goals: 1
- Lost by 4 goals: 0
- Lost by 5 goals: 0
- Lost by 5+ goals: 0
- Lost to nil 7
- Clean Sheets and BTTS
- Total Games: 44
- Clean Sheets: 19
- Held Scoreless: 12
- Both Teams Scored: 18
Commentary
Australia’s World Cup hopes remain alive after they drew Denmark 1-1 following their 2-1 defeat to France. They sit 3rd in Group C with a -1 goal difference, while Denmark are 2nd with 4 points and a +1 goal difference. If Australia can beat Peru and France beat Denmark, then Australia could finish as the runners up, depending on how the tie breaking rules play out. All they can do, however, is focus on this match and try to get 3 points. After arguably being hard done by in the VAR review against France, Australia were the beneficiaries of a VAR handball call against Denmark. So far both of Australia’s goals have come from Mile Jedinak at the penalty spot. Australia have struggled to finish their chances in front of goal, but against Denmark they looked at their most dangerous when 19-year old Daniel Arzani was brought on late. It will be fascinating to see whether his eye-catching performance earns him a spot in the starting line-up. In other team news, Andrew Nabbout has been ruled out for the tournament with a shoulder injury. When Nabbout came off against Denmark, head coach Bert van Marwijk brought Tomi Juric on rather than veteran Tim Cahill, for which he as received criticism. It will be interesting to see if Cahill gets any game time in this fixture.
Peru have been eliminated from the World Cup following 1-0 defeats to Denmark and France. They will be left to wonder what could have been after arguably doing enough to warrant a draw in both fixtures. They missed a penalty against Denmark and after conceding against France in the first half they went down swinging in the second, but were unable to find the equalizer that would have kept them in the tournament. Peru will be a tough nut for Australia to crack, having kept 8 clean sheets in their last 12 fixtures.
Betting
bet365 odds (subject to change):
Compare the latest bookmaker odds for Australia vs. Peru
Australia have worked incredibly hard this tournament but they have suffered from lacking a consistent goal scorer. They have yet to score from open play and they take on a Peruvian defence with good credentials. Peru haven’t conceded more than a goal in any of their last 16 games, so if they do score, Australia will be hard pressed to score twice to get the win. In Australia’s favour, however, is the fact that Peru have nothing to play for in this clash. Either way, I expect this to be a low scoring game. Neither side has yet to score from open play this tournament.
Betting tip: back under 2.5 goals at 1.82 (Betfair)
As a side bet, given the use of VAR has increased the number of penalties in this World Cup, there’s value in backing Mile Jedinak at 5.25 (Unibet) in the anytime goalscorer market given he’s Australia’s penalty taker. Jedinak has scored 14 goals in his last 26 appearances for the Socceroos. For a bit of fun, if he’s used as a substitute, Daniel Arzani is available as the last goalscorer at 14.00 (Sportsbet).
Notes
- FIFA World rankings are from the 7th of June and sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking/ranking-table/men/index.html
- The World Football Elo Ratings are from the 11th of June and are based on the Elo rating system, developed by Dr. Arpad Elo. This system is used by the international chess federation to rate chess players and is considered by many to be a superior rating tool to the one used by FIFA. The ratings have been sourced from https://www.eloratings.net/.
- Squad lists sourced from http://www.skysports.com/football/news/12098/11374464/every-world-cup-squad-listed-argentina-brazil-russia-and-more