The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 2 of the 2018/19 English Premier League.
Tottenham vs. Fulham
Back Tottenham to win to nil at 2.15 (Neds)
Tottenham have gone 13-4-2 at home over the last 12 months, with 9 of their 13 wins coinciding with a clean sheet. I expect that the newly-promoted Fulham will survive relegation, but with 12 new signings in the squad, including 5 players signed on the transfer deadline day, it will take time for the squad to gel and adjust to the way that Slaviša Jokanović wants them to play. While the two sides haven’t played in a few years, Tottenham have won 7 of their last 8 against Fulham, with 3 of their last 4 home fixtures resulting in wins to nil.
Everton vs. Southampton
Back Everton in the head-to-head at 1.95 (Unibet)
Everton have gone 9-1-1 as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Southampton have gone 0-3-6 as the away underdog. Everton have gone 4-2-0 in their last six home fixtures against Southampton.
West Ham vs. Bournemouth
Back both teams to score at 1.70 (bet365)
Both teams have scored in 7 of West Ham’s last 12 games as well as in 8 of Bournemouth’s last 12 games. Five of the last six meetings between the two saw both sides score. In two of their last three meetings both West Ham and Bournemouth scored at least twice.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal
Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.85 (Neds)
Chelsea have gone 11-4-2 as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Arsenal have gone 4-4-11 away from home and 0-1-4 as the away underdog. At Stamford Bridge Chelsea have gone 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against Arsenal, with five five of those wins coming by 2+ goal margins. Under new manager Unai Emery, it will take time for Arsenal to adjust to the way he wants them to play, which makes now a good time to play them.
Burnley vs. Watford
Burnley have gone 5-2-2 as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Watford have gone 4-2-13 away from home. Of Burnley’s seven home wins over the last 12 months, 5 were to nil, while 9 of Watford’s 13 away defeats were to nil. Burnley have won each of their last two home fixtures against Watford to nil.
Back Burnley to win by 1 goal at 3.80 (BetEasy)
Six of Burnley’s seven home wins over the last 12 months were by exactly one goal.
Back Burnley to win 1-0 at 6.50 (bet365)
The above tip is based on Burnley’s record of winning to nil and their home record of winning by just one goal. Last season this fixture resulted in a 1-0 win to Burnley.
Manchester City vs. Huddersfield
Huddersfield held Man City to a 0-0 draw at the City of Manchester Stadium last season, but City had already wrapped up the title at that point. They won’t be taking their visitors too lightly this time round. Man City have gone 16-2-1 at home over the last 12 months, with 13 of those wins coming by more than a goal. Huddersfield have gone 2-5-11 away from home with all eleven defeats coming to nil and ten of those defeats coming by 2+ goal margins. Huddersfield’s 3-0 home defeat to Chelsea last week doesn’t bode well, given Chelsea were easily brushed aside by Manchester City in the Community Shield the week before.
Back Man City to win 5-0 at 11.00 (Neds)
Of Man City’s 16 home wins last season, 4 were by 5-goal margins, while all of Huddersfield’s away defeats over the last 12 months were to nil.
Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool
Back Liverpool in the head-to-head at 1.47 (Unibet)
Six of the last seven meetings between the two were won by the away team and Crystal Palace have gone 1-1-5 as the home underdog over the last 12 months. Liverpool have strengthened heavily in the off-season.
Back Liverpool to win 2-1 at 8.00 (bet365)
Nine of the previous ten meetings saw both teams score. Crystal Palace have only lost one home game by more than a goal over the last 12 months. Four of the last six meetings between the two were settled by 2-1 scorelines.
Back over 2.5 goals at 1.65 (Betfair)
Nine of the ten meetings between the two have gone over 2.5 goals, with all five meetings at Selhurst Park going over the total. Had you wagered $1 on over 2.5 goals for every Palace home game over the last 12 months you would be up $3.94, while wagering $1 on the over for every Liverpool away game would have seen you up $4.47.