The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 7 of the 2018/19 English Premier League.
West Ham vs. Manchester United
Man Utd limp into this fixture on the back of a home draw with Wolverhampton and a home league cup defeat on penalties to Championship side Derby, but the best time to back them is on the back of a poor result. Over the last 12 months United have gone 7-1-1 on the back of a defeat compared to 14-3-7 on the back of a win. West Ham have a mediocre 1-3-3 home record against United and have failed to score in their last three games against them, but things have begun to look up for the Hammers, as showcased by their draw with Chelsea last week and win over Everton the week before that. If I were to bet on the head-to-head market I would back the draw. Those who are more conservative may prefer Man Utd in the Asian Handicap or draw no bet market.
Manchester City vs. Brighton
Man City boast a 17-1-1 home record over the last 12 months, with 13 of those wins coming by 2+ goal margins. Brighton, meanwhile, have gone 2-5-12 away from home with 9 of their 12 defeats coming by 2+ goal margins. Four of Man City’s five wins this season have been by more than a goal.
Back Man City to win by 2 goals at 4.25 (BetEasy)
Man City won both fixtures against Brighton last season by 2-goal margins. Eight of Brighton’s 12 away defeats last season were by 2 goals.
Back the Man City 2-0 Brighton correct score at 7.50 (Neds)
Of Brighton’s 12 away defeats, 8 were by 2 goals and 10 were to nil. Brighton have been held scoreless in 4 of their last 5 away games.
Wolverhampton vs. Southampton
Wolverhampton have gone 1-2-0 at home since being promoted back into the Premier League, with their one win courtesy of a 1-0 scoreline against Burnley. Both of Wolverhampton’s wins this season have been by 1 goal. Southampton limp into this fixture on the back of a 3-0 defeat to the rampant Liverpool, but you have to go back to March for the last time they lost another game by more than a goal. Five of their last six defeats were by a single goal. Southampton are also no strangers to draws. Had you wagered $1 on the draw for every Southampton fixture over the last 12 months you would be up $15.98.
Newcastle vs. Leicester City
Back Leicester City +0.5 at 1.55 (bet365)
Newcastle managed to scrape a 0-0 draw away against Crystal Palace last week, but they offered little going forward, with their goalkeeper named the man of the match. While their tough schedule to start the season makes their 0-2-4 record look worse than it is, their inability to score against Cardiff and Crystal Palace is a worry. Newcastle have a mediocre 3-3-5 record as the home favourite. Leicester City have started the season 3-0-3 and have won 4 of their last 5 fixtures against Newcastle, including their last two visits to St. James’ Park.
Arsenal vs. Watford
Back Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.46 (Betfair)
Arsenal defeated Everton 2-0 last week to record their 5th consecutive league win. Most pleasing is the fact that it was the first clean sheet of their EPL campaign. Arsenal boast a 14-0-1 record over the last 12 months as the home favourite. After jumping out of the gates with four consecutive wins, things have slowed down for Watford as they lost to Man Utd and drew Fulham. Watford’s last four EPL visits to Emirates Stadium have seen them score 2 goals and concede 11, with their last visit resulting in a 3-0 defeat. Watford have a poor 2-3-13 away record over the last 12 months.
Back Arsenal -1.5 at 2.08 (BetEasy)
Of Arsenal’s 14 home wins over the last 12 months, 11 were by 2 or more goals. Meanwhile, 7 of Watford’s 13 away defeats were by more than a goal. Watford’s three defeats at Emirates Stadium have all been by 3+ goal margins.
Huddersfield vs. Tottenham
Back Tottenham in the head-to-head at 1.46 (Betfair)
Huddersfield are winless in their last 10 EPL fixtures and have lost 5 of their last 7, including their last 2. They have a poor 3-0-7 record as the home underdog and were beaten 4-0 by Tottenham in this fixture last season. Tottenham have won 6 of their last 8 games and won both fixtures against Huddersfield last season both to nil and by 2+ goal margins.
Chelsea vs. Liverpool
Back Liverpool +0.5 at 1.42 (bet365)
Chelsea find themselves in the rare position of being a home underdog and the last time that happened they were defeated. Chelsea have a mediocre 2-2-4 record at home against Liverpool and their visitors have strengthened since their last meeting. Liverpool have won 2 of their last 3 visits to Stamford Bridge.
Back the 1-1 correct score at 7.50 (bet365)
Four of the last seven league meetings between the two sides resulted in a 1-1 draw.
Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace
Four of the six EPL meetings between the two side resulted in a stalemate.
Back the 2-2 correct score at 13.00 (bet365)
Both meetings between the two last season resulted in 2-2 draws.