The following is a selection of Australian racing tips for Saturday, November 24. The focus is on the WA Guineas (Race 7) and Group 1 Railway Stakes (Race 8) at Ascot. Ballarat and Rosehill are also covered.
More tips and previews will be added as they become available.
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Best bets of the day
Ascot Race 7, No. 15 Arcadia Queen to win and No. 14 Lady Cosmology each-way
Ascot Race 8, No. 11. Galaxy Star to win and No. 1 Material Man each-way
Ballarat Race 2, No. 6 I Am Someone
Rosehill Race 5, No. 4 Cradle Mountain
Race 7, No. 15 Arcadia Queen – 4 stars
Race 8, No. 1 Material Man – each-way – 3.5 stars
Back Arcadia Queen (2.65) to win.
1. Peaceful State
4. Prized Icon
Back Peaceful State (5.00) and Iconoclasm (7.50) to win.
If investing 10 units have 7 units on Peaceful State and 3 units on Iconoclasm.
Race 7, #15, ARCADIA QUEEN – BEST BET
Race 8, #11, GALAXY STAR
Race 1: LIKE A BUTTERFLY
Race 2: STAGEMAN
Race 3: FREO
Race 4: FIRE AND RAIN
Race 5: MISSISSIPPI DELTA
Race 6: MISTY METAL
Race 7: ULUSABA
Race 8: 1. MATERIAL MAN, 2. Galaxy Star, 3. Prized Icon, 4. Iconoclasm
Race 9: MOET DE VEGA
Betting Confidence: High
Lay – #15 Arcadia Queen
Betting Confidence: High
Lay – #11 Galaxy Star
BACK – Iconoclasm for 2 Units
Race 7: 14 Lady Cosmology, 15 Arcadia Queen, 2 The Velvet King, 16 Flirtini
Race 8: 11 Galaxy Star, 1 Material Man, 3 Man Booker, 8 Achernar Star
14. Lady Cosmology (3 stars)
15. Arcadia Queen (3 stars)
1. Lordhelpmerun (3 stars)
2. The Velvet King (3 stars)
1. Material Man (5 stars)
3. Man Booker (3 stars)
11. Galaxy Star (3 stars)
2. Great Shot (3 stars)
ARCADIA QUEEN (15) Left nothing to chance when winning last time here and William Pike rates highly aboard. Will be trying to topple them late. Expect a solid run and the one to catch. THE VELVET KING (2) Bold effort to win last start here and likes to settle forward. Quite a few boxes are ticked and looks value at generous odds. JUNIPAL (10) Won easily three runs back at Donald but facing a stronger class here. Could be a value selection. LADY COSMOLOGY (14) Showed promise when winning two runs back here and racing again inside a week. Generally when jockey Paul Harvey teams up with trainer Simon Miller they go well together. Each way appeal
Selections: 15 Arcadia Queen, 2 Velvet King, 10 Junipal, 14 Lady Cosmology
GALAXY STAR (11) has been at the top of the market from Day 1. Comes into the feature in sparkling form after a demolition job last start. Inside draw can be both a blessing and a curse but there looks to be enough pace in this to string them out and Pike can get one off the fence in a midfield trail. Hard to beat if gets good luck. ICONOCLASM (12) will need Williams to be at his best but if he finds a trail three wide with cover then this Weir galloper might be hard to hold out. MATERIAL MAN (1) goes super fresh and over the mile. Gets a gun run from the gate. Tough to beat at its best
Selections: 11 Galaxy Star, 12 Iconclasm, 1 Material Man
The outstanding ARCADIA QUEEN is the one to beat, backing up after a barnstorming Champion Fillies win last week when clocking standout sectionals to work over fellow topliner LADY COSMOLOGY late. Arcadia Queen should relish the expected genuine tempo and can hold a midfield position from a low draw. With even luck, should be too strong again. LORDHELPMERUN put the writing on the wall when bouncing back in the Fairetha Stakes, and will enjoy stepping up to the 1600m. Victorian JUNIPAL is a horse on the up and warrants consideration, while Lady Cosmology is so competitive she demands respect.
Selections: 15. Arcadia Queen, 1. Lordhelpmerun, 10. Junipal, 14. Lady Cosmology
GALAXY STAR gets her chance to confirm she’s the real deal. She obviously faces a significant challenge from the low draw, but this will be a high-pressure affair and she should have enough space to work into it from worse than midfield in transit. Likely leaders WRINKLY and GREAT SHOT both like to roll off on straightening, so the gaps will come and Galaxy Star has the gears to take full advantage. Pike is the man for the job. PEACEFUL STATE will be getting back and charging late. MATERIAL MAN maps well and can give this a shake first up. PRIZED ICON rolls forward and is suited down on 54kg.
Selections: 11. Galaxy Star, 7. Peaceful State, 1. Material Man, 5. Prized Icon
LADY COSMOLOGY Has only missed a place once in her seven starts to date and twice a winner including the Burgess Queen Stakes over 1400m at Ascot two runs back before finishing runner-up at Ascot last start at her first 1600m run. She’s the one to beat with the experience over the trip. ARCADIA QUEEN Made it three wins from four starts winning the W.A. Champion Fillies Stakes at her first 1600m run last start. Gets the gun run from the gate and looks the testing material again. THE VELVET KING Won two from three in his first preparation and returned a winner in the Fairetha Stakes at Ascot last start. Only has to run out the mile second-up to be right in the finish. FLIRTINI Has been placed three of last four and has bright place prospects again.
GALAXY STAR Hasn’t finished worse than second in her 12 starts to date and has returned to the winner’s stall on nine occasions including the Asian Beau Stakes at Ascot last start. She looks the pick of the locals. MATERIAL MAN Resumes form a spell but does have an impressive first-up record winning three from four fresh. Has had five trials over the last three months winning the last four and shouldn’t be under-estimated. MAN BOOKER Won successive races including the Northerly Stakes at Ascot two runs back before finishing on the placegetters heels in the Lee Steere at Ascot last start. Has the early speed to overcome the gate and has at least place prospects. ACHERNAR STAR Has been placed last two in Stakes races. Is still to be proven at the mile but rates a place chance.
Race 2, No. 6 I Am Someone – 3.5 stars
Race 5, No. 4 Winning Partner – 3.5 stars
Race 8, No. 4 Lycurgus – each-way – 2 stars
Race 7: Back Superhard (5.50) to win.
Race 1: FAVONSKI
Race 2: I AM SOMEONE
Race 3: HE EKSCELS
Race 4: NOT A ROYAL DOUBT
Race 5: ENBIHAAR
Race 6: RYAN’S FENDER
Race 7: HAUNTED
Race 8: LUVALUVA
Race 9: NOMOTHAJ
Race 10: JUNGLE EDGE
Race 5, No. 4 Cradle Mountain – BEST BET – 4 stars
Race 2: Back Carillon (8.00) to win.
Race 4, #2, SKY BOY – LAY BET – bet against this horse with Betfair
Race 7, #18, ATHENA’S VOICE – VALUE BET
Race 1: TASSORT
Race 2: POTENT FORCE
Race 3: SEXY EYES
Race 4: ETYMOLOGY
Race 5: CRADLE MOUNTAIN
Race 6: DEITY
Race 7: LA BIERE CHOISIE
Race 8: DESTINY’S OWN
Race 9: ORGANZA