The following is a selection of Australian racing tips for Saturday, January 5. The focus is on La Trice Classic (Race 6) and Perth Cup (Race 8) at Ascot. Caulfield, Gold Coast and Randwick are also covered.
More tips and previews will be added as they become available.
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Best bet of the day
Ascot Race 6, No. 1 Celebrity Dream
Race 1, No. 5 Miss West Coast – BEST BET – 4.5 stars
Race 5, No. 7 Misty Metal – 3.5 stars
Race 8 #3 Action
Betting Confidence: High
Back – #1 Celebrity Dream
Betting Confidence: Medium
Lay – #3 Action
Race 6: Celebrity Dream
Race 8: Action
Race 6: 1 Celebrity Dream, 2 Fountainbleau, 3 First Affair, 4 Showcase
Race 8: 3 Action, 10 Mississippi Delta, 1 Gatting, 11 Perfect Jewel
1. Celebrity Dream (5 stars)
8. Royal Strata (4 stars)
7. Mouquet (3 stars)
2. Fontainebleau (3 stars)
1. Gatting (3 stars)
10. Mississippi Delta (3 stars)
16. The Big Show (3 stars)
4. Cappo D’oro (3 stars)
CELEBRITY DREAM (1) Showed promise when winning two runs back at this course and has a positive alley. Has an engine that others will struggle to keep up with. LUCKY ROAR (5) Winner two runs back around here but up against stronger competition today. Can’t knock. FONTAINEBLEAU (2) Bold effort to win last run at this course but facing a stronger grade here. No surprise to see a forward showing and one of the main hopes in this race. SEEKING ALPHA (12) Finished 3rd two runs back at Pinjarra but facing a stronger class here. Worth at least a place bet in this race
Selections: 1 Celebrity Dream, 5 Lucky Roar, 2 Fontainbleau, 12 Seeking Alpha
ACTION (3) Racing for the second time this week. Rattled home nicely into 2nd last run here and always seems to find the line well. Winning claims. GATTING (1) Ran well when 2nd last time here and Damian Lane is a bonus. Has run into the money 3 from 4 attempts this campaign. Keep in mind. MISSISSIPPI DELTA (10) Game effort to win last start at this track and very competitive this preparation. Big danger. KHARTOUM (8) Racing for the second time this week. Got the prize when winning last start at Moonee Valley but facing a stronger grade. Knockout hope.
Selections: 3 Action, 1 Gatting, 10 Mississippi Delta, 8 Khartoum
LUCKY ROAR was mighty in the Starstruck Classic and can go one better. Rolled along in front and had them stretching their necks on that occasion, fighting on bravely before getting out-muscled late. Maps to park up just behind the leaders, and should have plenty of fuel in the tank to attack and run out a strong 1800m. FIRST AFFAIR encountered major traffic issues in the Starstruck and now has the services of Damian Lane. Expecting her to be charging late. Starstruck winner FONTAINEBLEAU maps superbly and must be respected, while CELEBRITY DREAM had no luck last time but the 1800m is a query.
Selections: 5. Lucky Roar, 3. First Affair, 2. Fontainebleau, 1. Celebrity Dream
WA Derby winner ACTION has a stranglehold on this. Has the miles in his legs after successive 2200m outings, including a strong finishing second with 58kg in last week’s A.T.A. Stakes, and is suited jumping from the low draw with only 53kg. Pike should put Action to sleep early and utilise his outstanding staying capacity to full affect late. Stablemate MISSISSIPPI DELTA is the main danger. Drops 4kg and has the turn-of-foot to make life difficult for the favourite. CAPPO D’ORO should enjoy sliding down to 53kg and can impact, while GATTING has the class and heart to take him a long way.
Selections: 3. Action, 10. Mississippi Delta, 4. Cappo D’oro, 1. Gatting
Lucky Roar probably leads again, Fontainebleau will be handy with Awesome As, Mouquet and Oriental Rose capable of injecting some speed. CELEBRITY DREAM was a beaten favourite last time over a mile off a wide gate but drawn ideally here she won’t be so far off them and has a big chance to atone. FONTAINEBLEAU was always in the right spot and that proved a big advantage when winning the same event. Hard to beat again. LUCKY ROAR tried to lead all the way and gave a big sight but found Fontainebleau a bit too strong last time. Extra 200m but sure to run well. Showcase can’t be left out on an improved effort and First Affair and Royal Strata are in the mix too.
1. Celebrity Dream (5 stars)
2. Fontainebleau (4 stars)
3. Lucky Roar (4 stars)
1. Action (5 stars)
2. Mississippi Delta (5 stars)
3. Gatting (5 stars)
This looks like a one act affair. CELEBRITY DREAM finished four lengths off the winner last start at Ascot and rates highly with William Pike retaining the ride, serious player. FONTAINEBLEAU was a winner last start at long odds at Ascot and rates highly with Glenn Smith aboard, needs the breaks. FIRST AFFAIR finished six lengths off the winner last start at Ascot and won once this prep at Kalgoorlie five runs back, chance to place. SHOWCASE placed last start at Ascot and won once this prep at the track five runs back, place only.
ACTION just missed as favourite last start at Ascot and down in weight, well placed. MISSISSIPPI DELTA in strong form with three wins from six attempts this campaign and likely to charge on, sneaky chance. GATTING placed in the Railway Stakes this campaign and blinkers come off for the first time, don’t dismiss. PERFECT JEWEL in the money last start running third in the Ted Van Heemst Stakes and drops in weight, place claims.
Race 1, No. 4 Du Well – 4.5 stars
Race 3, No. 7 Kaplumpich – 3.5 stars
Race 9, No. 14 Belwazi – each-way – 3.5 stars
Back Kaplumpich (3.30) to win
2. I Am Someone
Back Exceltara (10.00) and Enigman (15.00) to win.
If investing 10 units have 7 units on Exceltara and 3 units on Enigman.
Race 1: DU WELL
Race 2: SUNQUEST
Race 3: MAGNESIUM ROSE
Race 4: SHOKORA
Race 5: JUST HIFALUTIN
Race 6: NOTIO
Race 7: CIVIL DISOBEDENCE
Race 8: MASTERING
Race 9: DEMOLITION
Race 1, No. 9 Acqume – 4.5 stars
Race 4, No. 7 Exilia Miss – each-way – 3.5 stars
Race 8, No. 4 Heart Conquered – BEST BET – 4.5 stars
Race 2: Back All Too Royal (4.60) to win
Race 7: Back Gresham (2.45) to win
Race 2 #2 Easy Eddie – BEST BET
Race 7 #2 Invinzabeel – VALUE BET
Race 7 #9 Gresham – LAY BET – bet against this horse with Betfair
Race 1: PERALTA
Race 2: EASY EDDIE
Race 3: LA SCOPA
Race 4: LJUNDBERG
Race 5: THE ART OF THE BAR
Race 6: SAMADOUBT
Race 7: SPECTROSCOPE
Race 8: HEART CONQUERED
Race 9: NICCI’S GOLD