The following is a survey of Australian racing tips for Saturday, July 6. There are no Group races this weekend. This preview will focus on the listed races at Flemington. Selected races at Doomben and Randwick are also covered.
More tips and previews will be added as they become available.
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Best Bets of the Day
Flemington Race 5, No. 3 Rubisaki
Race 3: Back Our Mantra (3.40) to win.
Race 8 #10 Romancer
Race 4, No.8 Future Score – 4 stars
1. Mr Marathon Man
2. Waging War
Best Bet: Mr Marathon Man $5.00
Value Bet: Reykjavik $7.50
Exotic: Box Exacta (1,4,6,9,10)
Race 5: Back Desert Dreamer (7.00, 2.25) each way.
Race 5: Rubisaki
Race 7: Halvorsen
Race 8: Waging War each-way
RUBISAKI (3) was well backed last time and was able to follow up his Seymour win in good style. Has a nice margin in hand there in what looks a very solid piece of form. It’s the main lead in to this and thinking the form will stand up. CASSIUS (1) also comes off a good win last time. Had a margin in hand on the line and did it over the mile. That’s a tick. DESERT DREAMER (5) got off the mark at Echuca. Far more to do here but measured up okay in town two back. NIGHT PASSAGE (13) should press forward with him and the pair have to be a hope given their potentially positive pace set ups. PANCHO (2) is an improver for wider multiples.
MILWAUKEE (3) stuck his nose out at the right time to win a very competitive lead up here a fortnight ago. Took good form into that and his straight course record makes him a key contender again. HALVORSEN (9) should be a big threat. Just a run last time but he was really good prior to that and his peak ratings stand out. Think he is a terrific chance of knocking off the older horses. MALIBU STYLE (2) has been very honest in the right races and has a hope again. Think the drop back in trip can suit SIRIUS SUSPECT (10). Travelled strongly last time but couldn’t finish it off over the 1400m. SMART COUPE (7) could be an improver.
WAGING WAR (4) looked the winner last time but tired late and was run down. Meets the winner on better terms and finds Craig Williams who has a great record on this card over the years. Should also find firmer footing and that looks a positive for him. MR MARATHON MAN (1) gunned him down last time and will be looking to repeat the dose. Think the task is tougher this time but he has to be a leading hope. REYKJAVIK (9) ran well here behind Romancer and looks the one to take from that race. Mares SPANNER HEAD (7) and MAMZELLE TESS (8) are both in form and have recent ratings that give them good chances in this. They must be respected.
3. Rubisaki (5 stars)
1. Cassius (4 stars)
2. Pancho (3 stars)
11. Edinburgh (2 stars)
3. Milwaukee (3 stars)
5. Crown Fontein (3 stars)
9. Halvorsen (3 stars)
2. Malibu Style (3 stars)
2. Hellova Street (3 stars)
4. Waging War (3 stars)
12. Bad Wolf (3 stars)
9. Reykjavik (3 stars)
SPEED: 5, 1, 11 with 12, 13, 14 up there? RUBISAKI is the key to the race but has 59kg and gives weight to males so she will need to be very good. She did run excellent time relative to older horses here last start. HI STRANGER and PANCHO ran on well behind her and both have relative weights swings. CASSIUS did win well with blinkers on at Bendigo out to 1600m. Ditto PONTIVY at Pakenham. NIGHT PASSAGE the best roughie?
Selections: 3. Rubisaki, 2. Pancho, 13. Night Passage, 6. Hi Stranger
Had a query on MILWAUKEE back at 1100m last time but he built top speed in time (just) and beat many key rivals here. There was a length over nine runners there, so ?? SMART COUPE might be the big improver from that race on to drier ground here. CROWN FONTEIN is back to 1200m but has form around Despatch at the trip, which is easy to like. Clearly I’M TELLING YA and HOLY BLADE are chances. INVINCIBLE AL ridden colder here can win. HALVORSEN takes on older horses. I fancy he measures up! Drier a plus for him too. MALIBU STYLE keeps racing well.
Selections: 9. Halvorsen, 3. Milwaukee, 7. Smart Coupe, 4. Holy Blade
SPEED: 2,11 look leaders with 4,7,8,10 handy. That was a big win from MR MARATHON MAN at Lakeside as not many charged home from the back all day, he was suited by a very fast speed though. WAGING WAR was up riding that speed yet broke clear before being nutted, terrific effort. HELLOVA STREET is fitter now and gets to 1600m, love his Mystic Journey form. FEDERAL had a flat one last time off that cracking return here. ROMANCER and REYKJAVIK hopes. MAMZELLE TESS is super genuine. Expect better SPANNER HEAD and HOLBIEN.
Selections: 4. Waging War, 2. Hellova Street, 1. Mr Marathon Man, 5. Federal
1. Rubisaki (5 stars)
2. Cassius (5 stars)
3. Desert Dreamer (5 stars)
1. Milwaukee (5 stars)
2. Halvorsen (4 stars)
3. Malibu Style (4 stars)
1. Waging Ware (5 stars)
2. Mr Marathon Mane (5 stars)
3. Reykjavike (5 stars)
RUBISAKI Was beaten in a photo finish at Warrnambool on debut before successive wins at Seymour and Flemington. Only has to run out a strong mile for the first time to be the testing material again. CASSIUS Broke through for his first career win at Bendigo last start having his fourth career outing. Looks capable of going on with the job after a confidence boosting win and has the advantage of the inside gate. PANCHO Was a Sandown Lakeside winner two back before finishing on the placegetters heels at Flemington last start. Looks suited getting out to the mile and is in the mix. DESERT DREAMER Improved at his second career start to get the money at Echuca. Any further improvement third-up would see him right in the finish.
CROWN FONTEIN Won the Golden Topaz at Swan Hill before enduring a wide run in transit when fourth at Flemington last start. He’s the one to beat launching from an ideal gate with Micheal Walker taking over looking a significant jockey change. MILWAUKEE Has won two of last three both up the straight at Flemington with a runner-up finish in a Listed race separating the two victories. It’s hard to find a reason to suggest he won’t be in the thick of things again. SIRIUS SUSPECT Hasn’t been far from the winner all three runs this preparation and should be right at his peak. HALVORSEN Was a Caulfield winner three back and was less than three-lengths from the winner in a Listed race at Flemington last start. He’s a must for the wider exotics down in the weights.
WAGING WAR Did a good job to win at Morphettville two back before the closest of seconds on the Lakeside circuit last start. Only needs even luck in running from the awkward gate to be the one to beat again. REYKJAVIK Hit the line strongly when third over 1400m at Flemington last start. Looks suited getting out to the mile and is right in play. HELLOVA STREET Is a Tasmanian visitor with a solid record when he crosses Bass Straight. Wasn’t far from the winner resuming from a nine-week break between races last start and rates a winning chance with the run under his belt. HOLBIEN Improved at his second run back from a spell when a winner at Flemington last start. Has won up to 1600m so no concerns stepping up in distance and is a winning hope again down in the weights.
Race 2 #9 San Marco – VALUE BET
Race 3 #8 Sir Elton – LAY BET – bet against this horse with Betfair
Race 5 #1 Fanciful Toff – BEST BET
Race 1, No.6 Satin Socks – EACH-WAY – 3 stars
Race 6, No.2 Dr Drill – BEST BET – 4.5 stars
Race 9, No.11 Aim For Perfection – 4 stars
Back Our Candidate (9.00) to win.
2. Dr Drill
Suggested Bet(s): Back Nahuel (8.50) to win.