Saturday Horse Racing Tips – October 12, 2019

The following is a survey of Australian racing tips for Saturday, October 12. The focus is on the Group racing at Caulfield and Randwick. This includes the Group 1 Spring Champion Stakes (Race 7) at Randwick and the four Group 1 races at Caulfield: the Thousand Guineas (Race 6), Ladbrokes Stakes (Race 7), Caulfield Guineas (Race 8) and Toorak Handicap (Race 9). More tips and previews will be added as they become available.

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Best bets

Caulfield Race 3, No. 2 Loving Gaby
Caulfield Race 4: No. 8 Moss Trip (PLACE)
Caulfield Race 5: No. 5 Haky (PLACE) and No. 3 Steel Prince
Caulfield Race 6: No. 3 Flit, saving on No. 1 Lyre
Caulfield Race 7: No. 5 Avilius
Caulfield Race 10: No. 2 Trekking

Randwick Race 5: No. 2 Cosmic Force

Caulfield

Palmerbet – Horse Racing Tips & Previews:

Race 8: 1. KUBRICK , 2. Super Seth, 3. Subedar, 4. Conqueror

Unibet – From the Trader’s Desk:

Race 8 #2 Dalasan

BetEasy – The Wolf:

Race 5, No.5 Haky – each-way

Race 6:
1. Flit
2. Emeralds – 3 stars
3. Missile Mantra
4. Acting
5. Southbank
Best Bet: Flit ($2.30)
Best Value: Emeralds ($12)
Exotic: Trifecta 3,10/3,4,7,8,10/3,4,7,8,10

Race 7, No.5 Avilius – 4 stars

Race 8:
1. Kubrick – 3.5 stars
2. Alligator Blood
3. Dalasan
4. Soul Patch
5. Super Seth
Best Bet: Kubrick ($7.50)
Best Roughie: Soul Patch ($16)
Exotic: Boxed Exacta 2,3,4,5,7,14

Race 9, No.12 Fierce Impact – 3.5 stars

Unibet – The Professor:

Race 8:
1. Alligator Blood
2. Super Seth
3. Dalasan

Betfair – Feature Race Reports:

Race 3:
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #2 Loving Gaby

Race 4:
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #2 Meryl; #11 Platinum Angel

Race 5:
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #13 The Chosen One; #3 Steel Prince

Race 6:
Betting Confidence: High
Back – #4 Acting; #3 Flit

Race 7:
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #7 Homesman

Race 8:
Betting Confidence: Low
Back – #5 Super Seth

Race 9:
Betting Confidence: Low
Back – #11 Age Of Chivalry; #5 Night’s Watch

Race 10:
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #3 The Bostonian

bet365 – Suggested Play:

Race 3: California Zimbol
Race 4: Moss Trip each-way
Race 5: Haky
Race 6: Lyre
Race 7: Avilius
Race 8: Kubrick
Race 9: Madison County each-way
Race 10: Trekking

BetEasy – Race Synopsis:

Race 3:
LOVING GABY (2) was terrific first up. Spotted two good fillies a start, looped the field, and won coming away. She can only be fitter for that return and this looks an easier assignment. Takes some stopping but very interested in CALIFORNIA ZIMBOL (6) who is up sharply in class but won really well first up and has a nice profile for this. No shock to see her measure right up. Her stablemate ANAHEED (1) has run some big races against good horses this time in. Several performances say she is up to winning one of these. ATHIRI (5) and LI’L KONTRA (3) are others to consider.

Race 4:
MOSS TRIP (8) is a key runner resuming. Didn’t win last campaign but really liked her fresh run and we know that she has the talent to take out a race like this. Dynamic turn of speed on her day and no shock to see her rattle over the top of these. PROPHET’S THUMB (7) did a good job winning here two weeks back and that form rated well. PLATINUM ANGEL (11) looks a big hope through the same race and with a nice weight swing on the winner. MANICURE (1) can only be fitter for her fresh win here and no tougher today. TOFANE (13) was well beaten behind her last time but should bounce back.

Race 5:
HAKY (5) is an interesting runner here. Brings form in races familiar to Australian punters with his Kergorlay run a cracker for this behind a strong winner in Marmelo. Backed that up with an equally good effort at Longchamp last time. Tricky race to line up, with runners coming from everywhere, but surprised if he isn’t in the thick of it. RAHEEN HOUSE (2) was sent out favourite for the Ebor. Ran below his best but suspect he gives this a shake. PRINCE OF ARRAN (1) ran really well there and backed it up at Kempton. Very good in this race last year. TRUE SELF (6) ties in with them off the Ebor. STEEL PRINCE (3) is humming along nicely here in Australia and will stack right up.

Race 6:
LYRE (1) was playing catch up in the Prelude but hummed home there over 1400m and looks to be back on track now. Shapes as though the mile will suit and she can add another Group 1 to her mantle without surprising. FLIT (3) had no luck at all in that Prelude and should have plenty more to offer. Mile looks no concern for her and clear running at the right time will see her rattling into the finish. EMERALDS (10) was big odds in the Tea Rose but her effort was terrific in a really strong contest and this will prove no tougher. TENLEY (2) and MISSILE MANTRA (7) have been showing glimpses.

Race 7:
AVILIUS (5) let rip last time and won really well on the line. Big margin and better suited out to this trip now. Ducks look lined up and expecting a big performance. HOMESMAN (7) didn’t have a lot of luck in the Underwood. Really good effort off a tough run and better than ever this prep. Softer run here has him going close. DREAM CASTLE (9) runs for the yard that won this last year. He may not be as good as Benbatl but he can still measure right up with some smart form in the book. Similar story DANCETERIA (10). Must be respected. CAPE OF GOOD HOPE (11) another import with a nice profile.

Race 8:
KUBRICK (4) has a wide draw to overcome but he brings appealing formlines. He was terrific first up and then sound in the Golden Rose last time which was a hotter race than what he tackles here. Will camp back off them and power at them late. DALASAN (2) also has to offset a wide draw. He should press forward. Looking for the mile last time when flat footed at the turn but strong late. Even luck early makes him mighty hard to stop. SUBEDAR (7) comes back from 1800m. Think that suits and no shock to see him run well. ALLIGATOR BLOOD (3) has to be a hope off winning the Prelude while the mile will suit SUPER SETH (5) through the same race.

Race 9:
MADISON COUNTY (1) draws right out, and that can make things tricky, but with even luck in running he looks like improving sharply off the Rupert Clarke. High pressure race first up and he was okay. Much better suited out to the mile and with the benefit of that run under the belt. FIERCE IMPACT (12) faces a similar scenario from a wide draw. Big formline last time puts him right in the game. AGE OF CHIVALRY (11) was terrific in the Rupert Clarke. Had the right run there, and this may prove tougher, but have to respect. PRINCESS JENNI (14) had more to offer winning the Stocks and is worth her place here while NIGHT’S WATCH (5) is better suited back against the handicapper.

Race 10:
TREKKING (2) was run off his feet back at 1000m first up. That was his first try over the minimum trip and doubt it suited. We saw Sunlight quickly improve away from that scamper last week and think we can see the same here with both Trekking and THE BOSTONIAN (3) looking much better suited over the extra 100m and without as much pace drawn around them. DESPATCH (4) comes the other way, back from 1400m where he blew up in a high-pressure race last time. Gets a soft run from the inside here. VIRIDINE (6) and BONS AWAY (8) are others likely to improve from the Moir.

BetEasy – The King’s Tips:

Race 3:
2. Loving Gaby (3 stars)
3. Li’l Kontra (3 stars)
1. Anaheed (3 stars)
6. California Zimbol (2 stars)

Race 4:
1. Manicure (3 stars)
6. Gift Of Power (3 stars)
14. Diamond Effort (3 stars)
9. Improvement (3 stars)

Race 5:
3. Steel Prince (5 stars)
15. Hang Man (3 stars)
7. Ventura Storm (3 stars)
10. Self Sense (3 stars)

Race 6:
1. Lyre (5 stars)
4. Acting (4 stars)
5. I Am Eloquent (3 stars)
8. Southbank (2 stars)

Race 7:
5. Avilius (3 stars)
7. Homesman (3 stars)
2. Gailo Chop (3 stars)
8. Gatting (3 stars)

Race 8:
3. Alligator Blood (3 stars)
2. Dalasan (3 stars)
6. The Holy One (3 stars)
1. Yourdeel (3 stars)

Race 9:
11. Age Of Chivalry (5 stars)
1. Madison County (3 stars)
20. Waging War (3 stars)
14. Princess Jenni (3 stars)

Race 10:
2. Trekking (4 stars)
3. The Bostonian (3 stars)
8. Bons Away (3 stars)
5. Rebel King (3 stars)

Sportsbet – Race Comments and Selections:

Race 3:
SPEED: 1 leads. 3, 6, 7, 9, 12 capable of being handy. ANAHEED was no match for the elite 3YO fillies in a fast Tea Rose but that was 1400m. Her latest 1200m run she beat Flit and Villami, that third filly crossed the line with LOVING GABY and Exhilarates at MV despite wide run. Loving Gaby was terrific winning that race though., she was forced wide/no trail yet surged to line. DON’TTELLTHEBOSS was right on her heels and ran a race-fastest last 200m. She has relative weights advantage today too. ATHIRI and LI’L CONTRA chances. CALIFORNIA ZIMBOL won well fresh, last 600m/overall figures strong!
Selections: 2. Loving Gaby, 1. Anaheed, 6. California Zimbol, 8. Don’ttelltheboss

Race 4:
SPEED: Not sure leader, maybe 5, 10 but any/all of 2, 3, 9, 13, 14, 15 can go forward. MANICURE was wide/ impressive winning the How Now. Second up last prep she beat all bar G1 mare Invincibella. She’s well-weighted this scale. EMBRACE ME was luckless behind her and can improve sharply here at odds. MERYL has been right on the heels of gun male sprinters her last two, back to mares grade she can certainly win. MOSS TRIP trialled well, in April last year she beat Manicure off a seven-week freshen. GIFT OF POWER and PROPHET’S THUMB are live chances. Expect better from TOFANE.
Selections: 2. Meryl, 1. Manicure, 8. Moss Trip, 6. Gift Of Power

Race 5:
SPEED: 5 may lead 11. 7, 13 handy? Plenty of international form here. PRINCE OF ARRAN was very good in this race last year before placing in a Melbourne Cup. RAHEEN HOUSE had backing in the Ebor but was below his best. HAKY looks the leader., he ran along in the Kergorlay and was 1.8L off Marmelo on the line. TRUE SELF ran well in the Ebor. Of the locals STEEL PRINCE looks about ready to fire, he closed off nicely in the Naturalism and beat Surprise Baby twice last prep. SULLY and GLORY DAYS from the JRA Cup are hopes. QAFILA best roughie?
Selections: 3. Steel Prince, 1. Prince Of Arran, 5. Haky, 9. Qafila

Race 6:
SPEED: 4 leads 5. 8, 9 handy. FLIT attacked the line in a very fast Silver Shadow behind Libertini then looked about ready to explode when badly blocked in Prelude. EMERALDS was a similar margin off Libertini in the Tea Rose. They too ran fast time. In fact winner Funstar ran near-identical time to G1 Epsom winner Kolding despite much slower first 800m. This girl had a near-identical last 200m split to Funstar, who walked in with a G1 last week. She’s the value danger for mine. LYRE and MISSILE MANTRA flew home in Prelude, a race dominated up front. ACTING won that Prelude, looks only leader.
Selections: 3. Flit, 10. Emeralds, 1. Lyre, 7. Missile Mantra

Race 7:
SPEED: 2 looks leader with 8,1 handy. AVILIUS was far too good in George Main when 3rd-up, the 2000m suits him even better, he is unbeaten here. HOMESMAN was wide and terrific in the Underwood, he was the best run in that race but GAILO CHOP was only 2nd-up off a long break so he is in the game for sure. BLACK HEART BART won it. GATTING worked early in that race couldn’t finish off, he draws out. HUMIDOR might be ready to fire. DANCETERIA ran on well two-back behind Enable so that is easy to like!
Selections: 5. Avilius, 7. Homesman, 10. Danceteria, 2. Gailo Chop

Race 8:
SPEED: 6, 10 from 3 with any/all of 2, 4, 5, 7, 11, 15, 17, 18 handy. The draw has opened this up. DALASAN didn’t quicken in Prelude but loved his last 100m. He looked in dire need of blinkers, which go on here. KUBRICK held on OK behind the elite 3YOs in Golden Rose. His JJ Atkins run at 1600m when wide was enormous. ALLIGATOR BLODD won the Prelude and remains unbeaten. SUPER SETH went way back and ran home race-fastest. The first four all sat handy. EXPRESS PASS copped an early check and ran on well too. Those two look the overs. SUBEDAR, ERIC THE EEL chances, also GROUNDSWELL if gets in.
Selections: 2. Dalasan, 4. Kubrick, 5. Super Seth, 16. Express Pass

Race 9:
SPEED: 9, 11 can lead 3, 7, 18 with 16, 17 up there. NIGHT’S WATCH should have tested AGE OF CHIVALRY fresh then closed off well in G1/WFA Makybe, crossing the line with King’s Will Dream. AMPHITRITE was just outsped in a fast-run Rupert Clarke at 1400m. She warmed up nicely late out wide against the race shape and was not far off them in the All-Star Mile third up last prep. MAHAMEDEIS is flying but will need luck from gate 1. FIERCE IMPACT was bloused by the Epsom winner fresh and 2.2L off Pierata second up last prep. SIKANDARABAD ridden colder is in this. Stack of half-chances in my humble.
Selection: 5. Night’s Watch, 10. Amphitrite, 13. Mahamedeis, 12. Fierce Impact

Race 10:
SPEED: 1, 5 from 4, 7. TREKKING found Nature Strip way too sharp at 1000m (big shock!) but ran on very well after being forced wide. THE BOSTONIAN was always wide that same race and kept coming. He beat Trekking around one length when second up last prep then Trekking turned the tables in the Stradbroke. DESPATCH was luckless in that Stradbroke and he beat home Begood Toya Mother two back at WFA. Drop to 1100m is some query but the overs at $12 for mine. BONS AWAY beat home Trekking in Moir and finished with Sunlight. BOOKER improves. VIRIDINE a hope.
Selections: 4. Despatch, 2. Trekking, 3. The Bostonian, 8. Bons Away

Betfair – Race Selections:

Race 3:
1. Loving Gaby (5 stars)
2. California Zimbol (4 stars)
3. Anaheed (4 stars)

Race 4:
1. Moss Trip (5 stars)
2. Prophet’s Thumb (4 stars)
3. Platinum Angel (4 stars)

Race 5:
1. Haky (5 stars)
2. Raheen House (5 stars)
3. Prince Of Arran (4 stars)

Race 7:
1. Avilius (5 stars)
2. Homesman (4 stars)
3. Dream Castle (4 stars)

Race 9:
1. Madison County (5 stars)
2. Fierce Impact (4 stars)
3. Age Of Chivalry (4 stars)

Ladbrokes – Race Comments:

Race 3:
LOVING GABY (2) Having second run back from a break. Got the upper hand late when winning last time at Moonee Valley. Looks the winner. CALIFORNIA ZIMBOL (6) Having second run back from a break. Won last run at Canterbury but racing in stronger company here. Include in chances. ANAHEED (1) Should come to hand quickly. Set a strong tempo when 3rd two runs back at Rosehill and strong form at the distance. Has the ability to figure. ATHIRI (5) Did well to place 3rd last start at Flemington and has a nice turn of foot. Very strong each way claims.

Race 4:
MANICURE (1) Second up from a spell. Solid effort when winning last run at this venue and solid performer at this distance in the past. Major hope. MERYL (2) Ended up 1.3L behind the winner at Moonee Valley last run but back in an easier grade. Solid place bet prospects. GIFT OF POWER (6) Second up from a break. Stormed home when 2nd last start at Morphettville. Has some strong credentials in this race. EMBRACE ME (4) Average effort when beaten by almost 7L at the track last run. Can bounce back and will run close.

Race 5:
STEEL PRINCE (3) Won narrowly three runs back at Flemington and having third run back from a spell. Should be swooping on the field late. Top prospects against this opposition. PRINCE OF ARRAN (1) Flashed home late into 3rd last start at Kempton Park. Sound chances. GLORY DAYS (4) Inched into 5th last run at Moonee Valley and gets a favourable draw. Should get going late. Trifectas chance. HANG MAN (15) Fought on well to win last time at Benalla but facing a stronger class. Always seems to find the line well. Has each way claims.

Race 6:
FLIT (3) Can completely forget her last run. Form previous to that puts her well on top in this. LYRE (1) Group 1 winner who ran on strongly last start. Has the ratings. MISSILE MANTRA (7) Run of the race in the Prelude. Clear running would see her go close. ACTING (4) Could receive a fairly soft lead. Another win wouldn’t totally shock.

Race 7:
AVILIUS (5) Racing well of late and looks to be ideally placed today. Should go close. HOMESMAN (7) Fitter again and has drawn well. Strong chance. DANCETERIA (10) Comes here with very strong European formlines. Can win. DREAM CASTLE (9) Struggled at Royal Ascot but has very good first up stats. Each way.

Race 8:
DALASAN (2) Has drawn wide but has the class to overcome it. Rates very well. ALLIGATOR BLOOD (3) Undefeated gelding who has gone through his grades impressively. Looks a strong chance. KUBRICK (4) Has good form behind Bivouac and can measure up today. Each way. SUPER SETH (5) Finished off well in the Prelude. One at odds.

Race 9:
AGE OF CHIVALRY (11) Good run behind Begood Toya Mother last start and that form reads well here. Strong claims. NIGHT’S WATCH (5) Not disgraced in the Makybe Diva Stakes and gets weight relief here. Can win. PRINCESS JENNI (14) Ran on well at Moonee Valley to win the Stocks Stakes. Each way. FIERCE IMPACT (12) Form behind Kolding has stacked up very well. One at a price.

Race 10:
TREKKING (2) Left nothing to chance when winning two runs back at Eagle Farm and will be hitting the line strongly. Has to be strongly considered. BONS AWAY (8) Dashed home into 2nd two runs back at Moonee Valley but tracking very well this campaign. Always seems to find the line well. Has the ability to figure. THE BOSTONIAN (3) Has good finishing speed. Came in 9th last run at Moonee Valley and has multiple wins second up. Open to improvement and is a strong chance again. BALL OF MUSCLE (1) Been in the money here regularly and won’t be far away during the run. Placed 3rd two runs back at this track and Third up from a spell. Consider an each way bet.

Randwick

Palmerbet – Horse Racing Tips & Previews:

Race 7: 1. CASTELVECCHIO, 2. Shadow Hero, 3. Just Thinkin’, 4. Quick Thinker

Betfair – The Rating Bureau:

Race 7: Shadow Hero and Castelvecchio

bet365 – Suggested Play:

Race 4: Bottega
Race 5: Cosmic Force
Race 6: Noire
Race 7: Castelvecchio

BetEasy – The Wolf:

Race 3, No.4 – Greyworm – 4.5 stars
Race 7, No.2 Shadow Hero – 4.5 stars
Race 8, No.3 The Inevitable – BEST BET – 5 stars

Unibet – The Professor:

Race 8:
1. The Inevitable
2. Mizzy
3. Kapajack

Betfair – Feature Race Reports:

Race 4:
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #9 Kooweerup

Race 5:
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #2 Cosmic Force

Race 6:
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #4 Dyslexic

Race 7:
Betting Confidence: High
Back – #1 Castelvecchio

Unibet – From the Trader’s Desk:

Race 5 #2 Cosmic Force – LAY BET
Race 7 #2 Shadow Hero – BEST BET
Race 9 #1 Black Magnum – VALUE BET

BetEasy – Race Synopsis:

Race 4:
BOTTEGA (1) has been most impressive in two runs to date and while stepping up sharply in grade, this isn’t an overly strong Group 2 and he is clearly trending the right way. Bred to handle the conditions and should prove hard to beat with Parr sticking aboard. KOOWEERUP (9) has been solid enough in two runs this time in and should be nearing her peak third up. Rates well, major threat. BRANDENBURG (3) broke through for his maiden win last start and is another trending the right way, while COLADA (6) is expected to give a bit of cheek on-speed.

Race 5:
COSMIC FORCE (2) went down narrowly first up but lost no admirers and is expected to improve sharply second up. Will have no concerns with the prospect of a wet track and he holds a key fitness edge over this main rival. Should press forward and be in this for a long way. MICROPHONE (1) creates plenty of interest in his return, it’s no secret the stable have held him back with the sole focus being the Coolmore. Nash is a notable booking and anywhere near his peak and he is sure to be in the finish. STANDOUT (4) continues to raise the bar and while meeting CF 2.5kg worse off at the weights, he still has to be respected. ACCESSION (3) a big watch with the blinkers on for the first time.

Race 6:
NOIRE (1) closed off well late behind Mister Sea Wolf last start and should be right at her peak racing third up. Sure to relish the conditions on offer and have to love the booking of Nash. Expected to get back from the wide draw, but should be very strong late. DYSLEXIC (4) looked to have her chance last start behind Mizzy, but still ran well. More than capable in this line up, just not sure she’ll love the conditions. NETTOYER (2) is simply flying and while has to be kept safe on the quick back up. She should eat the mud. AMANGIRI (8) was only fair first up, but can improve.

Race 7:
CASTELVECCHIO (1) was solid enough first up before not disgraced in the Golden Rose when going to the line on the heels of Kubrick. Ran the 10th fastest L200m of the day and is sure to relish the step up in trip. Exploded when stepping up to the mile last preparation and is sure to relish getting back to Randwick. Top rated on best form, the one to beat. SHADOW HERO (2) made a mess of them last start and it’s very hard seeing him taking a backwards step here. Nonetheless there was nothing between the main pair in the Dulcify, has the market over-reacted? QUICK THINKER (4) should relish the wet-track, while JUST THINKIN’ (3) has to be kept safe with the blinkers on for the first time.

BetEasy – The King’s Tips:

Race 4:
2. Famous (3 stars)
9. Kooweerup (3 stars)
3. Brandenburg (3 stars)
6. Colada (2 stars)

Race 5:
1. Microphone (5 stars)
4. Standout (4 stars)
3. Accession (2 stars)
5. True Detective (2 stars)

Race 6:
11. Miss Moana (5 stars)
12. Zourhea (3 stars)
5. Organza (3 stars)
1. Noire (2 stars)

Race 7:
1. Castelvecchio (5 stars)
4. Quick Thinker (4 stars)
2. Shadow Hero (2 stars)
3. Just Thinkin’ (2 stars)

Sportsbet – Race Comments and Selections:

Race 4:
A hard race to to get grips with for me as most haven’t seen a lot of rain-affected. Most are coming through Maidens and C1s. Expect 5 and 7 can lead up. KOOWEERUP was favourite in stakes company last start and wasn’t disgraced after drawing very wide. She finds herself against all male opposition her as she switches up to Sydney but I fancy she’s up to winning something like this. BOTTEGA has created a nice impression from just two starts and he’s entitled to be well regarded. Has appeared from well off-speed both times with the looks of a black-type galloper. Certainly he was far too good for BRANDENBURG when they met back in September.
Selections: 9. Kooweerup, 1. Bottega, 3. Brandenburg, 7. Rock Amore

Race 5:
Hard race to map. They went right back with HUMAN NATURE last start but this is an inside gate today. Maybe 7 could take it up?? MICROPHONE and COSMIC FORCE draw the outside two barriers but I doubt either will want to get too far away. MICROPHONE has met COSMIC twice (on Good and Heavy) and beat him both times. COSMIC has the run under the belt – and clearly gets the better of the weight against STANDOUT from that run – while MICROPHONE has had one inconclusive trial. Clearly he was among the very best of our 2YOs last season and I am looking forward to see what he can offer this campaign (with the Coolmore his target).
Selections: 1. Microphone, 2. Cosmic Force, 3. Accession, 4. Standout

Race 6:
A dearth of speed in this one. EUGENE’S PICK hasn’t made a habit of leading across her career but has done so at times to winning effect. Whether she can do so her may depend on whether she can jump away cleanly, and she hasn’t been going great at that this prep. AMANGIRI and DYSLEXIC likely handy but will they want the front itself?? Pending tempo, NETTOYER appears beautifully coming through the obvious strongest lead-up. She ran past at least ten horses in the Epsom last week so can get past quite a few here as well. Speed also an issue for the likes of NOIRE and ORGANZA and that’s why DYSLEXIC and AMANGIRI (settling closer) have to rate as winning hopes.
Selections: 2. Nettoyer, 4. Dyslexic, 8. Amangiri, 1. Noire

Race 7:
Through the Gloaming come many of these and while JUST THINKIN’ and QUICK THINKER were well regarded the market in the end expected SHADOW HERO to lift his rating with a run under the belt, and that indeed he did. How they turn things around on him after that impressive performance is the big question but of course conditions are likely to be very different today. Will that curb his dash? Potentially that is their only hope of turning tables. JUST THINKIN’ hasn’t seen anything but dry yet either while QUICK THINKER has handled Heavy to win only two starts back. CASTELVECCHIO has his fans (I’m one) and he had excuses after the Golden Rose. Keep in mind he crossed the line with SHADOW HERO in the Dulcify.
Selections: 2. Shadow Hero, 1. Castelvecchio, 3. Just Thinkin’, 4. Quick Thinker

Betfair – Race Selections:

Race 4:
1. Bottega (5 stars)
2. Kooweerup (4 stars)
3. Brandenburg (4 stars)

Race 5:
1. Cosmic Force (5 stars)
2. Microphone (4 stars)
3.Standout (4 stars)

Race 6:
1. Noire (5 stars)
2. Dyslexic (4 stars)
3. Nettoyer (4 stars)

Race 7:
1. Castelvecchio (5 stars)
2. Shadow Hero (4 stars)
3. Quick Thinker (4 stars)

Ladbrokes – Race Comments:

Race 4:
BOTTEGA (1) Good win last time at Hawkesbury but up against stronger competition here. Strong form this preparation winning 2 from as many attempts. Top chance. KOOWEERUP (9) Third up. Bold effort to win three runs back at Morphettville but up against stronger competition here. Should be in the finish. BRANDENBURG (3) Was all too good winning last time here but rising in grade. Could take beating. FAMOUS (2) Won narrowly last time at Wyong and Nash Rawiller is a plus. Very competitive this preparation. Rates an each way chance.

Race 5:
COSMIC FORCE (2) Third up from a break. Kept finding the line when 2nd last time at Rosehill but up against stronger competition here. Carries plenty of appeal. MICROPHONE (1) First up. Scored a victory last time at this venue. Will take beating today. STANDOUT (4) Game effort to win last start at Rosehill and can find a nice position from the draw. Should take beating. TRUE DETECTIVE (5) Won narrowly two runs back here. Some place claims.

Race 6:
DYSLEXIC (4) Did well when 3rd last run at Rosehill and has a positive barrier. The one they all have to beat. NETTOYER (2) Caught the eye when 3rd two runs back at Newcastle and will be trying to topple them late. Can get the job done. NOIRE (1) Has a great burst of speed late. Inched into 4th last run at Rosehill and having third run back from a break. Winning hope. AMANGIRI (8) Having second run back from a break. Ended up 2L behind the winner at Rosehill last run but won’t be far away during the run. Expect to go close.

Race 7:
SHADOW HERO (2) Thrashed the field when winning last time at Rosehill. Clear favourite. CASTELVECCHIO (1) Just plain in the Golden Rose but the step up to 2000m should help. Keep safe. QUICK THINKER (4) Kiwi import who should be nearing peak fitness levels. Not out of this. JUST THINKIN’ (3) Could receive a soft lead. Watch betting.

 

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