The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 24 of the 2020/21 English Premier League. This extended Gameweek runs until Thursday morning AEDT to include some previously postponed games.
Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
Leicester City vs. Liverpool
Back the Leicester City 1-3 Liverpool correct score at 17.00 (bet365)
Liverpool have struggled terribly at home over the last month but they won their previous two away fixtures against West Ham and Tottenham. Leicester City’s last home game resulted in a 1-3 defeat while Liverpool’s last two away fixtures resulted in 3-1 victories. Five of Liverpool’s seven away wins over the last 12 months were by 2-goal margins and three of their last four wins over Leicester City saw both sides score.
Crystal Palace vs. Burnley
Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.61 (bet365)
Crystal Palace are again without talisman Wilfried Zaha after he suffered a hamstring injury against Newcastle. The Eagles have failed to score in the four games that Zaha has missed this season. Twelve of Palace’s 19 home games over the last 12 months went under 2.5 goals while Burnley’s last six away fixtures went under 2.5. Since Burnley were promoted all five away fixtures against Crystal Palace went under 2.5. goals.
Crystal Palace have gone 0-0-4 this season without Wilfried Zaha and they have lost an eye-watering 17 out of the last 19 games that he has missed. Zaha isn’t the only absentee. The injury-hit club could only name six substitutes against Leeds last week. Burnley won this clash last season and they have avoided defeat in 3 of their 5 EPL visits to Selhurst Park.
Back the Crystal Palace 0-1 Burnley correct score at 9.00 (bet365)
Burnley’s last three wins over Crystal Palace were all by 1-0 scorelines and four of their six wins this season were by 1-0 scorelines. Five of Burnley’s last six away wins over the last 12 months were to nil and five of those wins were by a 1-goal margin.
West Brom vs. Man Utd
West Brom have conceded at least two goals in each of their last eight games. Their last six fixtures went over 2.5 goals and six of their last eight games against Man Utd went over 2.5. Four of United’s last five games went over 2.5 goals with their last two fixtures combining for 15 goals. Looking at the interactive EPL form guide, five of West Brom’s last six home fixtures against above average sides went over 2.5 goals. Three of those six fixtures went over 4.5.
West Brom have gone 0-2-7 as the home underdog over the last 12 months with six of their seven defeats coming by 2+ goal margins. They now take on this season’s best away team in Man Utd (8-4-0). Looking at the interactive EPL form guide, United have gone 5-1-0 in their last six away fixtures against below average sides (the draw came against Arsenal). West Brom, meanwhile, have gone 0-1-5 in their last six home fixtures against strong opponents with four of those five defeats coming by 3+ goal margins.
Everton vs. Fulham
Back Everton +0.5 at 1.24 (bet365)
Fulham have failed to win in 10 of their 11 away games this season and they have never won a league fixture away against Everton in a stretch that goes back to 1949. By my count Everton have won an incredible 22 consecutive league home fixtures against Fulham. The visitors last picked up an away point against Everton in 1959. I’ve opted for Everton in the Asian Handicap rather than the head-to-head because of Fulham’s incredible run of 8 draws in their last 11 games. If Everton do lose this game consider yourself unlucky!
Everton vs. Man City
[note that at the time of writing Everton and Man City have yet to play their weekend fixtures that precede this clash]
Everton have lost five consecutive league fixtures against Man City, including their last three at home. Four of those five defeats were by 2+ goal margins. At the time of writing Man City have yet to play their home fixture against Tottenham, but prior to that they had won ten straight league fixtures while keeping eight clean sheets. Seven of those wins were by 2+ goal margins.