The following is a survey of Australian racing tips for Saturday, March 13. The focus is on Moonee Valley and Rosehill. The highlights of the day are the $5M All-Star Mile (Race 8) at Moonee Valley and the Group 1 Coolmore Classic (Race 7) at Rosehill. More tips and previews will be added as they become available.
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Best bets
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Moonee Valley Race 4: Ancestry and Pandemic (possible quinella)
Moonee Valley Race 9: Cordilla
Rosehill Race 1: Great House
Rosehill Race 3: Ingratiating
Rosehill Race 4: Colette
Rosehill Race 5: Wandabaa
Rosehill Race 8: Criaderas
Moonee Valley
Race 3: 2. Too Close The Sun
Race 4: 3. Ancestry
Race 8:
Probabeel has the right form and draws to get the right run. Has strong appeal at $3.50 or better. Mr Quickie the best at odds.
EXOTIC: Trifecta: 11/4,5,10,12/4,5,10,12
TOP 5:
1. Probabeel
2. Mr Quickie
3. Star of the Seas
4. Arcadia Queen
5. Shout The Bar
Quaddie: 2,3,5,6/2,4,6,7/4,5,10,11,12/4,5,10
Race 1:
PLAYOFFS (5) Despite being out sprinted still placed 3rd two runs back at this course. Should land a nice spot just off the speed. Been in the money 5 from 7 attempts this campaign. Expect to go close. FANCIFUL TOFF (1) Scored a victory last time here but going up in weight. Contender. COIN COLLECTOR (7) Stormed home when 2nd last time at this course and gets some weight taken off today. Likely to get a nice run behind the speed. Should be right in the finish. RISING ARCHIE (9) Was fighting out the finish when winning three runs back at Ararat and will benefit with the weight drop. Must respect.
Race 2:
SCORCHED EARTH (7) Third up from a spell. Won by a huge margin last time at Murray Bridge but racing in stronger company. Top prospects. GLITTER ‘N’ GOLD (8) Nice effort when winning last time at Ballarat and having second race start. Should be in the finish. PREDETERMINED (1) Having second run back from a break. Scored a victory last start at Sandown but up against stronger competition today. Should land a nice spot just off the speed. Can figure. DIO (4) Folded up in the straight when 7th last time at Rosehill but was on debut last time. Likely to race off the speed. Can surprise and by no means out of it.
Race 3:
PERSAN (1) Finished on top two runs back at Flemington and shows good finishing speed. Hard to hold out. TOO CLOSE THE SUN (2) Proven record when second up with 3 wins from 4 attempts. Rattled home nicely into 2nd three runs back at Ascot and drops back to a suitable grade. Good chance and wouldn’t be surprised to see it pick up a win. HANG MAN (5) Nice effort when winning two runs back at Caulfield. Finishes off strongly. Looks promising in this race. IRISH FLAME (3) Won narrowly three runs back at Ballarat and having third run back from a break. Should land a nice spot just off the speed. Strong hope.
Race 4:
ANCESTRY (3) Bold effort to win two runs back at Flemington and displays good tactical speed. Rates well and should be taken seriously. PANDEMIC (7) Showed promise when winning two runs back at Caulfield and very competitive this preparation. Honest enough customer who is strongly placed. AGE OF CHIVALRY (2) Ran well when 2nd two runs back at this course and likely to race off the speed. Key hope. DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR (1) Has a good record first up with 3 wins from 6 starts. Tidy effort when 2nd two runs back at Flemington and should be going forward early. Key hope.
Race 5:
CHERRY TORTONI (1) Came on strongly when 2nd last run at Flemington and shows good closing speed. Winning chance. PARURE (9) Game effort to win last time at Caulfield and going well this campaign. Should just about get the run of the race. Expected to fight out the finish. YOUNG WERTHER (2) Having third run back from a break. Rocketed home into 3rd three runs back at Flemington. Rates a winning chance. BELTORO (4) Displayed good finishing speed when 2nd three runs back at Caulfield and tracking very well this campaign. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Can’t knock.
Race 6:
FLANDERSRAIN (6) Was a comprehensive winner two runs back at Sandown. Should come to hand quickly. Open to improvement and is a strong chance again. IRISH PLAYBOY (3) Scored a victory last time at Pakenham and displays good closing speed. Can be competitive. MAXIMAK (4) Won three runs back at Sunshine Coast. Shows very good finishing speed. Include. INTELLECTIVE (5) Was fighting out the finish when winning last run at Ballarat and going well this campaign. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Will be there at the finish.
Race 7:
CONCEITED (2) Finished strongly when 3rd three runs back at Gold Coast and likely to race off the speed. Appears well in this. REAL SENSATION (10) Pulled away to win last time at Stawell and finishes off strongly. Should go well. NARVAEZ (4) Solid run on the pace before weakening to finish 2nd two runs back at Sandown and strong form at this trip. Has early speed and positions nicely. Right in the thick of it and is a major player. REUBER (6) Had a comfortable win last time at Werribee and third up from a break. Drawn to sit just in behind the speed. Chance in this field so include in exotics.
Race 8:
ARCADIA QUEEN (10) Having second run back from a break. Finished on top two runs back at Flemington and finishes off strongly. Looks a worthwhile proposition today. PROBABEEL (11) Could build on a strong third up record. Game effort to win last run at Caulfield. Should just about get the run of the race. Deserves consideration. RUSSIAN CAMELOT (9) Kept finding the line when 3rd two runs back at this track but resumes after a break. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Worth keeping safe. MUGATOO (6) Came on strongly to finish 2nd three runs back at Randwick and shows good finishing speed. Betting is the best guide and has each way claims.
Race 9:
CORDILLA (5) Did a good job when winning two runs back at Cranbourne and can go through the gears. No surprise to see a forward showing and one of the main hopes in this race. THE BILLIONAIRE (10) Solid effort when winning last start at Wangaratta and gets some weight taken off today. Should be very competitive and is a genuine threat. VONGOLE (4) Game effort to win three runs back at Pakenham and displays good closing speed. Open to improvement and has a show in this field. VICI (6) Nice effort when winning two runs back at the track and gets some weight relief. Should enjoy a cosy run off the pace. Racing consistently this preparation. Market watch advised
Race 1: Aurora’s Symphony
Race 2: Dio
Race 3: Irish Flame
Race 4: Pandemic
Race 5: Young Werther
Race 7: Bellinger
Race 8: Arcadia Queen
Race 9: Cordilla
Race 1: 5. Playoffs
Race 4: 7. Pandemic, 3. Ancestry
Race 5: 1. Cherry Tortoni, saving on or quinella with 9. Parure
Race 7: 4. Narvaez
Race 8: 10. Arcadia Queen, 9. Russian Camelot, 11. Probabeel
Race 9: 5. Cordilla
Race 1:
1. Fanciful Toff, 5. Playoffs, 7. Coin Collector, 2. Sh’bourne Renegade
Race 2:
6. Awe, 8. Glitter ‘N’ Gold, 7. Scorched Earth, 4. Dio
Race 3:
2. Too Close the Sun, 1. Persan, 4. Blenheim Palace, 6. Kentucky Breeze
Race 4:
3. Ancestry, 1. Dollar for Dollar, 2. Age Of Chivalry, 7. Pandemic
Race 5:
1. Cherry Tortoni, 4. Beltoro, 9. Parure, 2. Young Werther
Race 6:
1. Astraeus, 17. La Falaise, 6. Flandersrain, 7. Kent Street
Race 7:
10. Real Sensation, 1. Wise Counsel, 6. Reuber, 4. Narvaez
Race 8:
10. Arcadia Queen, 11. Probabeel, 9. Russian Camelot, 6. Mugatoo
Race 9:
5. Cordilla, 6. Vici, 4. Vongole, 10. The Billionaire
Race 1: 9. Rising Archie
Race 2: 8. Glitter ‘N’ Gold
Race 3: 4. Blenheim Palace, 6. Kentucky Breeze
Race 4: 3. Ancestry, 7. Pandemic
Race 5: 1. Cherry Tortoni
Race 6: 14. Fiorente Lass
Race 7: 5. Token Spirit
Race 8: 9. Russian Camelot
Race 9: 8. Lucifer’s Reward
Sportsbet – Race Comments and Selections:
Race 1:
NOTE: Rail is True. We have not had a true rail here since Jan 22 and on-pace runners had a good night at that meeting. At last meeting here the rail was 6m and on-pace/ inside was place to be. FANCIFUL TOFF was a strong winner here last time, third horse there then won easily. PLAYOFFS was 5-weeks between runs and way back/ wide from outside gate, she draws better today and has relative weights advantage. That form ties in COIN COLLECTOR. BREAKING LOOSE has been dominant in two 2400m-ish wins, third horse Northanna wasn’t far off RISING ARCHIE one day, and that’s AURORA’S SYMPHONY form.
Selections: 5. Playoffs (Top Tip), 1. Fanciful Toff, 8. Breaking Loose, 4. Aurora’s Symphony
Race 2:
Two (possible) debutants (AWE also an acceptor in Sydney). He (AWE) looked very good in his latest trial up there. THE AMAZONIAN has ability also. DIO had backing on debut in a Silver Slipper (off nice trial form) but didn’t finish off on near-heavy ground, he can improve lengths here! SCORCHED EARTH went to 1200m in Adelaide and blitzed her rivals. She didn’t smash the clock but the margin was 5¼ lengths. PREDETERMINED won well fresh with blinkers on, albeit on a leaders’ track. GLITTER ‘N’ GOLD did a great job on debut after blowing the start.
Selections: 7. Scorched Earth (Top Tip), 6. Awe, 4. Dio, 1. Predetermined
Race 3:
Not sure speed-map here. 4 may lead, 7 was ridden back fresh last prep at 2000m. 1,2,3 and even 6 can be right up there. PERSAN never runs poorly and is very well weighted after the claim. TOO CLOSE THE SUN found a hot G1 Futurity a bit slick at 1400m fresh, quickly to 2040m against these and he can win. IRISH FLAME was up near a fearsome speed in Blamey, he ran very well. HANG MAN, BLENHEIM PALACE and KENTUCKY BREEZE have the Defibrillate form, he just ran well in an Australian Cup.
Selections: 1. Persan (Top Tip), 5. Hang Man, 2. Too Close The Sun, 3. Irish Flame
Race 4:
SPEED: 3 leads 1,2. DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR is very good fresh and form last prep around Zoutori and Behemoth is great for this. AGE OF CHIVALRY was pipped by Viridine fresh last prep. ANCESTRY was pressured in an Oakleigh Plate and held on well on tough day to lead. He is back a notch here onto a track he is unbeaten at. USMANOV ran well last start behind Fabergino. PANDEMIC hit the line nicely behind that same star sprinter (Fabergino) last start, he is 8-weeks fresh here but trialled well.
Selections: 7. Pandemic (Top Tip), 3. Ancestry, 1. Dollar For Dollar, 2. Age Of Chivalry
Race 5:
SPEED: 7 leads? 3 may well go forward this time. 6,9 handy. CHERRY TORTONI was the best run in the race in an Australian Guineas for mine, he won Vase here at this trip in Spring and draws a gate! YOUNG WERTHER has very similar form line through Khoekhoe and he wants all of 2040m. GRANDSLAM can win if he finds that Caulfield Guineas run (when he led). BELTORO gets blinkers on, only Cherry Tortoni had a stronger last 200m than him in Guineas. Filly PARURE beat Khoekhoe and Young Werther at Caulfield.
Selections: 1. Cherry Tortoni (Top Tip), 9. Parure, 4. Beltoro, 2. Young Werther
Race 6:
SPEED good. 6 may lead with any/all of 1, 2, 5, 13, 14, 15 handy. 9, 10 can be up there also. Key hopes draw wide. Many of the main hopes come through Ballarat race won by INTELLECTIVE, who did a good job off tardy start. INDISPENSIBLE was wide and gets Ollie. MAXIMAK was forced wide on the turn and ran on hard. FLANDERSRAIN did some early work and held on well. LA FALAISE had mixed luck (ran well). Of the others: IRiSH PLAYBOY beat JUDESTAR (wide) at Pakenham. Both were good, both draw out. ASTRAEUS is fitter.
Selections: 2. Indispensable (Top Tip), 3. Irish Playboy, 5. Intellective, 12. Judestar
Race 7:
SPEED: 4 can lead 8 with 3, 9 handy. 1, 2, 12 can be up there also. SALTPETER beat home CONCEITED last week but the latter had little luck and will be fitter. NARVAEZ went too hard last time! His form around Parure and Beltoro prior reads very well for this. REUBER looked good at Werribee. BELLINGER looked good at Hillside. REAL SENSATION looked good at Stawell. CHOISIR LANE looked good at Ballarat. ZOUTELLUS has Grand Pope form, which ties in.
Selections: 4. Narvaez (Value Bet), 6. Reuber, 7. Bellinger, 2. Conceited
Race 8:
SPEED: 13 can lead 12 with 3,5,2,11 taking trails. ARCADIA QUEEN was only 1st-up and covered more ground than PROBABEEL when closing in on her late fresh in Orr Stks, she is unbeaten on dry ground at 1600m+. Probabeel has won her last six on dry including three G1 races, in one of those (Epsom Hcp) she sat 3-deep too. Two absolute stars! RUSSIAN CAMELOT was wide/ enormous in G1 Makybe Diva Stks fresh last prep then beat Arcadia Queen in Caulfield Stks. His Cox Plate run was excellent close to hot speed. MUGATOO was wide/ great in that Cox Plate too.
Selections: 10. Arcadia Queen (Top Tip), 9. Russian Camelot, 11. Probabeel, 6. Mugatoo
Race 9:
This race is a BM80. SPEED: 10 may lead 11 with 2,6,7,8 handy? CORDILLA resumes and has jumped out well. She has a touch of quality and was luckless fresh last prep when arguably should have beaten Group-competitive horses. THE BILLIONAIRE did a good job at Wangaratta at his first go beyond 1100m and ran useful time. GOLD SPARK won well Bendigo when 6-weeks off, with 61kg! VICI gets back to The Valley and is a winning hope.
Selections: 5. Cordilla (Best of the Day), 10. The Billionaire, 7. Gold Spark, 6. Vici
Race 1 – 1 Fanciful Toff (4.60) (win) – BEST BET
Race 5: Cherry Tortoni (1.90) (win)
Race 7 – 10 Real Sensation (4.60) (win) – NEXT BEST
Race 8: Probabeel (4.20) (Win)
Rosehill
Race 7:
1 – Krone (17.00), 2 – Forbidden Love (6.00), 3 – Vangelic (12.00)
Race 3: 6. Hilal
Race 5: 5. California Zimbol
Race 7:
Best bet: Forbidden Love
EXOTIC: Box Exacta: 5,9,11,14,18
TOP 5:
1. Forbidden Love
2. Subpoenaed
3. All Saints’ Eve
4. Chaillot
5. Vangelic
Quaddie: 2,3,5/5,9,11,14,18/3,10,11/1,5,6,10,12,14
Race 1:
GREAT HOUSE (4) Winner two runs back at this venue but bit of extra work to do with more weight today. Always seems to find the line well. Take holding out. TOSCANINI (7) Fought on well to win last start at Randwick but up in grade. Should just about get the run of the race. Expected to fight out the finish. WELSH LEGEND (6) Nice run finishing 2nd last start at Canterbury and having third run back from a break. Drawn to sit just in behind the speed. Warrants a bet. KISS THE BRIDE (1) Honest race when 3rd three runs back at Randwick but hoping that the added weight won’t hurt. Not the worst in this field.
Race 2:
MALLORY (3) Handy enough when winning two runs back at the track and always seems to find the line well. Rates a winning chance. ARCADED (2) Did enough to win two runs back at Caulfield and should race just behind the speed. Going well this preparation. Big chance. ROBODIRA (4) Having second run back from a spell. Showed promise when winning two runs back at this venue and back in an easier grade. Should take beating. JAMAEA (5) Brave effort to win three runs back at Kembla Grange and goes down in class. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Quite a few boxes are ticked and looks value at generous odds.
Race 3:
INGRATIATING (2) Fought on gamely when winning two runs back at Flemington and going down in grade. Likely to get a nice run behind the speed. Looks a strong bet for punters. HILAL (6) Won narrowly two runs back at Randwick. Drawn to sit just in behind the speed. Winning hope. SHAQUERO (1) Did a good job when winning two runs back at Gold Coast and will try to take advantage of the alley. Should jump out and bowl along. Good prospect for the exotics at least. CAPTIVANT (4) Solid effort when winning three runs back at Randwick and gets a nice run behind the speed. Has each way claims.
Race 4:
COLETTE (4) Won two runs back at Randwick and third up from a spell. Should land a nice spot just off the speed. Clear favourite with an abundance of ability against these. THE CHOSEN ONE (3) Second up from a break. Came in 2nd last run at Te Rapa and dropping weight today. Should go close. SPIRIT RIDGE (6) Fresh today after a break. Solid effort when winning last time at Randwick but facing a stronger class. Worth a ticket. TOFFEE TONGUE (5) Rocketed home into 3rd three runs back at Flemington and third up from a break. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Each way appeal.
Race 5:
WANDABAA (9) Proven record when resuming with 3 wins from 3 starts. Ran on strongly when 2nd two runs back at Randwick and displays very good closing speed. Go close. CALIFORNIA ZIMBOL (5) Strong record when resuming with 2 wins from 4 attempts. Fought on gamely when winning two runs back at Caulfield and goes down in weight. Go close. ORDER OF COMMAND (2) Back after spell. Flew home into 2nd last start at Sandown and goes down in class. Contender. PRIME CANDIDATE (4) Got the upper hand late when winning three runs back at this venue and should jump out and bowl along. Keep in mind.
Race 6:
IMPECUNIOUS (9) Solid effort when winning two runs back at Caulfield and second up from a break. Likely to get a nice run behind the speed. Ticks plenty of boxes and looks like value. HUNGRY HEART (6) Out of character when 8th at Randwick. Should bounce back and possesses good finishing speed. Can’t knock. ELIZABEEL (7) Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd last run at Randwick and gets a nice run behind the speed. Among better hopes. POLAND (1) Second up. Was first to greet the judge when winning last start at Caulfield and can save some energy from the draw. Include.
Race 7:
FORBIDDEN LOVE (9) Won by a huge margin last start at Randwick. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Tracking very well this preparation. Deserves consideration. CHAILLOT (14) Having second run back from a break. Was fighting out the finish when winning last run at Flemington and shows good finishing speed. Betting may be best guide to the chances and each way is the likely play. ICEBATH (6) Third up. Came in 3rd last run at Randwick. Market watch advised and can run into the money. SUBPOENAED (5) Having second run back from a break. Landed the spoils when winning last run here. Chance in this field so include in exotics.
Race 8:
CRIADERAS (11) Having second run back from a spell. Hit the line well when 2nd last time at Randwick and can save some energy from the gate. Bold performance expected. BUFFALO RIVER (7) Improved result placing 3rd last run at Flemington and expecting to settle positively. Top prospects against this opposition. ROCK (6) Good run when finishing 3rd two runs back at Flemington and displays good finishing speed. Has each way claims. GREYWORM (3) Proven record when third up with 2 wins from 4 starts. Sent around at $6.5 and ran 5th last time at Randwick. Very strong each way claims.
Race 9:
STARSPANGLED RODEO (6) Won with a leg in the air last start at the track and goes down in weight. Should land a nice spot just off the speed. Open to improvement and is a strong chance again. YAO DASH (1) Solid effort when winning three runs back at Gold Coast but carrying more weight than last time. One of the main dangers. BOUND TO WIN (14) Races well second up winning 2 from 3 attempts. Finished strongly when 2nd last run at Randwick and can save some energy from the gate. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Ticks plenty of boxes and looks like value. ZAKAT (12) Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd two runs back at Flemington and displays good tactical speed. Right in the thick of it and is a major player
Race 1: Great House
Race 2: Mallory
Race 3: Ingratiating
Race 4: Quinella with Colette and Mustajeer
Race 5: Wandabaa
Race 6: Embolism
Race 7: Chaillot
Race 8: Criaderas
Race 9: Bound To Win
Sportsbet – Race Comments and Selections:
Race 1:
Rosehill reported in as Good 4 on Wednesday morning but there is a strong likelihood of rain on Thursday (perhaps b/t 20-40mm) and there could be a little more on Thursday/Friday as well, so we should expect something in the Soft range I think. Rail true. The opener is the lesser race of the day but still a BM78 of some interest. Pace from 7 and 11 primarily. 10 and 14 are dual acceptors. GREAT HOUSE is up 5 kilos but drops to a significantly easier race and can hopefully pozzie closer than he was forced to last start from an outside barrier. Proven to Soft 7 and still on the up. TOSCANINI a clear danger.
Selections: 4. Great House (Top Tip), 7. Toscanini, 12. Mars, 6. Welsh Legend
Race 2:
Golly, where’s our speed?? Maybe ROBODIRA can be forward? LATINO BLEND closer up from today’s draw?? MALLORY and ROBODIRA through the Sweet Embrace and it’s probably the right form. MALLORY a winner on Soft 7 which could be a positive. QUEEN OF WIZARDRY trialled OK in a leader dominated hitout recently. Both runs say she has some quality if she handles the going and same applies to ARCADED. Barrier 1 against in the Blue Diamond and it’s all pretty easy to forgive that 9L beaten margin.
Selections: 3. Mallory (Top Tip), 4. Robodira, 1. Queen Of Wizardry, 2. Arcaded
Race 3:
Pace from 10, 9, 14 and 11. Pending conditions, INGRATIATING will have a think about whether he wants to scoot around here or not but undeniably – after stablemate Anamoe’s performance last week – there should be great respect for the formline he brings. HILAL looked to beat CAPTIVANT fair and square although the later has a change of headgear which could affect the way he settles. SHAQUERO looked plain from that race and may need it drier.
Selections: 2. Ingratiating (Top Tip), 6. Hilal, 4. Captivant, 7. Head Of State
Race 4:
2 and 8 the dual acceptors here and and absence of a clear-cut leader. It probably falls to a resuming SPIRIT RIDGE. He has been handy in two trials. COLETTE will cross handy and is likely to jump out a very short favourite here, for good reason. Has come back vying with Verry Elleegant in both runs and on the wetter ground she in fact had a clear edge 1st-up. She won’t mind if the rain falls hard later in the week. Without looking at this forensically just yet I have her in my head as no longer than a $1.20 chance here. On Heavy that quote would be generous. SPIRIT RIDGE handy but not seen worse than S5 out here.
Selections: 4. Colette (Top Tip), 6. Spirit Ridge, 3. The Chosen One, 7. Mustajeer
Race 5:
Pace a little tricky here but expect 6 and 4 prominent with 3, 2 and 1 taking trails. WANDABAA went from BM70 a the start of last prep to starting $3.70 vs Savatiano at the end of it. She may get a fair way back here – and this is Rosehill 1100m – but she is unbeaten fresh and into this off two winning trials (the latest over Mugatoo). CALIFORNIA ZIMBOL looks another ‘sit off and pounce’ sort of mare, well suited here on anything down to Soft 7. Query worse than that.
Selections: 9. Wandabaa (Top Tip), 5. California Zimbol, 2. Order Of Command, 4. Prime Candidate
Race 6:
Waiting on final scratchings for this one. 13 an early scratching and 7, 8, 10, 11 and 12 were all booked for Friday’s Kembla Grange Classic (same money, fillies only, 1600m). 5 was in a Benchmark race there as well so expect we’ll be losing at least a few. If all here then speed from 5 ahead of 11, 1 and 7. POLAND can settle in for a cute trail just off the speed, or – depending on who’s left – might have to take it up. Either way his return win was a credit to him and the runner-up dropped back to 1200m and ran a G1 bottler last week. EMBOLISM suited 3rd-up, just needs that tempo to set him up.
Selections: 1. Poland (Top Tip), 2. Embolism, 7. Elizabeel, 9. Impecunious
Race 7:
Always a great race. 3 fillies versus 15 mares in this year’s edition. 8 might want to cross right over the top and lead again. 2, 18 and 9 certain to be handy. FORBIDDEN LOVE snuck under a few guards last start but she trounced that bunch of fillies and looks set to get a similar sort of friendly time in this. Wouldn’t be chasing her in too short though because – typically – it is a race of several genuine chances. VANGELIC was thrashed but does meet her 4.5 kilos better off. ICEBATH has returned well but found a few better. She would be a standout top pick if conditions got very wet but we will wait and see about that. TRICKY GAL and KRONE two that beat her home last time.
Selections: 9. Forbidden Love (Top Tip), 6. Icebath, 12. Tricky Gal, 3. Krone
Race 8:
7 and 3 the clear-cut leaders here and BUFFALO RIVER doesn’t tend to loaf. I thought he was grand in defeat last start and if he doesn’t overdo it out front he can be very hard to run down. But…..here I go again with CRIADERAS. Convinced he is a high level winner of the future, how frustrating to see him a clear last on the bend last time. Drawn the rail here – on the face of things not a positive gate for him – and I would just like to see him settle with a couple behind him. Powerful at the finish we know he will be and pattern pf the day can be crucial too. I feel pretty much locked in to him though.
Selections: 11. Criaderas (Best of the Day), 7. Buffalo River, 6. Rock, 3. Greyworm
Race 9:
Nice big field in the last, a BM88 over the 1350m. Look for 5 and 1 to cross up front. Thoughts here are for Soft 7 or better. A genuine Heavy track and I would throw my hands up in confusion. HOLYFIELD should return well at 1350m. Forget first-up last time around on a H10. Won his latest trial well. TWO BIG FARI draws further out than might be ideal but does have some fresh form and could be underrated in this line-up. YAO DASH should continue on with his sound recent output. MY GOLD BRACELET worth thought, out of left field. BOUND TO WIN in the mix. BULLFINCH trialled OK. Market?? Best trip??
Selections: 5. Holyfield (Value Bet), 4. Two Big Fari, 1. Yao Dash, 10. My Gold Bracelet