The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Round 4 of the 2022 AFL season.
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Port Adelaide vs. Melbourne |
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Port Adelaide have made a 0-3 start to the campaign and last week they managed to lose to the unfancied Crows. Melbourne have won ten consecutive games spanning this season and the last. The Demons won this fixture last year and they have gone 9-1 away from home over the last 12 months. Seven of Melbourne’s nine away wins over the last 12 months were by 1-39 points and in their last seventeen games against Port Adelaide, Melbourne only prevailed by 40+ points once. I would back Melbourne in the head-to-head at 1.38 (bet365, BlueBet, Picklebet). Those looking for more risk should back Melbourne 1-39 at 2.10 (Picklebet).
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Geelong vs. Brisbane |
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Geelong have gone 9-2 at home over the last 12 months and in the data set I have at hand, they have gone 8-0 at home against Brisbane. This fixture is being played at GMHBA Stadium, which Geelong have an 86% win record at since 2018. Brisbane have gone 0-2 as the away underdog over the last 12 months. I would back Geelong in the head-to-head at 1.83 (Sportsbet). Brisbane haven’t suffered an away defeat by more than 39 points over the last 12 months so those looking for more risk should consider Geelong 1-39 at 2.37 (Sportsbet).
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Collingwood vs. West Coast |
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Collingwood have won 10 of their last 13 at home against West Coast and the injury-hit visitors have lost seven consecutive games spanning this season and the last. I would back Collingwood in the head-to-head at 1.36 (bet365).
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Gold Coast vs. Carlton |
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Carlton have made a 3-0 start to the season and they have won 4 of their last 5 trips to the Gold Coast when installed as the favourite. Gold Coast have lost four consecutive home games spanning this season and the last and over the last 12 months they have gone 2-6 as the home underdog. I would back Carlton in the head-to-head at 1.58 (bet365). Carlton haven’t won a game by more than 39 points over the last 12 months so those looking for more risk should consider Carlton 1-39 at 2.10 (bet365).