The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Round 11 of the 2022 AFL season.
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At the time of writing the biggest Draftstars contest for this round is a $75,000 competition for Collingwood vs. the Western Bulldogs. Entry costs $15 and the top 25% of participants will receive a payout.
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Brisbane vs. GWS |
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Brisbane will have an extra edge to them this week after they fell to Hawthorn in Tasmania last round. They have a better win record on the back of a defeat compared to on the back of a win over the last 12 months, which is bad news for GWS. Brisbane have gone 9-2 at home over the last 12 months and GWS have lost seven of their ten games this season. Brisbane have a poor 1-6 home line record against GWS in recent years so I will stay clear of the -33.5 line and instead back Brisbane in the head-to-head at 1.16 (BlueBet. Those looking for more risk should consider Brisbane 1-39 at 2.15 (bet365, Unibet).
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Geelong vs. Adelaide |
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The venue is important for this tip. Adelaide haven’t won at The Cattery since 2003. Geelong have gone 7-2 as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Adelaide have gone 2-8 away from home. The Crows have failed to cover the line in their last 5 away games against Geelong. I would back Geelong in the head-to-head at 1.08 (bet365, Unibet). Only 1 of Geelong’s last 8 home wins over Adelaide were by 40+ points and only 2 of the Cats’ 8 home wins over the last twelve months were by more than 40 points, so those looking for more risk should consider Geelong 1-39 at 2.50 (bet365).
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Melbourne vs. Fremantle |
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Melbourne have won 17 games in a row spanning this season and the last. They have also won 5 of the last 7 games as the home favourite against Fremantle. Fremantle have had a good season thus far but they have stumbled in recent weeks and bring a two-game losing streak into this clash. They were beaten by 36 points at home by Collingwood last week, which isn’t ideal form for facing the Demons. I would back Melbourne in the head-to-head at 1.18 (Picklebet).
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West Coast vs. Western Bulldogs |
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West Coast have lost six straight as well as six straight at home. The Western Bulldogs have won three on the trot against West Coast and they have enjoyed a revival in form over the last few weeks. I would back the Western Bulldogs in the head-to-head at 1.09 (BlueBet).
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St Kilda vs. North Melbourne |
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North Melbourne have lost eight on the trot and the margins of victory have been enormous. St Kilda have won 7 of their last 9 and should be far too strong for the Kangaroos this weekend. I would back St Kilda in the head-to-head at 1.06 (bet365). Over the last twelve months 4 of St Kilda’s 5 home wins were by 25+ while 6 of North Melbourne’s 8 away defeats were by 25+, so those looking for more risk should consider St Kilda 25+ at 1.28 (bet365).
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Port Adelaide vs. Essendon |
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Port Adelaide have won five of their last six games, while Essendon have lost six in a row away from home. The Bombers failed to cover the line in all six of those defeats. I would back Port Adelaide in the head-to-head at 1.14 (Picklebet). Five of Port Adelaide’s seven home wins over the last 12 months were by 25+ points, while all seven of Essendon’s away defeats were by 25+, so those looking for more risk should consider Port Adelaide 25+ at 1.57 (bet365).