AFL Round 22 Betting Tips

The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Round 22 of the 2022 AFL season.

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At the time of writing the biggest Draftstars contest for this round is a $70,000 competition for St Kilda v Brisbane on Friday night. Entry costs $15 and the top 25% of participants will receive a payout.

 

Western Bulldogs v GWS

 

The Western Bulldogs have won three in a row at home against GWS and they have gone 5-1 in their last six home fixtures against the Giants. GWS have gone 2-8 as the away underdog over the last twelve months. They did beat Essendon at home last week but over the last twelve months the Giants have gone 2-6 both in the head-to-head and the line on the back of a win. GWS have also lost four consecutive away games and they have yet to beat a team ranked higher than 13th this season. I would back the Western Bulldogs in the head-to-head at 1.17 (Unibet).

Adelaide vs. North Melbourne

 

North Melbourne have lost 11 straight away games and they have lost their last seven away fixtures against Adelaide. North Melbourne also have a miserable 2-9 record at the line away from home over the last twelve months. Adelaide bring a two-game winning streak into this clash and they have covered the line in their last four fixtures. I would back Adelaide in the head-to-head at 1.16 (PlayUp).

Gold Coast vs. Geelong

 

Gold Coast have lost five in a row to Geelong. Going back further, the Suns have lost 11 of their last games 13 against the Cats. Geelong have won 11 games in a row coming into this clash and they have gone 5-2 as the away favourite over the last twelve months. Gold Coast bring 2-5 form into this clash and their finals hopes ended with a defeat to Hawthorn last week. I would back Geelong in the head-to-head at 1.33 (PlayUp).

Melbourne vs. Carlton

 

Bookmakers have a good track record of predicting this fixture. Since 2013 Melbourne have gone 6-2 as the favourite against Carlton and 1-6 as the underdog. Melbourne have won six in a row against Carlton and the Demons have gone 19-6 as the favourite over the last twelve months. Carlton have gone 2-4 as the underdog over the last twelve games and they limp into this fixture having lost three of their last four games. I would back Melbourne in the head-to-head at 1.32 (PlayUp).

Richmond vs. Hawthorn

 

This is another fixture that bookmakers have a good track record of predicting. Since 2013 Richmond have gone 6-1 as the favourite against Hawthorn and 1-1-5 as the home underdog. Richmond have gone 6-1-0 as the home favourite over the last twelve months and they boast an incredible 9-2 home line record over the same period. Hawthorn have gone 1-7 as the away underdog over the last twelve months and they have failed to cover the line in 5 of the last 7 games against Richmond as the underdog. All 10 of Richmond’s 11 wins over the last twelve months were by 1-39 points and 6 of Hawthorn’s 8 away defeats were by the same margin. Five of Richmond’s last seven wins over Hawthorn were by 1-39 points. I would back Richmond 1-39 at 2.20 (PlayUp).

 

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