The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 14 of the 2022/23 English Premier League.
Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com.
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Leicester City vs. Man City
Under 2.5 goals at 3.00 (bet365)
Under 3.5 goals at 1.86 (bet365)
Man City will be backing up after playing midweek in Germany and they are taking on a Leicester City side that has kept three consecutive clean sheets. Nine of Man City’s 19 away games over the last twelve months went under 2.5 goals and their last three visits to Leicester saw total goal tallies of 1, 2 and 1. Looking back further, six of the last eight games between the two played in Leicester went under 2.5 goals and seven of the last eight went under 3.5 goals. Over the last twelve months only 7 of Leicester City’s 21 home games went over 3.5 goals and only 7 of Man City’s away 19 games went over 3.5 goals.
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa
Newcastle in the head-to-head at 1.88 (Moneyball)
Newcastle +0.5 at 1.23 (bet365)
Aston Villa enjoyed a nice bounce under interim manager Aaron Danks but it has to be said that Brentford were really poor. Aston Villa have appointed Unai Emery as the new manager, but he will not have completed his work permit formalities in time for this fixture. Newcastle have gone 11-5-0 as the favourite over the last twelve months and they boast an unbeaten 5-4-0 home record in their last nine Premier League meetings against Aston villa. Newcastle bring 4-1-0 form into this clash while Aston Villa have gone 1-2-2.
Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 (bet365)
The last eleven games between Newcastle and Aston Villa went under 2.5 goals. The same can be said for the last seven meetings between the two at St. James’ Park. Over the last twelve months 13 of Newcastle’s 21 home fixtures went under 2.5 goals.
Brighton vs. Chelsea
Chelsea +0.5 at 1.45 (bet365)
Brighton have a winless 0-4-6 record against Chelsea since promotion and they have a winless 0-2-3 record under new manager Roberto de Zerbi. Chelsea are unbeaten in eight games in all competitions under ex-Brighton manager Graham Potter.
Fulham vs. Everton
Fulham in the head-to-head at 2.36 (Moneyball)
Fulham are worth backing at any odds over 2.00. The Cottagers have gone 3-2-1 at home this season and 1-1-0 as the home favourite. Fulham bring a two-game winning streak into this clash and they have scored at least two goals in each of their last three games. Everton, meanwhile, have gone 2-4-15 away from home over the last twelve months.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.88 (bet365)
Fulham have been scoring freely, but so have their opponents. The Cottagers have scored in each of their last ten games but they only kept one clean sheet during that run. Fulham’s last ten games all went over 2.5 goals and all six home games this season have gone over 2.5.
Liverpool vs. Leeds
Liverpool in the head-to-head at 1.35 (Moneyball)
While Liverpool have had a poor start to their season, the majority of their woes have been away from home. The Reds have gone 17-4-0 at home over the last twelve months and 5-2-0 at home this season. Leeds limp into this fixture on a four-game losing streak. They have also lost their last four away games and the Whites have conceded 10 goals in their two visits to Anfield since promotion.
Man Utd vs. West Ham
Man Utd in the head-to-head at 1.70 (Moneyball)
Man Utd bring 6-2-1 form into this clash and they have gone 8-3-0 at home against West Ham over the previous eleven seasons. West Ham have lost their last four straight games against Manchester United and the Hammers have gone 1-0-9 as the away underdog over the last twelve months.