The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 15 of the 2022/23 English Premier League.
Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com.
Compare EPL bookmaker odds
View bookmaker football promotions (excl. NSW & WA)
View the EPL form guide
Man City vs. Fulham
Over 2.5 goals at 1.29 (bet365)
Man City’s last thirteen home games went over 2.5 goals while Fulham’s last five away games went over 2.5. City have an average total match goals tally of 4.0 this season while Fulham have averaged 3.4 total goals this campaign. Man City and Fulham are ranked first and third in the league, respectively, for that statistic.
Everton vs. Leicester City
Everton +0.5 at 1.40 (BoomBet)
This is primarily a bet against Leicester City. The Foxes have gone 1-0-5 away from home this season and over the last twelve months they have gone 1-5-11 as the away underdog. Leicester City have conceded 1.9 goals per game this season, compared to 0.9 for Everton. The Toffees have Dominic Calvert-Lewin back to full fitness now and while their away form remains poor, they thrashed Crystal Palace 3-0 in their previous home game, with Calvert-Lewin amongst the scorers.
West Ham vs. Crystal Palace
West Ham in the head-to-head at 1.94 (Moneyball)
West Ham +0.5 at 1.25 (bet365)
After a slow start to the season West Ham have won three consecutive home games – all by two-goal margins. Crystal Palace have gone 0-3-2 away from home this season and they have a 2-5-8 record as the away underdog over the last twelve months. While they are going well at home, Crystal Palace have failed to score in their last three away games and they were thrashed 3-0 by Everton in their latest away fixture.
Aston Villa vs. Man Utd
Man Utd in the head-to-head at 2.02 (Moneyball)
Man Utd +0.5 at 1.30 (bet365)
This will be Unai Emery’s first game in charge of Aston Villa. New teams usually get a lift under a new manager but this is a side that lost 0-4 to Newcastle last week. Aston Villa have gone 0-1-6 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. They have also gone 0-2-6 in their last eight games as the home underdog against Manchester United. United enter this clash having lost only one of their last ten league fixtures. The Red Devils have won five consecutive games against sides ranked 9th or below on the table. Aston Villa have gone 0-1-4 this season against sides ranked 7th or higher and three of those defeats were to nil and by 2+ goal margins.
Southampton vs. Newcastle
Newcastle in the head-to-head at 1.94 (Moneyball)
Newcastle +0.5 at 1.27 (BoomBet)
Southampton bring 1-2-5 form into this clash while Newcastle are in 5-1-0 form. Newcastle won this fixture last season, which was their fifth win over Southampton in their last seven meetings. Newcastle have scored six goals across their last two fixtures. They have also scored 4+ goals in three of their last six fixtures. Southampton have conceded the first goal in nine out of their thirteen league fixtures this season. It will be difficult to play catch up against Newcastle’s free-scoring offence.