The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 16 of the 2022/23 English Premier League.
Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com.
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Man City vs. Brentford
Over 2.5 goals at 1.33 (bet365, BoomBet)
Over 3.5 goals at 1.94 (Moneyball)
Man City’s last 14 EPL home games all went over 2.5 goals and 14 of their 21 home fixtures over the last twelve months went over 3.5 goals. It has been a similar story for Brentford, with 16 of their 21 away fixtures over the last twelve months going over 2.5 goals and 11 going over 3.5 goals. The Bees have only kept one clean sheet in their last 23 away games and they conceded a total of 11 goals across their last 3 away fixtures. Man City and Brentford have averaged 3.9 and 3.2 total match goals per game, respectively, this season. Man City have won eleven consecutive home games and Brentford are winless away from home this season, so a same-game multi option is Man City to win paired with either over 2.5 goals or over 3.5 goals. While many key players will be keeping one eye on staying fit with the World Cup around the corner, Norwegian City striker Erling Haaland won’t be involved in that tournament so he can give this game his all.
West Ham vs. Leicester City
Leicester City +0.5 at 1.86 (bet365, Moneyball)
Leicester City in the head-to-head at 3.95 (Moneyball)
David Moyes will be under pressure to get a result here following West Ham’s poor home performance against Crystal Palace last week. The Hammers have lost three of their last four which has seen the mood turn sour in East London. Leicester City, on the other hand, have turned their fortunes around to win three of their last four. The Foxes have finally sorted out their defence and have conceded just one goal in their last five fixtures, and that goal was away to Man City. Leicester City won their previous two away fixtures by a combined six goals to nil.
Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace +0.5 at 1.39 (BoomBet)
Nottingham Forest will be desperate to get something out of this game but their open, attacking play will suit Crystal Palace. We’ve already seen Brentford, Fulham and Bournemouth score 2+ goals at this venue and Palace are more than capable of doing the same. The Eagles have won three of their last four, including an away victory at West Ham last week, so they bring strong form into this fixture. Forest, meanwhile, have only won one of their last twelve games. I am wary of the draw as a result because of Palace’s 1-3-0 record as the away favourite over the last twelve months, so I have opted for the Asian Handicap (double chance) market instead of the head-to-head.
Newcastle vs. Chelsea
Newcastle +0.5 at 1.38 (bet365)
Newcastle in the head-to-head at 2.34 (Moneyball)
Newcastle bring 6-1-0 form into this clash and they scored 4+ goals in four of those seven games. The Magpies have only lost one game this season and that was by a one-goal margin at Anfield. Chelsea limp into this fixture on the back of a 1-4 away defeat to Brighton and a 0-1 home loss to Arsenal. Chelsea have gone 0-0-2 as the underdog over the last twelve months while Newcastle have gone 13-5-0 as the favourite.
Wolves vs. Arsenal
Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.56 (Moneyball)
Wolverhampton bring 1-1-6 form into this clash and new manager Julen Lopetegui won’t take charge until after this fixture. Wolves are struggling for personnel up front at the moment. Sasa Kalajdzic is out for the season with a ruptured ACL, Diego Costa is suspended and the injured Jiménez won’t feature for Wolverhampton ahead of the World Cup. Arsenal, meanwhile, have made an 11-1-1 start to the season, going 5-1-1 away from home. In contrast, Wolves have the second worst home record (2-2-3) in the league. Arsenal have gone 11-1-4 as the away favourite over the last twelve months while Wolves have gone 2-1-5 as the home underdog. Arsenal completed the double over Wolverhampton last season.