The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 28 of the 2022/23 English Premier League. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
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Brighton vs. Crystal Palace
Note: this fixture is part of Gameweek 27 for fantasy football purposes.
Under 2.5 goals at 1.90 (Colossalbet)
Crystal Palace have failed to achieve a shot on target for three consecutive games, but at the same time they have been solid defensively. Palace’s lack of goals and decent defence has resulted in a string of low scoring games. Eight of their last nine games have gone under 2.5 goals and each of their last three games went under 1.5 goals. Brighton and Crystal Palace are huge rivals, which has resulted in tight games. Six of the last seven meetings between the two went under 2.5 goals.
Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle
Draw at 3.75 (Dabble)
This is a value bet. Nottingham Forest haven’t lost a home game since September and have gone 4-5-0 at City Ground since then. Newcastle have only lost one away fixture since August. Their only two away defeats this season were to Liverpool and Man City. Nottingham Forest have gone 4-4-2 as the home underdog this season and their last two home fixtures, including one against Man City, resulted in draws. Five of Newcastle’s last nine games and three of their last four away fixtures resulted in draws. If you had wagered $1 on the draw in each of Nottingham Forest’s home games this season you would be up $6.30 in profit and if you had wagered $1 on the draw for each of Newcastle’s away games over the the last twelve months you would be up $5.50 in profit.
Chelsea vs. Everton
Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 (Colossalbet)
Chelsea’s last eight home games all went under 2.5 goals. Goals have been at a premium at Stamford Bridge all season, with Chelsea scoring just 14 in 12 games, whilst conceding 8. Six of Everton’s last eight games went under 2.5 goals and their last five games against Chelsea went under this total.
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace
Note: Crystal Palace haven’t yet played their midweek fixture against Brighton at the time of writing.
Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.30 (bet365)
Both teams have big midweek fixtures and this will play into Arsenal’s hands due to their superior squad depth. The Gunners have won five in a row in the league and they scored 3+ goals in four of those fixtures. Arsenal have gone 13-2-1 as the home favourite over the last 12 months. Crystal Palace are entering the tail end of a brutal run of twelve fixtures against sides in the top eleven of the table. The Eagles have gone into damage-limitation mode during this run, which has seen their goals dry up. They have yet to play their midweek fixture against arch-rivals Brighton, but prior to that game the Eagles went three games without managing a shot on target, yet alone scoring. Arsenal have had plenty of home struggles against Palace in recent years but their contrasting form coming into this clash is impossible to ignore.