The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 38 of the 2022/23 English Premier League. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Man Utd vs. Chelsea
Note: this fixture forms part of Gameweek 37 for fantasy football purposes
Man Utd in the head-to-head at 1.62 (Dabble)
This season can’t end soon enough for Chelsea, who bring 1-2-6 form into this fixture. They have drawn five in a row against Manchester United, but the Blues are in the worst form we’ve seen for many years. Chelsea have gone 0-1-6 as the underdog over the last twelve months. Man Utd need another point to guarantee Champions League football for next season and they will be keen to secure that spot midweek rather than give Liverpool a glimpse of hope on the final day. United have been strong at home, where they have gone 13-3-1 this campaign. Man Utd have won four consecutive home games coming into this fixture.
Everton vs. Bournemouth
Everton in the head-to-head at 1.50 (Unibet)
This is primarily a situational play, rather than one based purely on longer-term statistics. Bournemouth enjoyed an excellent run of four wins from five games to secure their Premier League status for next season, but they have appeared to have downed tools since then. The Cherries have lost three in a row and they failed to score in their last two games. Everton have lost three in a row at home but they will be by far the more desperate side on Sunday. Everton have won four of their last five home games against the Cherries. I expect them to get the win against a Bournemouth side who will have one eye on their summer holiday.
Arsenal vs. Wolves
Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.38 (Dabble)
Arsenal have lost consecutive games for the first time all season, so I’m expecting a strong reaction as they strive to win in front of their fans to avoid ending the season on a sour note. Wolverhampton, meanwhile, have already secured their top flight status for another year, driven primarily by their strong home form. They bring a three-game losing streak away from home into this clash and they have lost three consecutive games against the Gunners. Arsenal have gone 13-3-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months, while Wolverhampton have gone 1-3-11 as the away underdog.
Aston Villa vs. Brighton
Aston Villa in the head-to-head at 2.25 (Dabble)
Aston Villa Draw No Bet at 1.70 (Dabble)
Aston Villa have won six consecutive home games and they have gone 9-1-2 as the home favourite over the last twelve months. They have more to play for than Brighton due to the fact that they have Tottenham breathing down their necks in the fight for 7th spot, which would give them a Europa Conference League spot next season. Due to a vastly superior goal difference, Brighton can’t realistically slip to 7th and they can’t reach Liverpool in 5th position, either. Brighton have lost three consecutive games to Aston Villa.
Southampton vs. Liverpool
Liverpool in the head-to-head at 1.40 (bet365)
This is primarily a bet against Southampton, for whom this season can’t end quickly enough. They have the league-worst 2-4-12 home record and, despite having a relegation battle to play for, the Saints went 0-1-8 in their last nine fixtures. Looking back a bit further, Southampton are winless in their last twelve games. Liverpool, meanwhile, bring 7-1-0 form into this clash, with their sole draw coming against the in-form Aston Villa. Liverpool have won three consecutive away games as well as four consecutive games against Southampton. Looking back further, Liverpool have won ten of their last eleven fixtures against Southampton.
Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace in the head-to-head at 1.74 (Unibet)
Crystal Palace have gone 5-2-2 under Roy Hodgson, which is the 7th best record in the league since he took over. The Eagles have gone 3-1-0 at home under Hodgson and they have gone 7-2-1 as the home favourite this season. Nottingham Forest have little to play for now that they have secured their Premier League status for another campaign. Forest have the league-worst 1-4-13 away record this season.