AFL Round 9 Betting Tips

The following are betting tips for selected games in Round 9 of the 2024 AFL season.

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At the time of writing the biggest Draftstars contest for this round is the $60,000 competition for the Thursday night clash between Carlton and Melbourne. Entry costs $15 and the top 25% of participants will receive a payout.



Carlton vs. Melbourne



My lean is towards Melbourne in the head-to-head 1.86 (Betfair). Melbourne have gone 15-5 in the head-to-head and 12-8 at the line at the MCG since 2023, while Carlton have gone 7-1-5 in the head-to-head and 6-7 at the line at this venue. The Demons bring 6-1 form into this game, while the Blues have lost three of their last four.

I also like under 165.5 at 1.90 (Bet Right). Since 2023, Melbourne’s average total at the MCG is 157.8. This has seen 13 of their 20 games go under the bookmaker’s total. Similarly, Carlton’s average total at this venue over the same period is 150.9. This has seen 9 of their 13 games at the MCG go under the total. Since 2021, the average total score for Carlton v Melbourne games was 136. None of those five meetings went over 165.5.



Geelong vs. Port Adelaide

Port Adelaide


I would back Geelong in the head-to-head at 1.31 (Betfair). Geelong are 7-1 for the season and they have won ten consecutive home games against Port Adelaide. The Power have gone 0-4 as the away underdog over the last twelve months. Five of their six way defeats over the last twelve months were by 25+ margins and four were by 40+ margins.


Gold Coast

Gold Coast vs. North Melbourne

North Melbourne


The Gold Coast Suns have gone 6-0 as the home favourite over the last twelve months and they covered the line in five of those six wins. The Suns have won four on the trot at home against the Kangaroos. Gold Coast boasts a 5-0 head-to-head and 5-0 line record as the home favourite against North Melbourne. The Kangaroos have lost 11 consecutive away games and they failed to cover the line in their last three away fixtures. Seven of Gold Coast’s nine home wins over the last twelve months were by 25+ margins, while eight of North Melbourne’s eleven away defeats were by 25+. I would back Gold Coast in the head-to-head at 1.11 (Betfair). Those looking for more risk should consider Gold Coast 25+ at 1.33 (Dabble).


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