AFL Round 10 Betting Tips

The following are betting tips for selected games in Round 10 of the 2024 AFL season.

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At the time of writing the biggest Draftstars contest for this round is the $60,000 competition for the Thursday night clash between Gold Coast and Geelong. Entry costs $15 and the top 25% of participants will receive a payout.



Sydney vs. Carlton



Sydney have gone 7-2 as the home favourite over the last twelve months and they have won 8 of the last 9 at the SCG against Carlton. The Swans have won five in a row as well as four in a row at the SCG. Six of Sydney’s eight home wins over the last twelve months were by 1-39 margins and Carlton have not suffered a 40+ defeat over the same period. The last eight meetings between Sydney and Carlton were all settled by 30 points or less. I would back Sydney 1-39 at 2.10 (Unibet).



Collingwood vs. Adelaide



Adelaide have lost eight in a row at the MCG. Collingwood have gone 10-2 as the home favourite over the last twelve months and they have won eight in a row, both home and away, against the Crows. Adelaide have a 1-5 record as the away underdog against Collingwood over the last decade and they have gone 1-6 as the away underdog over the last twelve months. With that all being said, this game should be competitive. Only one of Adelaide’s thirteen defeats over the last twelve months was by a 40+ margin. I would back Collingwood 1-39 at 2.08 (Dabble).



Brisbane vs. Richmond



Brisbane should be too strong at home against the injury-hit Tigers. Richmond are 1-8 for the season and they hit a new low with their 91-point defeat to the Western Bulldogs last week. This was on the back of their 54-point home defeat to Fremantle, 43-point defeat to Melbourne and 39-point defeat against the unfancied West Coast Eagles. Brisbane have won and covered the line in their last four home fixtures against Richmond. Richmond have lost their last six away games and they failed to cover the line in their last four fixtures. I would back Brisbane in the head-to-head at 1.09 (Betfair). Six of Richmond’s eight away defeats over the last twelve months were by 25+, so those looking for more risk should consider Brisbane 25+ at 1.32 (Dabble).


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