The following is an AFL ladder prediction plus futures betting tips for the 2025 AFL season. The minor premiership, top 4, top 8 and wooden spoon markets are discussed.
Be sure to also check out our 2025 Opening Round Betting Tips.
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2025 AFL Ladder Prediction
We conducted a survey of 43 pundit ladder predictions to help assess each team’s chances for the upcoming season. Our sources included fans, journalists and statistical model builders.
The following table ranks each team by their expectations from the surveyed pundits. The standard deviation (Stdev) column indicates how widely dispersed the predictions were. The best and worst predictions for each team are also provided.
Just like last year, Brisbane came out strongly on top, with 93% of our surveyed pundits predicting that they will finish in the top four. Fremantle are predicted to be the biggest gainers, with 100% of our pundits predicting that they will finish in the top 8 after they slumped to 10th last season. Port Adelaide are predicted to be the biggest sliders, with only 46% of pundits predicting that last season’s 2nd placed finishers will make the top 8.
West Coast had the smallest variance in predictions. Their standard deviation of 1.3 was well below the league average of 2.5. The Western Bulldogs stand out as the hardest team to predict, with a standard deviation of 4.2. An interesting observation for the Bulldogs is that the surveyed AFL fans tended to rate their chances poorly, while the statistical model builders tended to rate their chances highly.
2025 AFL Futures Betting Tips
For those who like to jump in and out of trades, the best place to wager on the futures market is Betfair, because you can lay previous selections to lock in a profit or minimise a loss. For those who prefer to bet with bookmakers, bet365 are a good option because they enable you to partially or fully cash out of previous bets.
Based on the pundit data, we recommend the following futures bets:
Minor Premiership
Brisbane to win the Minor Premiership at 6.50 (bet365)
60% of our pundits predict that Brisbane will top the ladder.
Make Top 4
Brisbane to finish in the Top 4 at 2.00 (bet365, Dabble)
Predicted by 93% of our pundits.
Fremantle to finish in the Top 4 at 3.25 (bet365)
Predicted by 44% of our pundits.
Top 8
Fremantle to finish in the Top 8 at 1.60 (bet365)
Predicted by 100% of our pundits.
Most Losses or Least Wins
While 68% of our pundits predict that Richmond will finish last, there’s more value in backing North Melbourne.
North Melbourne to have the fewest wins at 13.00 (Dabble)
21% of our pundits pick them to finish with the wooden spoon.