The following are betting tips for selected games in Round 22 of the 2025 AFL season.
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Draftstars have four $50,000 fantasy sports contests for the round: one for each day of fixtures. Entry costs $15 and the top 25% of participants will receive a payout.
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Geelong vs. Essendon |
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Geelong scored 150+ for the third time this season last week, while the season couldn’t end fast enough for the injury-hit Essendon. One of Geelong’s 150+ scores came against Essendon (151-56) in June and a similar result on Friday wouldn’t surprise anyone. Geelong have won and covered the line in their last eight games against Essendon. The Cats covered the line in their last six home fixtures against the Bombers. A big win would boost their percentage as they look to improve upon their 4th place in the standings. I would back Geelong 40+ at 1.18 (bet365, Dabble). Those looking for more risk should consider Geelong -57.5 at 1.52 (bet365) or Geelong -65.5 at 1.88 (Dabble).
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Richmond vs. St Kilda |
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St Kilda have won four in a row against Richmond and this includes their 135-53 victory in March. The Saints have shown good finishing ability to win their last two fixtures over Melbourne and North Melbourne. The Saints have gone 4-1 as the bookmaker’s favourite over the last twelve months. I would back St Kilda in the head-to-head at 1.30 (Picklebet). This game will be played at the MCG, where 9 of Richmond’s 11 games this season have gone under the total (148.5 average). I would back Under 170.5 at 1.50 (bet365). You can get a SGM of St Kilda to win & Under 170 at 2.00 (bet365).
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Brisbane vs. Sydney |
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Brisbane righted the ship with a win over Collingwood at the MCG last week, while Sydney’s insipid win over Essendon looked like that of a club who is out of finals contention. While the Lions have won five in a row over the Swans, they failed to cover the line in their last three wins. A surprising statistic is Brisbane haven’t won by 40+ at home over the last twelve months. Six of their eight wins were by 1-24 points. The Lions’ 8-4 win/loss record at the Gabba over this period is in contrast with their 4-8 line record at the venue. With so much more to play for, I expect Brisbane will win, but not by a massive margin. I would back Brisbane in the head-to-head at 1.21 (next2go). Those looking for more risk should consider Brisbane 1-39 at 2.20 (Dabble). This selection is as short as 2.05 with other bookmakers at the time of writing.
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Melbourne vs. Western Bulldogs |
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The Western Bulldogs have been excellent flat-track bullies this season. They boast a 12-0 record against sides currently ranked 8th and below. Melbourne bring 2-7 form into this game and those two wins came against North Melbourne and West Coast. The Demons have gone 5-1 as the home underdog over the last twelve months, while the Bulldogs have gone 5-1 as the away favourite. The line and winning margin data is mixed, so I will stick to the head-to-head market. I would back the Western Bulldogs in the head-to-head at 1.30 (Betfair). A high-scoring came could be on the cards. With the data I have at hand, at least the last nine games between the two, hosted by Melbourne, went over the total. With an average of 193.9 points scored, eight out of the Bulldogs’ ten away games this season went over the total. Melbourne have averaged 170.2 total points at the MCG this season and this game will be played in the afternoon on what should be a sunny day. I would back over 166.5 at 1.50 (bet365). You can get a SGM for the Western Bulldogs to win & Over 160 at 1.65 (bet365). You can also get the Western Bulldogs to win & Over 170 at 1.95 (bet365).