The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 30 of the 2025/26 English Premier League season. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com.
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Sunderland vs. Brighton |
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Sunderland +0.5 (double chance) at 1.74 (Betfair)
Sunderland suffered a form slump in the absence of Granit Xhaka, but his return from injury has coincided with them picking up 4 points from their last two games, which were both away from home. At the Stadium of Light the Black Cats have gone 7-5-2 this season, which is vastly superior to their 3-5-7 away record. Sunderland have collected 25 points at home this campaign, compared to 13 away points for Brighton. Sunderland drew Brighton at Amex Stadium in December.
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Burnley vs. Bournemouth |
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Bournemouth 0 (draw no bet) at 1.43 (Betfair)
Bournemouth +0.5 (double chance) at 1.29 (Betfair)
Burnley have gone 1-4-8 as the home underdog this season and they bring loss-heavy 1-1-4 form into this game. The Clarets have only won one of their last twenty league fixtures. Bournemouth, meanwhile, are unbeaten in ten games.
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Chelsea vs. Newcastle |
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Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.80 (bet365)
Chelsea 0 (draw no bet) at 1.44 (Betfair)
With Newcastle sitting 12th on the table, their focus now might be now more on their Champions League campaign, while Chelsea are still in the hunt for a top-four finish. Chelsea have won 11 of the last 13 as the home favourite against Newcastle in the EPL. Newcastle have gone 0-2-5 as the away underdog over the last twelve months in the Premier League.
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Man Utd vs. Aston Villa |
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Man Utd in the head-to-head at 1.75 (BetEstate)
Man Utd bring 6-1-1 form into this clash and that includes four consecutive home wins. The injury-hit Aston Villa are limping along at the moment. Their last two Premier League fixtures saw them lose 0-2 away to Wolves and 1-4 at home against Chelsea. Man Utd have gone 10-1-1 in their last twelve Premier League home games against Aston Villa. This fixture is sandwiched between Villa’s UEFA Europa League Round of 16 fixtures against LOSC, while Man Utd have no midweek commitments.
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Crystal Palace vs. Leeds |
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Draw at 3.40 (bet365)
Leeds 0 (draw no bet) at 2.33 (Betfair)
Leeds +0.5 (double chance) at 1.67 (Betfair)
The draw looks to be the most likely result, however I wouldn’t rule out a Leeds victory. This fixture is sandwiched between Crystal Palace’s Round of 16 fixtures against AEK Larnaca in the UEFA Conference League. With the Eagles virtually safe from relegation, I anticipate they will now prioritise their European campaign. Palace are the bookmaker’s favourite to win the UEFA Conference League – an accomplishment that would give them a Europa League spot next year, and who knows when they would receive a European berth again, otherwise. Leeds, in contrast, have no midweek commitments. Only three points separate The Whites from 18th, so their league results remain incredibly important. Crystal Palace have only managed three home wins this campaign (3-5-5) and one of those was over a 10-man Wolves. While Leeds don’t have strong away credentials over the course of the whole season (1-5-7), they actually bring draw-heavy (0-5-1) away form into this clash. Their only away defeat during that run was by a 4-3 score line against Newcastle – a result that was harsh on Leeds. Leeds swatted aside Palace 4-1 in their last meeting in December. Had you wagered $1 on the draw for every Crystal Palace home game over the last twelve months you would be up $9.10 in profit. Had you wagered $1 on the draw for every Leeds away game this season you would be up $8.03 in profit.
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Liverpool vs. Tottenham |
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Liverpool in the head-to-head at 1.36 (Betfair)
Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 (bet365)
SGM: Liverpool to win and over 2.5 goals at 1.75 (bet365)
Tottenham look to be an absolute shambles at the moment. They are 0-0-3 under interim manager Igor Tudor and their 1-3 home defeat to Crystal Palace was particularly alarming. Numerous players are being asked to play out of position and many players simply look like they don’t want to be there. Defence is their biggest issue. In the EPL, Spurs have conceded two more more goals in each of their last nine games. Both teams have this fixture sandwiched between their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matches. This is a far bigger issue for Tottenham due to their lack of squad depth in the absence of eight injured players plus the suspended Micky van de Ven. Liverpool come into this game having won each of their last four league fixtures against Tottenham. A high-scoring win for Liverpool looks likely given their last three home wins over Tottenham were by 5-1, 4-2 and 4-3 score lines. The last seven league meetings between the two went over 2.5 goals.