English Premier League Round 12 Betting Tips

The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 12 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.

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Arsenal vs. Tottenham


Back Arsenal +0.5 (half ball / double chance) in the Asian Handicap at 1.48 (Betfair)

Arsenal have gone 16-1-1 at home over the last 12 months while Tottenham have gone 0-1-4 as the away underdog. I’m taking Arsenal at +0.5 instead of the head-to-head because 4 of the last 8 EPL meetings between the two resulted in a draw. Three of those draws were 1-1, which you can back at 8.40 (Betfair).

Burnley vs. Swansea


Back Burnley in the head-to-head at 2.12 (Unibet)

This is more a bet against Swansea than it is a bet on Burnley. Swansea have a 3-4-11 record over the last 12 months as the away underdog and their recent form has been terrible, having lost 5 of their last 6 games.

Back under 2.5 goals at 1.52 (Unibet)

Three of the last four meetings between the two went under 2.5 goals and 7 of Burnley’s last 8 fixtures have gone under 2.5, with 5 of those 8 going under 1.5 goals.

Back the Burnley 1-0 Swansea correct score at 6.00 (bet365)

Swansea have beaten Burnley by 1-0 scorelines in three of their four meetings so I’m backing Burnley to return the favour against their out of form visitors. Burnley’s last 4 wins have all come by 1-0 scores, while 3 of Swansea’s last 6 defeats have been by a 1-0 scoreline.

West Brom vs. Chelsea


Back Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.62 (Pinnacle)

West Brom have gone 1-0-5 as the home underdog over the last 12 months while Chelsea have gone 12-1-2 as the away favourite. West Brom are winless in 9 games and are on a 3-game losing streak while Chelsea enter this clash on a 3-game winning streak. Chelsea have won 3 of their last 4 fixtures against West Borm, including their last 2 visits to The Hawthorns.

Crystal Palace vs. Everton


Back the draw at 3.25 (bet365)

You can make cases against both teams. Palace sit bottom of the table with a 1-1-9 record having scored just 4 EPL goals all season, while Everton are on a 13-game winless streak away from home. Everton have a strong 2-2-0 record at Selhurst Park since Palace were promoted but given their recent poor form and signs of improvement from the hosts, I’m not convinced that Everton can get the win. Three of the last 4 meetings between the two resulted in a stalemate so I’ll back the draw.

Bournemouth vs. Huddersfield


Back Bournemouth in the head-to-head at 1.94 (Unibet)

Bournemouth bring decent form into this fixture, having beaten Stoke City and Newcastle on the road to go with close losses (both by 1-0 margins) to Chelsea and Tottenham. This is more a bet against Huddersfield, however, who have gone 1-1-3 on the road, having found the back of the net in just one of those fixtures.

Back under 2.5 goals at 1.71 (Unibet)

Huddersfield have yet to score an away goal since their Round 1 win against Crystal Palace. This includes a return visit to Selhurst Park where they lost 1-0 to Palace in the League Cup. Bournemouth, meanwhile, have only scored more than one goal on two occasions this season.

Leicester City vs. Manchester City


Back over 2.5 goals at 1.45 (Unibet)

Man City can’t stop scoring at the moment, having scored at least 3 goals in 7 of their last 8 fixtures, four of which saw them score 5 or more times. Since departing ways with manager Craig Shakespeare, Leicester have been in good scoring form as well, scoring two goals in each of their last three fixtures. The last three EPL meetings between Leicester City and Man City have gone over 2.5 goals, with one of those games resulting in 6 total goals. Based on current form this trend looks likely to continue.

Watford vs. West Ham


Back over 2.5 goals at 1.95 (bet365)

Watford have been scoring consistently of late whilst conceding frequently. They’ve scored at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 8 fixtures, with their opponents scoring at least 2 goals in five of them. West Ham haven’t been as prolific offensively, but on defence they’ve been poor, with their last three opponents all scoring at least twice, including the offensively struggling Crystal Palace. This has been a trend for West Ham on the road, with the over/under going 13/6 over the last 12 months.


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