English Premier League Round 16 Betting Tips

The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 16 of the 2017/18 English Premier League.

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West Ham vs. Chelsea


Back West Ham +1.5 at 1.617 (Pinnacle)

With Chelsea coming off a mid-week Champions League fixture I expect West Ham will keep this close. The last five meetings between the two were settled by one goal or drawn. West Ham are adjusting to life under a new manager, and so often clubs lift during this period as players work hard in practice to cement their place in the starting line-up.

Back over 2.5 goals at 1.90 (William Hill)

Meetings between the two sides tend to be high scoring affairs, with the total going over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 12 meetings and 5 of their last 6 meetings that West Ham hosted. Five of West Ham’s last 7 fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals.

Back Chelsea to win 2-1 at 9.60 (Betfair)
Back West Ham to win 2-1 at 23.00 (bet365)

I’m a big fan of betting on history repeating itself and 3 of the last 4 meetings between the two were settled by 2-1 scorelines, with the 4th game being a 2-2 draw.

Tottenham vs. Stoke City


Back Tottenham in the head-to-head at 1.30 (Unibet)

Tottenham boast a 15-3-1 home record over the last 12 months while Stoke City have gone 2-4-12 as the away underdog. Tottenham are currently in the midst of a bad run in the EPL but they picked up a solid win in the Champions League midweek and they’ve won their last three games against Stoke City all by 4-0 scorelines. Stoke City’s last 3 games against top EPL sides have seen them lose 0-4 to Chelsea, 2-7 to Man City and 0-3 to Liverpool. The reason I’m taking Tottenham in the head-to-head rather than -1.5 or -2.5 in the Asian Handicap is because I’m wary of their heavy schedule over the last few weeks.

Burnley vs. Watford


Back Burnley in the head-to-head at 2.56 (Pinnacle)

Burnley have a 4-2-2 record as the home favourite over the last 12 months while Watford have gone 5-2-12 as the away underdog. Both EPL meetings between the two last season were won by the hosting team.

Burnley vs. Watford


Back Bournemouth +1.5 at 1.26 (Mad Bookie)

Crystal Palace haven’t beaten a team by more than a goal all season while you have to go back 14 games in all competitions for the last time Bournemouth were defeated by more than a goal.

Newcastle vs. Leicester City


Back Leicester City +0.5 (half ball) at 1.543 (Pinnacle)

Newcastle are without a win in 6 games while Leicester have lost just 1 of their last 8 and are unbeaten in their last 5 away fixtures. Leicester City have also yet to lose a game to a side outside the top 5 this season. Leicester have a strong track record of drawing away fixtures like these, but with the poor form Newcastle are in, a Leicester win is also on the cards. Leicester have won their last 3 against Newcastle without conceding a goal and Newcastle come into this fixture having lost their previous two home fixtures 0-1 to Bournemouth and 0-3 to Watford.

Southampton vs. Arsenal


Back Arsenal in the head-to-head at 1.97 (Pinnacle)

Arsenal do have a Europa Cup fixture ahead of this clash, but they’re already through to the knockout stage so Arsene Wenger will have the luxury of rotating players for that clash. They also have one more rest day up their sleeve, with this fixture taking place on Sunday. Arsenal bring strong form into this fixture, having won 5 of their last 7, with their two losses coming against Man City and Man Utd. Southampton have only won 1 of their last 6 and are 0-4 over the last 12 months as the home underdog. Arsenal did the double over Southampton last season, winning 2-0 at St Mary’s Stadium.

Liverpool vs. Everton


Back Liverpool in the head-to-head at 1.33 (Betfair)

Everton have picked up in form recently but all of their success has been at Goodison Park. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 7 at home against Everton and they bring excellent form into this fixture (3-0 v Stoke City, 5-1 v Brighton, 7-0 v Spartak Moscow). They also have one more day of rest up their sleeve, with Everton featuring in the Europa League on Thursday.

Back Liverpool -1.5 at 1.847 (Pinnacle)

Liverpool’s last 8 wins in all competitions were by 3 goals or more. Their last two home wins over Everton were by 4-0 and 3-1 scorelines.


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