The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Round 1 of the 2023 Super Rugby season.
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Waratahs vs. Brumbies
The Brumbies have won nine consecutive games against the Waratahs and six consecutive games against NSW as the away team. It should be noted, however, that the Brumbies’ last two away wins over the Waratahs were by 1 and 2 point margins. I’m looking to back two scenarios, one in which the Waratahs win the game and the other in which the Brumbies come back from a halftime deficit to win. The reason behind the second scenario is Brumbies head coach Stephen Larkham has opted to start some key players on the bench. If they are brought on in the second half with the scores still close, then their qualities could see the Brumbies overcome the deficit.
I would bet:
0.75 units on the Waratahs in the head-to-head at 2.06 (BoomBet)
0.25 units on the Waratahs/Brumbies HT/FT (Double Result) selection at 7.40 (Colossalbet).
Highlanders vs. Blues
The Highlanders are without All Blacks halfback Aaron Smith this week and there are questions over Folau Fakatava’s knee health after he opted to rehab is ACL injury rather than go under the knife. The Highlanders have lost four consecutive games to the Blues and they went 0-8 against Kiwi opponents last season. The Highlanders went 0-3 as the home underdog last year while the Blues went 7-0 as the away team. The Blues went 0-4 at the line away from home last year, however, and they have gone 1-4 at the line for the last five games as the away favourite against the Highlanders. I will stay clear of the Blues in the line market and instead back them in the head-to-head.
I would back the Blues in the head-to-head at 1.38 (Unibet).
Those looking for more risk should consider the Blues 1-12 at 2.80 (Unibet).
Reds vs. Hurricanes
The injury-hit Reds look a bit under-cooked for this fixture, which is being played at Queensland Country Bank Stadium in Townsville instead of Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane. James O’Connor, Suliasi Vunivalu and Taniela Tupou are currently out, plus they’re missing three locks in Luke Jones, Ryan Smith and Angus Blyth. The Reds went 0-6 against New Zealand teams last season and they have lost seven in a row to the Hurricanes. The Reds’ last three home defeats to the Hurricanes were all by 9+ margins.
I would back the Hurricanes in the head-to-head at 1.58 (BlueBet).