Saturday Racing Tips – Victoria Derby Day – October 29 2016

The following is a selection of racing tips for Saturday, October 29, 2016. The focus is on Victoria Derby Day at Flemington but selected races at other venues are also covered.

More tips and previews will be added as they become available.

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Best bets of the weekend

Flemington Race 4, No.8, Oceanographer
Flemington Race 7, No.1, Sacred Elixir


William Hill – The Wolf:

Race 1, No.7, Acatour (4 star bet)
Race 3, No.12 Chloe In Paris (2 star bet)
Race 4, No.8, Oceanographer (4 star bet)
Quaddie: 2,4,5,7,10,14 / 1 / 1,2,4,5,7,10,11 / 5,8,11

Race 5 – Coolmore Stud Stakes, top 5:
1. Astern
2. Extreme Choice
3. Star Turn
4. Russian Revolution
5. Capitalist

Race 6 – Myer Classic
Heavens Above shouldn’t be $16. She savaged the line two back in the leader dominated Golden Pendant, getting the better of First Seal late. First Seal has since won the Tristarc while Heavens Above tackled the Epsom and was hardly disgraced. Tipping Heavens Above would’ve given the Tristarc a shake had she gone that way. Danish Twist is on trial at the mile but being a relation to Happy Trails should see it out. Don’t Doubt Mamma possesses a lethal turn of foot and must be respected too. Including Dixie Blossoms and Whispering Brook in the quaddie.

Race 7 – Victoria Derby, top 5:
1. Sacred Elixir
2. So Si Bon
3. Tumultuous
4. Inference
5. Rocketeer

Race 8 – Cantala Stakes
He’s Our Rokkii has won five straight and comes off a Group One win in the Toorak. He is flying and the $7.50 about a horse in such a purple patch of form appeals. The United States was too classy for his rivals in the Crystal Mile and will no doubt figure in the finish here too. Palentino was awful in the Epsom but he loves Flemington. Must be included in the quaddie in the event he bounces straight back. Voodoo Lad and Hopfgarten the knockouts.

The Betfair Insider:

R1 Carbine Stakes G3 1600m
LAY (WIN) Acatour for 10 units at $6 or less

R2 Wakeful Stakes G2 2000m
BACK (WIN) Tiamo Grace – 7 units at $3.5 or more

R3 Sensis Stakes G3 1100m
BACK (WIN) Sheidel for 5 units at $5 or more
BACK (WIN) Rule The River for 1 unit at $11 or more
BACK (WIN) Almighty Girl for 1 unit at $13 or more

R4 Lexus Stakes G3 2500m
LAY (WIN) Real Love for 10 units at $6 or less

R5 Coolmore Stud Stakes G1 1200m 3YO
BACK (WIN) Star Turn for 2 units at $4 or more

R6 Myer Classic G1 1600m WFA Fillies & Mares
LAY (WIN) First Seal – 10 units at $4 or less
BACK (WIN) Danish Twist – 2.5 unit at $6 or more
BACK (WIN) Dixie Blossoms – 2.5 unit at $6 or more

R7 AAMI Victoria Derby G1 2500m 3YO
BACK (WIN) Sacred Elixir – 6 units at $3 or more
BACK (WIN) Beach Life – 2 units at $12 or more

R8 Cantala Stakes G1 1600m Handicap
BACK (WIN) Mackintosh – 2 units at $10 or more
BACK (WIN) Thunder Fantasy – 1 unit at $17 or more
BACK (WIN) Good Project – 1 unit at $17 or more

R9 Salinger Stakes G2 1200m
BACK (WIN) Keen Array for 5 units at to win at $4 or more
BACK (WIN) Durendal for 1 unit at $17 or more
BACK (PLACE) Durendal for 2 units at $4 or more

Unibet – Stewart Croker:

Race 7 tips:
1. Sacred Elixir
2. Captain Duffy
3. Rocketeer
4. So Si Bon

Sportsbet – Bruce Clark:

Race 5 – Coolmore Stud Stakes:
1. Extreme Choice
2. Russian Revolution
3. Astern
4. Star Turn

Race 7 – Victoria Derby:
1. Sacred Elixir
2. Rocketeer
3. Swear
4. Captain Duffy

Sportsbet – Gary Legg:

Race 6 – Myer Classic
Best bet
1. First Seal
2. Danish Twist
3. Don’t Doubt Mamma

Race 8 – Cantala Stakes
Best bet
1. Mackintosh
2. The United States
3. Stratum Star
Bon Aurum

Ladbrokes Race Comments:

Race 5 – Coolmore Stud Stakes
Clearly the best edition of the race. EXTREME CHOICE was a dominant winner against the older sprinters first-up. He’ll only improve for the run and he can race much closer up the straight. He’ll be tough to beat. ASTERN can run outstanding late sectionals. If he can stay with them he’ll be launching late. STAR TURN comes off a soft win against the older sprinters, he’ll be hard to get past and FLYING ARTIE, CAPITALIST and RUSSIAN REVOLUTION all have some claims but the top three look the main players.

Race 6 – Myer Classic
FIRST SEAL took a huge step 2nd-up where she was strong through the line and she’s still got more upside. Well in at the set weights and a perfect run, she’ll take some beating. EURO ANGEL has always promised to be up to this grade and she was dominant last start. With some luck from the gate she’ll go close. HEAVENS ABOVE and DIXIE BLOSSOMS both bring strong Sydney form lines and DON’T DOUBT MAMMA has to be included, she’s flying and loves this track.

Race 7 – Victoria Derby
The barrier draw has made SACRED ELIXIR a short priced favourite and he deserves to be. Set for this all along and peaking at his fourth run in. He’s clearly the one to beat. CAPTAIN DUFFY could go around over the odds. He’ll have no trouble with the trip and he gets a perfect run just off the pace. INFERENCE would have been a real danger had he drawn a better barrier but he still has to be included. BEACH LIFE, SO SI BON, SWEAR and ROCKETEER all go in exotics. It’s an open race behind the favourite.

Race 8 – Cantala Stakes
MACKINTOSH was only 2nd-up when only beaten on the line in the Epsom and he looks well placed on the fresh side staying at the mile. If he has any luck slotting in just off pace he’ll take some catching. THE UNITED STATES will only improve on his good win last week. He’ll love getting onto the big track. HE’S OUR ROKKII goes into everything and the stable mate SEABURGE isn’t far off our best three year olds. He’ll run it strong with no weight. LE ROMAIN, MCCREERY and PALENTINO all have claims in a deep race.

Madbookie – Dan Mielecki:

BEST BETS: Race 1 #1 HEY DOC / Race 2 #6 TIAMO GRACE

Race 1 11:45am 1600m (Carbine Club Stakes Group 3): 1. HEY DOC from 3, 7, 10
Race 2 12:20pm 2000m (Wakeful Stakes Group 2): 6. TIAMO GRACE from 4, 2, 9
Race 3 (Begonia Belle Stakes Group 3): 7. ALMIGHTY GIRL from 5, 13, 16
Race 4 1:40pm 2500m (Lexus Stakes Group 3): 8. OCEANOGRAPHER from 3, 2, 7
Race 5 2:25pm 1200m (Coolmore Stakes Group 1): 5. STAR TURN from 2, 3, 6
Race 6 3:05pm 1600m (Myer Classic Group 1): 7. DON’T DOUBT MAMMA from 5, 2, 4
Race 7 3:50pm 2500m (Victoria Derby Group 1): 1. SACRED ELIXIR from 6, 3, 10
Race 8 4:35pm 1600m (Cantala Stakes Group 1): 2. THE UNITED STATES from 4, 7, 11
Race 9 5:20pm 1200m (Linlithgow Stakes Group 2): 8. OCEAN EMBERS from 11, 5, 9

Palmerbet – The Early Crow:

Race: 1 – $200,000 The Carbine Club Stakes 1600m – MORTON’S FORK
Race: 2 – $300,000 Wakeful Stakes 2000m – MISSROCK
Race: 3 – $200,000 Sensie Stakes 1100m – WILD RAIN
Race: 4 – $300,000 Lexus Stakes 2500m – OCEANOGRAPHER
Race: 5 – $500,000 Coolmore Stud Stakes 1200m – 1. EXTREME CHOICE, 2. Russian Revolution, 3. Astern
Race: 6 – $500,000 Myer Classic 1600m – 1. FIRST SEAL, 2. Rising Romance, 3. Euro Angel
Race: 7 – $1million VRC Derby 2500m – 1. SACRED ELIXIR, 2. Swear, 3. So Si Bon
Race: 8 – Cantala Stakes 1600m – 1. MACINTOSGH, 2. The United States, 3. He’s Our Rokkii
Race: 9 – $300,000 Open Sprint Stakes 1200m – SOUTHERN LEGEND

Betfair – The Ratings Bureau:

R5: Coolmore Stud Stakes – 1200m 3YO SW G1
BACK (WIN) – Extreme Choice at $2.85 at $3+

Other Venues

William Hill – The Wolf:

Rosehill Race 1, No.2 Lightz (4 star bet)
Rosehill Race 9, No.13 Upscale (4 star bet)
Rosehill Quaddie: 2,4,11,13 / 2,4,7,9 / 3,4,10 /6,13

Unibet – Stewart Croker:

Best Bet: Man of His Word (Brisbane, Race 8, No.5)
Value Bet: Fine Approach (Adelaide, Race 5, No.1)
Lay: Il Riccio (Sydney, Race 2, No.7)

Madbookie – Dan Mielecki:



Race 1 12:05pm 1100m (Pierro Plate): 2. LIGHTZ from 1, 8, 9
Race 2 12:40pm 1200m (BM70): 2. CADOGAN from 7, 1, 3
Race 3 1:20pm 1500m (BM77): 1. MOHER from 8, 3, 5
Race 4 2:00pm 1300m (Highway Handicap Class 2): 3. FUEL from 16, 8, 5
Race 5 2:45pm 1350m (BM83): 4. ROYAL TUDOR from 2, 6, 7
Race 6 3:25pm 2000m (Country Classic): 16. MYSTICISM from 2, 11, 13
Race 7 4:10pm 1800m (BM93): 7. TOWER OF SONG from 4, 3, 9
Race 8 4:55pm 1200m (BM92): 12. IN THE VANGUARD from 10, 7, 4
Race 9 5:40pm 1100m (BM78): 13. UPSCALE from 8, 11, 7

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