The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 38 of the 2024/25 English Premier League season. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
With the title winner and relegation spots wound up a while ago, the intrigue for the final round concerns the remaining European places.
Given this is the final round of the season, I have thrown in correct score picks for some fun.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com (13-4 in 2025 for a 30.1% return on turnover. 15 of the last 19 tips won)
Compare EPL bookmaker odds
View bookmaker football promotions (excl. NSW & WA)
View the EPL form guide
 |
Man Utd vs. Aston Villa |
 |
Aston Villa in the head-to-head at 1.80 (Betfair)
Aston Villa draw no bet at 1.37 (Betfair)
Manchester United are backing up after their Europa League final, while Aston Villa have not played in nine days. United have nothing but pride and positional prize money to play for, while Aston Villa are fighting to secure a Champions League place next season. United bring 0-2-5 league form into this game and they have gone 0-3-2 as the home underdog over the last twelve months. Man Utd have lost nine of their 18 home games so far this season. In complete contrast, Aston Villa bring 8-0-1 league form into this clash.
Man Utd 0-1 Aston Villa correct score at 10.00 (bet365)
Aston Villa don’t often win at Old Trafford, but their last victory at this venue was by a 1-0 scoreline. Three of Villa’s last five away wins this season were by 1-0 margins and three of United’s last six league defeats were by 1-0 margins.
 |
Tottenham vs. Brighton |
 |
Brighton in the head-to-head at 2.10 (Betfair)
Brighton draw no bet at 1.60 (Betfair)
The domestic campaign couldn’t come to an end fast enough for the injury-hit Tottenham. They bring 1-1-7 league form into this clash and their expected goals in their last four clashes were 0.37, 0.50, 0.68 and 0.32. Spurs have lost 21 games this campaign, which is by far the worst of any side that has avoided relegation. To put 21 into context, Ipswich have lost 23 and Leicester City have lost 24. Brighton, in contrast, bring 3-1-0 form into this game and a win would see them break past the illustrious 60-point mark. Spurs have gone 0-1-6 as the home underdog this season, while Brighton have gone 3-2-1 as the away favourite. The last factor for this pick is Tottenham will be backing up after the midweek Europa League final in Spain, so Brighton will be better rested.
Tottenham 0-2 Brighton correct score at 17.00 (bet365)
Tottenham’s last two league defeats were by 2-0 margins and Brighton’s last away win was by a 2-0 margin.
 |
Newcastle vs. Everton |
 |
Newcastle in the head-to-head at 1.39 (Betfair)
Newcastle to win to nil at 2.25 (bet365)
Everton effectively played their cup final last week when they defeated Southampton in their final every fixture at Goodison Park. The Toffees can’t finish any higher or lower than 13th, so I expect the players will have one eye firmly on their summer holiday. Newcastle, in contrast, are fighting to secure a Champions League place next season. The Magpies have won six consecutive home games coming into this fixture. They scored no less than two goals in all six wins and their last three home wins were by 5-0 (Crystal Palace), 3-0 (Ipswich) and 2-0 (Chelsea) margins. Eight of Newcastle’s twelve home wins over the last twelve months were to nil, while six of Everton’s seven away defeats were to nil.
Newcastle 1-0 Everton correct score at 9.50 (bet365)
With Newcastle striker Alexander Isak quite possibly out for this game, I’m not expecting a basketball score. Everton have averaged the lowest average total score away from home this season. Newcastle’s last home win over the Toffees was by a 1-0 margin and four of Everton’s last five defeats this season were by 1-0 margins.
 |
Ipswich vs. West Ham |
 |
West Ham in the head-to-head at 2.22 (Betfair)
West Ham to win to nil at 4.50 ()
This is simply a bet against Ipswich. Promoted teams feel pressured to have a go at the opposition when playing at home, and this can result in inferior home record compared to away as a result, because they leave themselves more vulnerable defensively. The Tractor Boys have gone 1-4-13 at home this season and they have suffered eight consecutive home defeats. West Ham defeated Ipswich 4-1 earlier in the season and they could boost their club’s payday by finishing as high as 14th in the table. In the worst-case scenario, the Hammers could finish 17th. Ipswich failed to score in their last four defeats and all five of West Ham’s away wins this season were to nil.
Ipswich 0-2 Newcastle correct score at 15.00 (bet365)
The above correct score pick is based on the fact that West Ham’s five away wins this season were all to nil and three of those five were by 2-0 scorelines.