2020 NFL Draft Betting Tips

This article provides 2020 NFL draft betting tips. The focus is on the Round 1 prop bets. The 2020 NFL draft takes place on Thursday, April 23rd (Friday, April 24th AEST). The draft was originally planned to take place in Paradise, Nevada, however all team selections will now take place via videoconferencing.

Round 1 Mock Drafts

The following analysis is based on a survey of the latest mock drafts by six NFL.com analysts.

First Overall Pick

All six analysts picked QB Joe Burrow from LSU as the top overall pick.

Top Three Picks

Five of the six analysts have the following top three picks:

  1. Joe Burrow – QB – LSU
  2. Chase Young – Edge – Ohio State
  3. Jeff Okudah – CB – Ohio State

The one analyst with different top three has Derrick Brown (DT from Auburn) as his third pick instead of Jeff Okudah.

Position Counts

Below are the average and median number of players by position that were included in the analysts’ mock drafts for Round 1.

Quarterbacks: 2.8 on average, 3.0 median
Wide receivers: 5.2 on average, 5.0 median
Running backs: 1.0 on average, 1.0 median
Offensive lineman: 5.2 on average, 5.0 median
Offensive players: 14.2 on average, 14.5 median

College counts

Below are the average and median number of players by college that were included in the analysts’ mock drafts for Round 1.

Alabama: 5.3 on average, 5.5 median
LSU: 3.5 on average, 3.0 median
Clemson: 2.0 on average, 2.0 median
Georgia: 2.0 on average, 2.0 median
Oklahoma: 1.8 on average, 2.0 median
Iowa: 1.7 on average, 2.0 median
Auburn: 1.2 on average, 1.0 median
Ohio State: 1.2 on average, 1.0 median

Betting Tips

Based on the above analysis we recommend the following NFL first round draft bets:

First three picks in exact order: 1. Joe Burrow, 2. Chase Young, 3. Jeff Okudah at 2.25 (Sportsbet)

QBs drafted: Under 4.5 at 1.16 (bet365)
WRs drafted: Under 5.5 at 2.80 (bet365)
RBs drafted: Over 0.5 at 3.00 (bet365)
Offensive lineman drafted: Under 6.5 at 2.20 (bet365)
Offensive players drafted: Under 16.5 at 2.20 (bet365)

Players selected in the first round by college:

LSU – under 5.5 at 1.35 (Pointsbet)
Ohio State: under 2.5 at 1.20 (Pointsbet)

Clemson v Ohio State: Clemson +0.5 at 1.50 (Pointsbet)
Alabama v LSU: Alabama at 1.42 (Pointsbet)

Player picks

Based on the number of times each player featured in the six mock drafts, some recommended player bets are:

Selected in the first round?
Brandon Aiyuk (4/6) – yes at 2.16 (Sportsbet)
Denzel Mins (0/6) – no at 2.14 (Sportsbet)
Grant Delpit (0/6) – no at 1.54 (Sportsbet)
Patrick Queen (6/6) – yes at 1.17 (Sportsbet)

 

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