The following is a survey of Australian racing tips for Saturday, May 16. The focus is on the group races at Ascot, Gold Coast, Morphettville and Rosehill. The highlight of the day is the Group 1 Goodwood (Race 8) at Morphettville. The Andrew Ramsden (Race 6) at Flemington is also covered. More tips and previews will be added as they become available.
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Ascot Race 8: No. 2 Vega Magic
Flemington Race 6: No. 2 King Of Leogrance
Gold Coast Race 6: No. 1 Wisdom of Water
Morphettville Race 7: No. 9 Harbour Views
Rosehill Race 8: No. 1 Amangiri
VEGA MAGIC (2) Only whacked away when 8th last time at Caulfield. Looking for an improved run and unbeaten in all trials. Will take some beating today. ANGELIC RULER (10) Having third run back from a spell. Winner last start here and hard to fault at this trip. Goes very close. FLIRTINI (11) Third up today. Displayed good finishing speed when 2nd last start at this course. Contender. MAN BOOKER (4) Back from a break. Fought on gamely when winning last start at Belmont. Not the worst in this field
What a tremendous Roma Cup field and a reconstructed VEGA MAGIC simply has to be the one they have to beat. The multiple Group 1-winning powerhouse was once considered Australia’s best sprinter, and while he’s been in the wars over the last 18 months, his trial results since returning to WA suggest he’s a happy and healthy horse. The Casey camp are doing a lot right recently and if Vega Magic turns up ? good luck. FLIRTINI has to be a danger, suited back to 1200m and drawn sweetly. Star first-uppers THE VELVET KING and MAN BOOKER must be respected. ANGELIC RULER will be launching late.
Selections: 2. Vega Magic (top tip), 11. Flirtini, 8. The Velvet King, 4. Man Booker
Vega Magic (5 stars)
Flirtini (4 stars)
Angelic Ruler (4 stars)
KING OF LEOGRANCE (2) Strong record when resuming with 2 wins from 4 runs. Got the cash when winning last run at Morphettville but rising in weight. Should get a lovely cart into it from just behind the leaders. Top prospects. TOO CLOSE THE SUN (7) Bold effort to win last run at Warrnambool and can find a nice position from the draw. Shows good early pace. Appears well in this. OCEANEX (12) Did enough to win last run at Morphettville and gets a favourable barrier. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Open to improvement and has a show in this field. DARK ALLEY (9) Left nothing to chance when winning last time at Geelong and going well this campaign. Always seems to find the line well. Warrants a bet.
Race 6: King Of Leogrance, saving on Norway
Race 6: 2. King Of Leogrance, 7. Too Close the Sun, 12. Oceanex, 3. Skelm
Race 6: 2. King Of Leogrance, 7. Too Close the Sun, 9. Dark Alley, 12. Oceanex
SPEED: 1, 7, 6. KING OF LEOGRANCE was dominant at the end of 3200m in the Adelaide Cup beating GOOD IDEA, who then finished with Sin To Win, beating home reigning Melbourne Cup winner Vow And Declare. Sin To Win then chased TOO CLOSE THE SUN in the Warrnambool Cup so the form is easy to tie together. Too Close The Sun is yet to tick the 3200m box so leaning to the ”King” here. OCEANEX worked early yet was too strong for SOPRESSA in Adelaide. Sopressa wasn’t far off Mr Quickie prior, she too is an unknown at this longer trip. SUPER GIRL and SURREY THUNDER best blowouts?
Selections: 2. King Of Leogrance (top tip), 7. Too Close The Sun, 12. Oceanex, 11. Super Girl
KING OF LEOGRANCE (2) looks a great candidate for this. Kept fresh since the Adelaide Cup win but think that can suit. Clearly stays well and the stable are flying at present. Well aimed at this and think he can do the job. TOO CLOSE THE SUN (7) is in terrific form. Faces a tougher test now, and has to stretch to the longer trip, but he will make his own luck on speed and has to be a hope. DARK ALLEY (9) was no match for King Of Leogrance in Adelaide but won well last time and is clearly on going the right way. GOOD IDEA (4) also has a hope off the Adelaide Cup and NORWAY (6) is a potential improver onto better ground in what looks a target race for him. Could represent good value at potentially big odds.
King Of Leogrance (5 stars)
Too Close The Sun (5 stars)
Dark Alley (2 stars)
Race 3, No.6 November Dreaming – 3.5 stars
Race 6, No.2 King of Leogrance – BEST BET – 5 stars
Race 3: Flandersrain
Race 5: King of Hastings
Race 6: King of Leogrance
Race 8: Achernar Star
WISDOM OF WATER (1) Having second run back from a spell. Was dominant when winning last run at this course and gets a favourable draw. Could put a good margin on these. SAFFIANO (4) Was fighting out the finish when winning last run at Rosehill but up against stronger competition today. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Warrants a bet. MINJEE (11) Really dug deep when winning last start at Doomben but racing in stronger company today. In the mix. SPOKESMAN (3) Got the upper hand late when winning last time at Warwick Farm and should come to hand quickly. Strong chance.
COMMAND’N’CONQUER (8) Bold effort to win two runs back at Doomben and on a quick back up. Expecting to settle just off the pace. Major player. HIGHTAIL (2) Having second run back from a break. Game effort to win last run at Randwick and always seems to find the line well. Looks promising in this race. EXHILARATES (10) Managed to run into 3rd last time at this track and possesses very good closing speed. Better claims. THE ODYSSEY (1) Bold effort to win last time at Doomben and likely to be well placed early. Racing consistently this preparation. Suitably placed in this race.
Race 6: Wisdom of Water
Race 8: The Odyssey
These Waller visitors might trouble WISDOM OF WATERwhen we get to 1400m but from his draw and over1200m on his home track he is clearly the horse theyhave to beat. He has the speed to lead but if they want togo handlebars down up front he can take a sit and stillhave a good turn of foot. SAFFIANO is here for the longerraces but is in the right stable and class will make himvery competitive so you must respect. SPOKESMAN, MINJEE and ALWAYS ON SHOW look the main hopes forexotic players.
Selections: 1. Wisdom Of Water, 4. Saffiano, 3. Spokesman, 11. Minjee
THE ODYSSEY is just a gem. Continues to burn them offearly and keeps winning. Schweida would have used thelast run to get him ready for this and he will again lookthe winner at the 100m for sure. EXILARATES gets inbrilliantly at the weights, it’s a matter of where Fraddends up on her. If he can find the back of the right horseshe can get over the top of these with the blinkers goingback on. HIGHTAIL was a nice winner fresh, he will getcover and be strong late, I’d just rather 1400m for him.
Selections: 10. Exhilarates, 1. The Odyssey, 2. Hightail, 12. Baroda
First of our feature races is the Ken Russell Classic named in honour of the original ‘King Of The Coast’. Really good mix of local & interstate form with 2, 3, 10 & 12 looking the pace early on. I’m with WISDOM OF WATER who followed up his 16 length barrier trial win here with a very arrogant first up victory. Fair to say he faces much stiffer opposition here however the time was quick & it really was no more than an exercise gallop. MINJEE is a classy filly, she’s been aided by a hot tempo winning her last couple however, that’s not likely here however she can’t be left out. 3 & 4 next best.
Selections: 1. Wisdom Of Water (top tip), 11. Minjee, 3. Spokesman, 4. Saffiano
The Group 3 Gold Coast Guineas always draws a strong bunch of 3yo’s & this year is no different with good interstate involvement. Looks to be plenty of speed, where will The Odyssey end up from the unfortunate draw? 3, 4, 11 & 16 the one’s kicking up inside him early on. I’m with the Snowden runner HIGHTAIL who scored well first up, yes it wasn’t the strongest of races however he’ll likely take good benefit & will appreciate the speed on early. COMMAND ‘N’ CONQUER had a good hit out here last week, this trip suits & he can run fast times. GARIBALDI right there. Could have missed the winner!
Selections: 2. Hightail (top tip), 8. Command’n’conquer, 5. Garibaldi, 10. Exhilarates
WISDOM OF WATER (1) is a colt of good promise. He led and strode clear to win by 5.5L when resuming at this course and distance at his first outing since a fourth in the Magic Millions. That form looks strong for this. The one to beat. The Sydneysider SAFFIANO (4) improved his rating significantly when a Rosehill winner at start number two. If he can take a similar step forward he could offer some resistance. MINJEE (11) is doing plenty right having won her past two at Doomben. Expect her to measure up again. SPOKESMAN (3) has trialled since a first up Warwick Farm win so can progress while NEUTRON (10) has each way claims after winning here last outing.
Wisdom Of Water (5 stars)
Saffiano (4 stars)
Minjee (4 stars)
THE ODYSSEY (1) is flying. He made it three wins in a row when scoring at Doomben last start to take his record at this distance to six from 10. Has the speed to work across from the wide gate. Big chance again. HIGHTAIL (2) was a real eye-catcher first up, charging home from well back for a last-stride win at Kensington. Gosford Guineas winner last campaign and is proven second up. Threat. EXHILARATES (10) was last seen when third in the Magic Millions Guineas at this track and won her other two runs here. Ready to go fresh off two solid trials. NIEDORP (11) deserves respect after winning both starts this time in while BELLEVUE HILL (4) is worth keeping safe fresh off two good trials.
The Odyssey (5 stars)
Hightail (4 stars)
Exhilarates (4 stars)
Race 1, No.3 Oriental Runner – 4 stars
Betting Confidence: High
Back – #1 Wisdom Of Water
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #8 Command’n’conquer; #7 Scathing
1. Santa Ana Lane
4. The Inevitable
Best Bet: Santa Ana Lane ($7.50) – 3.5 stars
Best Roughie: Behemoth ($14)
Exotic: Boxed Exacta (1,3,5,7,9)
Race 8: 1. SANTA ANA LANE, 2. The Inevitable, 3. Gytrash, 4. Lyre
DIALA (6) Finished on top last start at Sandown and won’t be far away during the run. Tracking very well this campaign. Good enough for this and worth a bet. HARD ROCK GIRL (7) Left nothing to chance when winning three runs back at the track and should be going forward early. Very competitive this campaign. Major player. ZOUSHINE (8) Grabbed towards the finish when 3rd last start at this course. Expecting to settle positively. One of the major hopes. KAZUHIKO (4) Lloyd Kennewell trained 2yo by Deep Impact having first race appearance and will try to take advantage of the alley. Right in the mix.
REALM OF FLOWERS (3) Fought on well to win last run at Murray Bridge and finishes off strongly. Tracking very well this preparation. Has genuine claims in this race. STICKEMUP (5) Got the cash when winning last time at Newcastle but rising in grade. Will be looking to sit just behind the leaders. Classy enough for this field and is one of the major players. LA FALAISE (1) Came on strongly to finish 4th last run at this course and going down in class. Should be swooping on the field late. Should go close. SILENT SOVEREIGN (2) Really dug deep when winning two runs back at this venue and dropping in grade. Likely to race off the speed. Suited.
HARBOUR VIEWS (9) Got the upper hand late when winning three runs back at Geelong and second up from a break. Likely to get a nice run behind the speed. Rates well and should be taken seriously. SEABROOK (13) Came on strongly to finish 2nd last time around here and suited by the weight drop. Should enjoy a cosy run off the pace. Well placed and has solid claims. WAGING WAR (6) Second up from a spell. Hit the line well when 3rd three runs back at Caulfield and goes down in weight. One of the main dangers. DEXTER YOU DEVIL (8) Game effort to win two runs back at Port Lincoln and tracking very well this campaign. Expected to settle towards the rear. Minor prospects.
GYTRASH (3) Dominant winner last start here in the Irwin Stakes but racing in stronger company today. Expecting to settle positively. Winning claims. SANTA ANA LANE (1) Snuck in a place when 2nd two runs back in the TJ Smith Stakes and going down in class. Has very good finishing speed. Should be very competitive and is a genuine threat. TREKKING (2) Races well third up winning 2 from 4 starts. Kept finding the line when 2nd last time in the Hall Mark Stakes. Can’t be left out of exotics. SUNLIGHT (4) Strong record when third up with 4 wins from 4 runs. Despite slipping back still finished 2nd two runs back in the Irwin Stakes and should come to hand quickly. Quite a few boxes are ticked and looks value at generous odds.
HUMMA HUMMA (2) Flashed home late into 2nd two runs back at Caulfield and drops back to a suitable class. Will be hitting the line strongly. Right in this. MYSTERY LOVE (4) Chimed in with a win two runs back at Caulfield and should get going late. Keep it safe and include in any exotic bets. STREET ICON (5) Fought on well to win three runs back at Sandown and looks well placed in this grade. Shows good finishing speed. One in a race with many chances. TOO GOOD TOO HARD (10) Got the upper hand late when winning two runs back at Caulfield and gets a reduction in weight. Always seems to find the line well. Can’t be left out of trifectas.
Race 2: Extra Time and Hard Rock Girl
Race 5: Realm of Flowers, saving on Stick ’em Up
Race 7: Harbour Views
Race 8: Gytrash
Race 9: Lakhani Rose each-way, Humma Humma if it’s dry
EXTRA TIME has been racing as though in need of the 1200m trip. Blinkers go on for the first time today. DIALA led all the way to score at Sandown a fortnight ago, making it two wins from her past three starts. There were excuses for her at Flemington at her other outing this prep. HARD ROCK GIRL finished off well last time, running second to Forever Free in the Queen Adelaide Stakes. A firmer track is in her favour. ZOUSHINE has been competitive in all three runs to date. She’s worth including in multiples. Watch market moves for KAZUHIKO and MISS GUGGENHEIM.
Selections: 2. Extra Time (top tip), 6. Diala, 7. Hard Rock Girl, 8. Zoushine
BELLX had to work hard from a wide gate last start and stuck on gamely to finish fourth. Her form prior to that was good and she has drawn well here in barrier 3. REALM OF FLOWERS came from the tail of the field with a well timed run to score at Murray Bridge. She drops in weight and looks ready to tackle the longer trip. STICK ‘EM UP ran fifth to Colette in the ATC Oaks prior to winning at Newcastle a fortnight ago. LINDELANI was narrowly beaten at Sandown two starts ago then didn’t have the best of luck in the St Leger last time. RAPTURES, LA FALAISE and SILENT SOVEREIGN are other hopes.
Selections: 4. Bellx (top tip), 3. Realm Of Flowers, 5. Stick ’em Up, 8. Lindelani
HARBOUR VIEWS worked to the line well to finish third at Sandown when resuming over 1400m. He’ll be fitter for that and the step up to 1600m is a plus. SEABROOK hasn’t managed a win in more than two years but her efforts this time in work have been good and she won’t know herself with 53kg on her back. ARISTOCRATIC MISS hit the line strongly first up and is another who will appreciate the longer trip. DANON ROMAN won the Peninsula cup over this trip first up last time in work.
Selections: 9. Harbour Views (top tip), 13. Seabrook, 14. Aristocratic Miss, 10. Danon Roman
TREKKING didn’t have the best of luck when runner-up to Greyworm at Randwick at his second run back from a spell. He finished a close third in The Everest when 3rd up last time in work. GYTRASH has been freshened since taking out the Irwin here last month. He doesn’t know how to run a bad race, don’t leave him out. THE INEVITABLE hit the line hard at Flemington last start and is better suited over the 1200m trip. Forgive the run of SUNLIGHT in the Sangster, that was totally out of character. A firmer track is a big plus for her and she’ll wear blinkers for the first time. Others: 9, 11, 1 & 8.
Selections: 2. Trekking (top tip), 3. Gytrash, 7. The Inevitable, 4. Sunlight
TOO GOOD TOO HARD was a strong winner at Caulfield last month. She only battled on a heavy track at Sandown last time but will get more favourable conditions today. STREET ICON didn’t have much go her way in the Sangster a fortnight ago. MYSTERY LOVE is better than her latest effort suggests, look for an improved showing from her today. HUMMA HUMMA was runner-up to William Thomas at Caulfield two starts ago, then had excuse last time. Note that she’s yet to win beyond 1100m.
Selections: 10. Too Good Too Hard (top tip), 5. Street Icon, 4. Mystery Love, 2. Humma Humma
The National Stakes is the main 2yo race of the card. DIALA (6) will be one of those leaders and she has loved doing that so far. This does look the preferred journey for her. If she got some control then she is clearly the one. ZOUSHINE (8) will improve again here. All her runs to date have been over the short course. This will be a different story. EXTRA TIME (2) wears the blinkers now. He is bred to want a mile so the longer race suits. HARD ROCK GIRL (7) hit the line nicely two weeks ago. She will love the 1200m. YES BABY YES (9) can only improve. A drier track will likely help too.
Diala (5 stars)
Zoushine (4 stars)
Extra Time (3 stars)
In that SA Fillies Classic, REALM OF FLOWERS (3) only runs off a BM60 at the midweeks but she did come from last to win that. The breed do want to stay and she has been well set up here by the Freedman yard. SILENT SOVEREIGN (2) was not beaten far in the Australasian Oaks and had won the lead up. She should not have a drama with the 2500m. STICK ‘EM UP (5) comes over from NSW where she had all the fillies races as a guide. She will be boxing on well. BELLX (4) follows an unusual path back in trip. If it was to be a real test she will love that. RAPTURES (6) has been OK in lesser quality. LA FALAISE (1) a hope too.
Realm Of Flowers (5 stars)
Silent Sovereign (4 stars)
Stick ‘Em Up (3 stars)
Have to think this RA Lee Stakes is based around one horse. HARBOUR VIEWS (9) was desperately unlucky not to win before going for a spell and then just couldn’t make up the ground late to Buffalo River. He will be fitter and flies for John Allen. SEABROOK (13) has run good races all campaign but no wins to show for it. She gets a big drop in the weights for this. REYKJAVIK (1) has good form at his best. Only needs to reproduce that. WAGING WAR (6) was right there to win resuming. This distance is better now. ARISTOCRATIC MISS (14) found the line so well first up. She will be some value. VINLAND (3) is hot and cold but can place.
Harbour Views (4 stars)
Seabrook (4 stars)
Reykjavik (3 stars)
For that reason, it is easy to be giving GYTRASH (3) a leg up given his whole Autumn form. His three runs at the top level were excellent and then after a month came home to win with ease. As long as he isn’t vulnerable late he’s going to look the winner. TREKKING (2) is ready to unleash now. He had to make a long run in the Hall Mark Stakes and it was too much. He must go close. SANTA ANA LANE (1) is the obvious wildcard. Hard in the betting in all the main sprints but it’s been a while since he won. He is too good to knock. THE INEVITABLE (7) will be charging the last bit. He will be back and just needs to find a good cart home. BEHEMOTH (9) loves it here and is a lightweight chance.
Gytrash (4 stars)
Trekking (4 stars)
Santa Ana Lane (4 stars)
The Proud Miss Stakes is a race of many hopes. EQUAL LOVE (8) was good to start the prep and then not a great deal went right three weeks back. The added furlong is a benefit. HUMMA HUMMA (2) desperately needs it to be quickly run. She gives away starts but can finish so well. Needs it dry. SIMPLY DREAMING (15) led and kept running at big odds recently. They may use same tactics. LAKHANI ROSE (17) is clearly one to include in all bets. The added 100m is a necessity. MYSTERY LOVE (4) may not have handled the going at Sandown. Back to mares will help.
Equal Love (5 stars)
Humma Humma (4 stars)
Simply Dreaming (3 stars)
Betting Confidence: Medium
Back – #7 The Inevitable; #1 Santa Ana Lane
BACK – 1 unit EW on Sunlight
Race 3: Fortune Follows – BEST BET
Race 8: Santa Ana Lane and Trekking, saving on Sunlight
Race 8 #1 Santa Ana Lane
Race 6: Ranier
2. Delectation Girl
AMANGIRI (1) Fought on gamely when winning last run here but rises in weight today. Expecting to settle positively. Strong hope. DELECTATION GIRL (7) Finished strongly when 4th last run at Randwick and looks well placed in this grade. Displays very good finishing speed. Minor claims. IRITHEA (5) Overrun late when 2nd three runs back at Randwick and ideal distance as proven previously. Should muster plenty of early toe. Watch market moves closely. DYSLEXIC (9) Nice run when finishing 3rd last start around here and having third run back from a break. Likely to get a nice run behind the speed. Suited in this race and can place today.
Won last year by Con Te Partiro, now a dual G1 winner. I keep thinking IMPROVEMENT should lead but she’s not. IRITHEA draws widest and has the wherewithal to cross right over all of them. 1, 10 and 9 others with some pace but there are quite a few natural get-backers in the race. DELECTATION GIRL (I’m hoping) doesn’t necessarily have to be one of them from a barrier in the middle of the line. She’s been going pretty well this prep and I’m of the view she might even fancy it drier (which she’ll get here). AMANGIRI right up to 59 now but she is highly rated after notching her second stakes victory. Will give a good sight at the very least, whether leading or sitting close.
Selections: 7. Delectation Girl (top tip), 1. Amangiri, 5. Irithea, 18. Oakfield Missile
Amangiri (5 stars)
Delectation Girl (3 stars)
Irithea (5 stars)
Race 5, No.9 Adelong – 4.5 stars
Race 7, No.1 Wayupinthesky – 3.5 stars
Race 9, No.3 Villami – 3.5 stars
Race 5 #9 Adelong – LAY BET
Race 2 #11 He Runs Away – VALUE BET
Race 9 #12 Dirty Work – BEST BET