EPL Round 33 Preview by ValueSportsBetting

The following are betting comments for Round 33 of the 2016-17 English Premier League season. These have been sourced and published with permission from Valuesportsbetting’s weekly form guide.

About Valuesportsbetting

Valuesportsbetting produce form guides that identify value bets for the English Premier League, across a number of betting markets, by looking at the historical stats of each team. Their Season Guide is a free, 68 page ebook detailing the betting trends for every team in the league. There are plenty of mug punters that don’t pay enough attention to the odds that are available. Don’t be one of them, check out their website and form guides at www.valuesportsbetting.com.

Match Comments

Tottenham vs Bournemouth

This should be a straightforward win for Spurs but there is no value backing them here and the stats point to Value for Bournemouth. Some small value on overall record for the draw.

Sunderland vs West Ham

Sunderland are winless at home in their last 6. There is value for them here but at the smallest of margins.

Watford vs Swansea

Watford are showing good value here. Motivation plays a role in games towards the end of the season and Watford, being safe, don’t really have too much to play for whereas Swansea are fighting for their EPL status.

Crystal Palace vs Leicester

Great form for Palace and a superb win against Arsenal in the last round sees them at evens. According to our numbers this is too short and the value lies with Leicester.

Stoke vs Hull

This match shows no appeal other than small value for Stoke. Again probably wise to bear in mind motivation here, similar to the Watford Swansea game.

Everton vs Burnley

Everton are showing solid form at home and should probably be slightly lower than 1.48. No value for Burnley, with their poor away record.

Southampton vs Man City

These can be tough games for away teams, expected to win. All the value is with the Saints at 4.85 given the home team have won 35% of games in the recorded stats. They have been given a 21% chance.

West Brom vs Liverpool

Liverpool are showing no value against a decent West Brom outfit who like to keep things tight. Backing the home team and/or the draw is the way to go here from a value perspective.

Man United vs Chelsea

Match of the round, with the added spice of Mourinho facing his old club. These games can go either way and it looks like the betting markets can’t split them either. We favour the draw here, looking at the stats.

Middlesbrough vs Arsenal

This is probably best avoided. There is mixed signals for value here and given Arsenals recent record, you never know what you are going to get. We couldn’t trust them at 1.58 to get the job done.

 

About Valuesportsbetting

Valuesportsbetting produce form guides that identify value bets for the English Premier League, across a number of betting markets, by looking at the historical stats of each team. Their Season Guide is a free, 68 page ebook detailing the betting trends for every team in the league. There are plenty of mug punters that don’t pay enough attention to the odds that are available. Don’t be one of them, check out their website and form guides at www.valuesportsbetting.com.

 

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