English Premier League Gameweek 5 Betting Tips

The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 5 of the 2018/19 English Premier League.

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Manchester City vs. Fulham

 

Back Man City in the head-to-head at 1.13 (Unibet)

Despite the low odds there’s a small amount of value in backing Man City given they’ve gone 17-1-1 at home over the last 12 months. This venue has been an unhappy hunting ground for Fulham, whose last three visits resulted in 3-0, 2-0 and 5-0 defeats. Fulham’s two away fixtures this season resulted in a 2-goal defeat to Tottenham and a draw against Brighton, so the form guide doesn’t suggest they will cause an upset here.

Back both teams to score at 2.00 (bet365)

One sour note to Man City’s start is they haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last three games, with Huddersfield, Wolves and Newcastle all scoring against them. Man City have only kept 7 clean sheets in their last 19 home games, while at the same time, they have been held scoreless just once. Fulham have scored in each of their last three games and have scored six total goals their last two fixtures. Fulham have scored in both away fixtures so far this season.

Bournemouth vs. Leicester City

 

Back the draw at 3.50 (Unibet)

Five of the last six meetings between the two resulted in a stalemate. If you had backed the draw in every Bournemouth fixture and every Leicester City fixture over the last 12 months you would have a profit.

Huddersfield vs. Crystal Palace

 

Back Crystal Palace +0.25 (0 & +0.5) in the Asian handicap at 1.53 (Betfair)

I backed Crystal Palace against Southampton only for Wilfried Zaha to be ruled out with a groin strain the day before the match. Palace went onto lose to extend their losing streak to 10 games when he hasn’t played. The latest news is that Zaha will play and when he has featured, Crystal Palace have averaged 1.5 points per game. Palace have been strong on the road of late, going 3-2-1 away from Selhurst Park. The last time they visited Huddersfield they won 2-0. Huddersfield have won just 1 of their last 14 games, with that win coming back in April. They have gone 0-2-2 so far this season.

Back Wilfried Zaha in the anytime goalscorer market at 3.20 (bet365, Neds)

Wilfried Zaha has scored 7 goals in his last 9 league appearances.

Newcastle vs. Arsenal

 

Back both teams to score at 1.65 (Neds)
Back over 2.5 goals at 1.78 (Betfair)

Newcastle have had a tough run of fixtures to start the season but have managed to find the back of the net against Tottenham, Chelsea and Man City. All three of those opponents scored twice against them, however. Arsenal have been scoring goals freely but have been leaking goals regularly as they adapt to playing the ball out from the back. In their last three games they have scored 8 goals and conceded 6. For both sides, 3 out of 4 fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals this campaign.

Chelsea vs. Cardiff

 

Back Chelsea to win to nil at 1.80 (Neds)

There isn’t much value for Chelsea in the head-to-head, but given 8 of their 12 home wins over the last 12 months were to nil, there is value in the win to nil market. Apart from their game against Arsenal, Chelsea have only conceded 1 goal against 3 opponents this campaign, while Cardiff failed to score in both away fixtures this season.

Watford vs. Man Utd

 

Back Watford +0.5 at 2.04 (Betfair)

Watford have enjoyed a perfect 4-0-0 start to the season, with their 2-1 home win over Tottenham showing that their form wasn’t just due to a manageable fixture list. Man Utd broke a 2-game losing streak by defeating Burnley a fortnight ago, but under the grumpy José Mourinho, I’m not prepared to back them just yet. Burnley have had a dreadful start to the campaign and it was their 3rd defeat on the trot. The Burnley result has added value to Watford, who have drifted from 3.80 to 4.20 in the head-to-head market.

Wolverhampton vs. Burnley

 

Back Wolverhampton in the head-to-head at 1.78 (Unibet)

Wolverhampton picked up their first win of the campaign last round with a 1-0 away victory over West Ham. This was on the back of a 1-1 draw against Man City. Burnley have suffered a dreadful start to the season. They drew their opening fixture against Southampton 0-0 and lost their three subsequent games all by 2-goal margins. One of those defeats was away against Fulham, so Wolverhampton will no doubt be gunning for all 3 points. Burnley’s slide continues their poor run at the end of last season. They are winless in their last 9 games and have lost 5 of their last 6.

Everton vs. West Ham

 

Back Everton in the head-to-head at 2.16 (Betfair)
Back Everton +0.5 at 1.36 (Betfair)

Everton have managed 3 draws and a win so far this campaign, but this is more a bet against West Ham, who have had an alarmingly bad start. West Ham have lost all four opening fixtures, with two of those defeats coming at home against Bournemouth and Wolverhampton. Goodison Park has been an unhappy hunting ground for The Hammers, who have gone 1-1-5 in their last seven at this venue. Everton have gone 10-2-1 as the home favourite over the last 12 months, while West Ham have gone 2-4-9 as the away underdog.

 

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